10/05/2015 2:06PM

Northfield: Wednesday 10/7 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1 / 2,4,5 / 6,7,8,9 / 1,4 = $24


Best Bet: TALISSA (5th)


Race 1

(9) SOUTHERN CAROL filly has some upside coming off a promising first start.  (5) BUSY CORNERS ROSE has been facing tougher and can hit the ticket with a smooth trip.  (7) BLACK DENIM N LACE well bred mare has room to improve but needs more.

Race 2

(5) CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM has been competitive at this level and could have an excuse last out racing on a sloppy track.  (1) MUSCLE ON BROADWAY gets the best post in against softer for a new barn.  (3) UNLIMITED WINNER has beaten better on the year but is very inconsistent; command a price.

Race 3

(4) KAPTAIN JON BOY lightly raced trotter has just been racing evenly but could be ready for a better effort against easier.  (5) CEANA'S STAR broke his maiden last week with a nice late rally; threat.  (3) HANGIN JUDGE raced well in the qualifier and should be tighter second start back off a year and a half layoff.

Race 4

(5) NOODLES owns the best win in the field by far.  (4) PRINCETON paced a decent mile last week and should be closer turning for home.  (3) LUCKY RACIN has yet to win in 43 career starts; use underneath.

Race 5

(3) TALISSA was an impressive winner a few weeks back and appears to be getting better.  (8) SOARING FLIGHT gets set out for capable connections but has a tough task ahead from the worst post.  (2) ROYAL MACHO mare showed a decent move last week before a miscue; threat.

Race 6

(6) RUST BELT just missed at this level last start; big chance.  (7) STRAIGHT DANCER is capable of pacing a good mile and finds a really weak bunch.  (2) OLLIE MCCLELLAN takes a big drop in class; threat.

Race 7

(9) MISS RILEY should offer a nice price with a low percentage pilot.  The trotting mare has been competitive against much better on the year.  (3) SPIES AND LIES is just now back in racing shape, gets a big driver change, and should also offer value.  (1) ACTION-EAR-TO-EAR pacing bred trotter has made the most money on the year but has been dreadful in in his last few; command a price.

Race 8

(1) ETERNAL RULER should be ready for a big effort down in class with the best post.  (3) HYD-DAT SHOOTER set a lifetime mark last week and looks to be in line for a ground-saving trip.   (8) WINTER CRUISE needs to find a way into the race but can hit the ticket with a good setup.

Race 9

(2) NORTHMEDO DELILAH filly had started to turn it around before the miscue last week.  If she minds her manners she's a major player.  (5) LOFTY CHIP comes off a huge victory against better; threat.  (4) STIRLING BOUDICA is fast enough to do damage at this level but gets sent out for a driver who rarely wins; use underneath.

Race 10

(6) IRON N STEEL will look to make it two straight off a dominating performance down in class.  (7) IYAMWHATISHAM could have needed the start off the scratch but was not good last week; use caution.   (8) MODERN WARFARE needs some racing luck but is one of the faster pacers in the field.

Race 11

(1) ENRICHMENT well bred trotter gets the best post in an evenly matched race and also picks up a significant driver change.  (4) SOMEDAY LU mare showed improvement last start; threat.   (2) PONDA BLITZ had some late trot last week and will be closer turning for home.

Race 12

In a really weak field, (9) JK DELIGHT gets sent out for a top trainer and owns a win against better.  (2) AMERICAN HEART filly pacer is one of few in the race with upside; threat.   (4) UPTOWN ROMANCE could pick up the pieces with a good setup but is probably best used underneath.

Race 13

(2) CYST TO SISTER is a threat down at the bottom level even with the low percentage pilot.  (7) CHARLOTTES STAR finds a much softer spot, however the pacing mare is winless on the year.  (8) ALWAYS CAROLINE could hit the ticket at a big price with some pace to close into.

Race 14

(5) CIVIL CAUSE has been competitive against tougher in an inconsistent field.  (3) TOES just raced evenly last week but should be much closer turning for home; threat.  (2) TABULATOR is 0 for the year but is capable of trotting a decent mile; use underneath.

Race 15

(2) Q ZILLA has been pacing faster than most of the field; threat.  (1) TAX FREE gets the best post against a suspect bunch.  (9) SMOKEALITTLESMOKE probably owns a class edge on the field but is handicapped by a driver who rarely wins.

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