08/11/2014 4:52PM

Northfield: Tuesday 8/12 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

4,5 / 1,7 / 1,3,8 / 1,4 = $24

 

Best Bet: STOLEN CROWN (1st)

Spot Play: BAY SHARK (6th)

Race 1 

(7) STOLEN CROWN faces significantly weaker while down in class and will be tough to beat with a trouble-free trip.  (4) ZOOMIN JESSE gets a huge driver change and could be sitting on an improved effort.  (9) ROSE RUN NEMO should pass some horses late with a good setup; fires late.

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Race 2 

In a field with two contenders, (4) LOCK THREE is really starting to find his stride and should offer the better price.  (1) C‘MON MR BROCK has won his last three races by over a 20 lengths combined.  (8) FEATURE MATCHUP is up against it from a tough post but has more ability than what he’s been showing; use underneath.

Race 3

(2) SENATOR SAM looks very tough to beat on paper so long as he stays trotting.  (6) LASER LUCY owns some back class and is capable of big miles from time to time.  (4) NEELY SPRING looks to be regressing but has beaten much better on the year. 

Race 4 

In a weak and inconsistent field, (2) FOLLOW A DREAM looks terrible on paper but does add Lasix for the second time and has flashed talent.  (3) CASIMIR LUCKYNUTZ changes barns, gets a huge driver change, and should be considered a threat despite being winless on the year.  (8) DIGGERS REST N gets a low percentage pilot and the worst post, but has been racing gamely in his last two. 

Race 5 

(3) CLASSY CHASSY just needs to ration out her speed for a nice piece; fires early.  (1) EDOM UP BLUE BOY has been competitive at this level and gets the best post.  (4) DREAM CRAZED is one of a few with upside in the race and is just now rounding into racing shape. 

Race 6 

In a tough race to handicap, (2) BAY SHARK gets a top pilot, will offer a big price, and has shown a big burst of speed when timed right.  (1) INFORM is a smooth trip away from hitting the ticket at a price.  (3) MACH TO THE LIMIT also benefits from a different driver and races better forwardly placed. 

Race 7 

(4) WOODMERE SPEEDBALL never had much of a shot last out but has been racing gamely for a top barn.  (5) PAPA GRANDE has been knocking on the door and just needs some racing luck to get over the hump.  (6) OIL SLICKER set a lifetime mark last out, but the driver opted elsewhere and the 5-year-old faces tougher; command a price. 

Race 8 

(5) KNOCKOUT ART was the driver’s choice and could be the sleeper in the race; threat.  (4) SINGIN BLUES will be tough to beat with an aggressive drive from a low percentage pilot; fires early.  (3) KINETIC YANKEE went a big mile last week out of the blue and will probably be over-bet off that effort. However, if he races back to that effort, it could be lights out. 

Race 9 

(1) ELIAN’S VALENTINE gets the best post and should be in line for a good trip.  (7) MYSTERY XPOSED is capable of going coast to coast with an easy lead; threat.  (4) CHANGE THE FUTURE could have an outside shot at a big price for an inconsistent trainer. 

Race 10 

(8) JUDE HALL makes his second start for new connections.  The 4-year-old was facing and beating much better in Illinois.  (3) RULING V C N picks up a positive driver change and owns a good burst of speed.  (1) GORDIEISANARTIST has burned lots of cash this year; command a price. 

Race 11 

(1) BOILER BREES has been going some big efforts with a suspect driver; threat.  (4) STORMY GHOST is very inconsistent from week to week, but a good effort gets it done.  (5) DANNY’S MAN has been racing gamely for a provisional driver. 

Race 12 

(9) NO SHENANIGANS has been on a roll and just needs the driver to work out a smooth trip.  (3) CRUISE ON OSBORNE will be used very aggressively while down in class; fires early.  (7) SF TERRIFIC KISSER gets sent out for a recent hot barn; threat. 

Race 13 

(9) JEREME ROCKS has been knocking on the door against his bunch and should offer a nice price.  (8) SONICPEDIA has the most ability in the field but gets a very tough post to navigate.  (2) HEARTACHE’S BLUES is fast enough to pull off the upset with some racing luck; also offers a huge price. 

Race 14 

(3) OUTAMYSPACE picks up a huge driver change; big chance.  (1) WILLIE‘S PLACE bumps up in class, but gets the best post and looks to have more to offer against a weak bunch.  (9) JP ORAZIO was a game winner last out and faces similar. 

Race 15 

(2) BONNERS CREEK has just been racing evenly but finds a wide-open and evenly-matched race; threat.  (1) MILLIONDOLLAR ART owns some very fast wins at this level and was the driver’s choice.  (9) TEDDY KGB doesn’t look like much on paper but was better last out. 

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