08/04/2014 3:35PM

Northfield: Tuesday 8/5 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,2,4 / 1 / 1 / 2,4,6 = $9


Best Bet: SKULL OF ROSES (9th)

Spot Play: NEELY SPRING (3rd)

Race 1

(4) KEYSTONE SWAGGER seems to be slowly improving for a new trainer despite quitting badly last out; threat.  (1) HIGH HEELS N SPURS gets a huge driver change but could offer low value as a result.  (7) CONDOR HALL well bred trotter is capable of hitting the ticket if he can find a way into the race.

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Race 2

(2) CELTIC SEELSTER makes his third start back off a long layoff and should offer a nice price in an evenly matched race.  (1) BOBBYS ON THE MOVE benefits from the rail in a weak field.  (3) MELVIN'S DREAM gets a top driver and should be much closer turning for home.

Race 3

(4) NEELY SPRING drops in class and has beaten much tougher than this bunch.  (3) BELLE'S BECKY mare has more ability than what she's been showing; threat.  (2) TROTTIN ON OVER just needs to stay trotting for a big piece of the pie.

Race 4

In a field with few contenders (1) WIGGLEWIGGLEWIGGLE stepped up in a big way last out and faces a similar field.  (2) OIL SLICKER picks back up a top driver who owns three wins with the gelding; threat.  (5) AZOREAN BEACH impeccably bred pacer makes his second start for new connections and will offer a huge price.

Race 5

In an inconsistent field (4) DREAM CRAZED takes a big step up in class with a low percentage pilot but is really starting to show improvement.  (1) ARIANNA HALL well bred trotting mare looks to be going thru the motions racing very dull.  The 7-year-old will probably be a big favorite; use caution.  (2) ALLAMERICAN CHEER has yet to win on the year but finds a soft spot.

Race 6

(1) FLORIDA BOY CLAYTON gets a much better driver at the controls with the best post.  The 5-year-old pacer doesn't show it on paper but does own a good burst of speed at times.  (2) PLAYERS BALL is an enigma at 0 for 26 on the year but a good effort puts him in the mix.  (7) TIELER BEA HOTSPUR eleven-year-old needs a lot of racing luck but is one of the faster horses in the race.

Race 7

(5) WATERHOUSE pacer had some gait issues last out but if they are fixed he could be a winner down in class.  (2) GUNMANS ACE paced a good mile last out but only has one win on the year; command a price.  (1) DO IT DOC'S WAY gets the best post and just needs a good steer to hit the board.

Race 8

(1) RUST BELT went a big effort last out just getting picked off late.  The pacer gets a much better post and will win with a similar effort.  (4) STEVIE DIAMONDS has had tough racing luck but that can change down in class with a smooth trip.  (2) GEM HEIST is on a four race win streak but faces much tougher.

Race 9

(1) SKULL OF ROSES didn't miss by much off a very tough trip last out.  The gelding is been very consistent on the year and should win with a good effort.  (4) LEE A BRYANT could be dangerous with an easy uncontested lead.  (2) FLYING METRO drops in class and gets post relief.

Race 10

(1) C' MON MR BROCK lightly raced 4-year-old looks to be a serious pacer; short price.  (5) HIT BY LIGHTNING well bred filly has an outside shot should the top choice falter, however the 3-year-old would need a much better effort than her last few.  (3) JULIE'S DAVINCHIE is on the improve but gets a negative driver change; use underneath.

Race 11

(4) Y F CRASHER mare will be very tough to beat with any kind of effort similar to her dominating victory last start.  (6) LASER LUCY can really trot up a storm now and again.  The 7-year-old trotter could have a few legitimate excuses in her last few.  (2) BEER LEAGUE rarely wins but finds a very soft bunch besides the top choice.

Race 12

(5) JJ NEWTON was excellent for this trainer in this class at the beginning of the year.   (9) JP ORAZIO four-year-old consistently gives a good effort which is more than most in the field can say.  (4) OUTAMYSPACE could be a threat with some racing luck and a smooth trip.

Race 13

(2) HANKS KID takes a significant drop in class and should get a nice trip.  (1) YOU'LL THINK OF ME bumps up in class off of two career efforts; threat.  (5) BOILER BREES could pick up the pieces late; use underneath.

Race 14

(3) JEREME ROCKS was really good from a tough post last out.  If the 4-year-old can work out a smooth trip he should have a shot at a price.  (4) SONICPEDIA has been knocking on the door hitting the board in almost every start.  (1) J F COOKIN is sneaky sharp right now not having much to show for it.

Race 15

(1) DR JACKS SHACK should offer better value for a much better pilot.  (2) COAL BURNER could be the sleeper in the race saving ground before shaking loose late.   (4) BEEYOUUUUUU the barn is capable of popping off big miles at big prices from time to time.

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