10/12/2015 2:39PM

Northfield: Wednesday 10/14 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

5,9 / 5 / 3,5 / 1,2,3,4,5 = $20

 

Best Bet: STIRLING BOUDICA (1st)

Spot Play: REVERAND SPEED (12th)

Race 1

(6) STIRLING BOUDICA really raced well last start and just needs a similar effort to score.  (5) TALISSA filly had no excuse getting beat last week; command a price.  (7) DOUGS HOBBY HORSE has been competitive against better on the year and picks up the top driver.

Race 2

In a wide open race, (7) PRINCETON will offer a big price and can benefit from a fast pace to close into.  (1) NOODLES looks to be in a great spot up close against a weak bunch.  (8) LEFTY has room to improve but needs to find a way into the race.

Race 3

(1) SOARING FLIGHT filly raced huge from a tough spot last week grinding out a victory and is right back in at the same level.  (4) LOFTY CHIP is likely the only contender to the top choice and will look to make it three straight.  (3) MY D JET is prone to breaks but is capable of a good burst of speed when timed right.

Race 4

(4) SOUTHERN CAROL three-year-old filly might have more to offer after a few starts underneath her belt.  (2) KATPAIN JON BOY has hit the board in four of five but has lacked late punch; command a price.  (5) OFFCENTERED TAXMAN gelding could be a threat if he stays trotting.

Race 5

(4) CAPTAIN AND COKE pacer finds a much softer spot to gain some confidence.  (1) SLIDN TO YA RONNIE pacer is 0 for her career but had been knocking on the door prior to the layoff.   (2) STRONG PLAYIN KING four-year-old stallion makes his career debut off a nice qualifier but could need a start.

Race 6

(2) ABES EARL drops back down a notch and gets a good post against a suspect bunch.  (1) MOONSHINE FILLY was empty off really slow fractions last week; use underneath.  (3) MM'S SHINING STAR four-year-old mare can threaten if she minds her manners.

Race 7

(8) ZORGWIJK HEAVENLY mare is just now back in racing shape and owns tons of back class.   (9) KEYSTONE SWAGGER gets sent out for a trainer capable of a big form reversal; threat.  (1) CINCINNATI MYSTRES drops back down to the bottom level and gets the best post.

Race 8

(9) NOAH'S SHARK raced gamely against much better last week and now drops in class.  (5) FULL CIRCLE SPIRIT picks up a huge driver change and will be used aggressively.  (2) BETTOR'S DESTINY owns only one win on the year but could be tough with an easy early lead.

Race 9

(5) NORTHERN ELIAN was an open length winner at this level two back and might offer the better price of the contenders.  (4) ENRICHMENT will also look to make it two straight in this class; fires early.  (1) PONDA BLITZ has just been racing evenly but gets the best post in a weak field.

Race 10

(9) BUCKSHOT EXPRESS was an easy winner last week against similar; big chance.  (3) PARKTOWNISCOOTIWIN has been pacing faster than most of the field but needs some racing luck along with a smooth trip.  (5) LUCKY RACIN scored his first lifetime win last out racing gamely last week; command a price.

Race 11

(1) ABS RAYNO HALL should be much closer turning for home with the best post and looks to offer value.  (2) DRIVEN TO SUCCEED will also benefit from ground saving trip; threat.  (3) DUKE UH BRAVA raced well last week and finds a suspect bunch.

Race 12

In a tough race to gauge, (9) REVERAND SPEED is 0 for the year but picks up a top driver and when ready is faster than most of the field.  (6) SBM GEORGIAN STAR mare was parked the mile last out but can threaten with a smooth trip.  (3) SPIES AN LIES has been knocking on the door; threat.

Race 13

(2) MODERN WARFARE picks up a huge driver change with a great starting post.  (3) MELVIN'S DREAM gets sent out for the top barn making his second start back off a layoff.  (4) THE CLASSIC Z TAM has just been racing evenly but can hit the ticket at a price; use underneath.

Race 14

In another wide open and evenly matched race, (3) CYST TO SISTER gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but will offer a big price and can threaten with a good drive.  (2) MISSMAXIMUS also drops in class with a good post; threat.  (4) RIBBONS OF COLORS takes a huge drop in class but looks to be off form; use caution.

Race 15

(9) DAPPER BARON TWO six-year-old stallion could picks up the pieces in the right scenario; fires late.  (2) CMR WINDMACH is one of two droppers in the race but only has one win on the year.  (3) JAWORSKI gelding is 0 for the year but shouldn't be counted out against this field.

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