07/28/2014 3:23PM

Northfield: Tuesday 7/29 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,3 / 3,4,7 / 1,2 / 1,2,5 = $36

 

Best Bet: SPECIAL PURPOSE (14th)

Spot Play: BELLE'S BECKY (6th)

Race 1

(6) ROYAL BETTY has shown a big burst of speed which is more than most in the field can say.   (9) THAT WAS YOU filly should be much closer turning for home if she minds her manners; threat.  (2) FERRIS WHEEL JUNKIE just raced evenly last out but looks to be improving in a weak field.

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Race 2

(2) SAND DAHLIA makes his third career start in a much easier spot.  (1) GLIDED TOWARDS ME gets the best post and a big driver change.  (3) MORE IDEAL gelding would be a threat if he races back to the effort prior to the scratch.

Race 3

(6) DEVOUTLY HANOVER finds a wide-open race and was used aggressively in the qualifier which could signal the connections believe he's tight.  (1) CONDOR HALL is the trotter to beat on paper dropping in class but will offer low value and rarely wins; use caution.  (3) LEGACY CHIP had a tough trip last out trying for the lead but does benefit from the best pilot.

Race 4

(3) MJ CRUISER gelding is 0 for his career but has been knocking on the door and will offer a good price.  (7) MAKEMINE BLUEGRASS was sent down the road before getting steamrolled late last out.  The 4-year-old gelding makes his third start of the year off a long layoff and could be ready for another improved effort.  (9) BABY MEEPERT pacer makes his second start for a new trainer in a fairly wide open race.

Race 5

(7) COLBY D takes a big drop in class and should be given an aggressive drive.  (6) JAY JAY REDSKY could use honest fractions up front to try and rally late at a price.  (2) TRIPOLI looks terrible on paper but could hit the bottom of the ticket with some racing luck.

Race 6

(4) BELLE'S BECKY has flashed some ability and gets sent out for a new barn.  (7) CONTECH is a threat against this group especially if he gets towed into it.  (6) MOLLEY'S TROLLEY gets a huge driver change and has shown a decent burst of speed in her last few.

Race 7

(5) DAISY DUKES has a win over the track and proven connections in a weak and inconsistent field.  (4) AMAZING SUZY comes off a victory and is just rounding into racing shape off a layoff.  (9) WIGGLEWIGGLEWIGGLE filly could be the sleeper in the race with a smooth trip.

Race 8

(3) CHANAS LUCKY THREE raced big last out from a tough post and is the horse to beat with a similar effort.  (1) HARLEYHANKNJERRY three-year-old pacer should offer some value off of slow lines and is one of few with upside in the race.  (2) HOMEMADE CAM gets a low percentage pilot coming off a victory who rarely wins; command a price.

Race 9

In a tough race to handicap (7) MISS RILEY put in a winning effort last out against slightly better; threat.  (4) UPLAYTHEGAMETOWIN might have started to turn a corner consistently putting in good efforts in his last few.  (3) CRAZY JESSE was a new trotter last out for a top driver and could have gained some confidence.

Race 10

In a field with few contenders (2) DANNY'S MAN will need a solid drive from a provisional pilot but the pacer is much better than this group.  (1) CATCH THAT ANGEL paced a good mile last out and looks to be in line for a good trip up close.  (9) TIELER BEA HOTSPUR has just been racing evenly but does face an easier group down in class.

Race 11

(1) JUNE'S SUNNY BOY gets the best post and a top pilot.  (2) MECHANICAL ART was facing much better just a short time ago; threat.  (5) BATTLESHIP KELLY could be a major player in the race coming off a nice effort even off the layoff; threat.

Race 12

(6) FIXTHEDEFICIT just missed to a horse two starts ago who would dust this field; big chance.  (5) CAPTAIN SCRUFFY needs a trip but has ability; threat.  (7) DESPITETHEREDTAPE make his third lifetime start off an excellent effort closing good ground.

Race 13

(1) MOOVEIT just missed at this level last out and will look to take no prisoners in a suspect field.  (2) QUINTAL BAYAMA should be much closer turning for home and is one of the faster pacers in the race.  (3) BRIGHTON BAY ONE gets a better post against an inconsistent bunch.

Race14

(7) SPECIAL PURPOSE four-year-old should offer good value and might be the best in the race with any kind of trip.  (4) DUNKS BROTHER well bred trotter has yet to reach his potential but is capable.  (2) MR ABERDEEN will get to control the pace up front but will offer low value and could need more late.

Race 15

In an extremely wide open race on paper (7) ANOTHERROUNDOFDAVE owns a decent late kick with the right setup.  (9) SHANNONS BOY SCOUT picks up a top driver and will be given an aggressive drive.  (5) RELLA ON ATTACK could be in a decent spot to pick up the pieces late.

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