07/14/2014 3:15PM

Northfield: Tuesday 7/15 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

2,5,6,7,9 / 3,6,9 / 4 / 4,6 = $30


Best Bet: GEM HEIST (10th)

Spot Play: FEATURE MATCHUP (9th)

Race 1

(5) THIRTYTOFINALSCORE veteran trotter gets post relief plus a huge driver change.  (3) R B'S ROYALTHUNDER lightly raced 3-year-old has lots of room for improvement and has shown a good burst of speed off the gate.  (1) RICH N RARE  raced well before the miscue and will get another crack it from the same post; threat.

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Race 2

(1) UNLIMITED WINNER four-year-old trotting bred pacer has some ability but needs to mind his manners against an inconsistent field.  (3) ACTION AUBREE ROSA is one of two horses in the race with a win and gets sent out for proven connections.  (6) FATALITY appears to be improving and is just now back in racing shape.

Race 3

(2) TOP BILING MIDALE gelding trotter just beat a weaker field in his last start and will look to make it two straight.  (4) ON YOU BRIT picks back up a top driver and should offer a big price.  (1) ROSE RUN JERIAH has some breaking issues but is usually raced well up close to the pace when he stays trotting.

Race 4

(6) CAPTAIN SCRUFFY dropped and popped last start and will look to repeat at the same level.  (4) GLIDED TOWARDS ME disappointed last out as the heavy favorite and will offer low value again; use caution.  (2) AMAZING SUZY mare makes her third start back off a long layoff and has been competitive.

Race 5

(7) THAT WAS YOU filly gets a positive driver change and could have the most ability in the inexperienced field.  (4) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE impeccably bred gelding has been facing much tougher and should find this level to his liking. (5) ALADY FOR SURE filly has yet to win in her brief career but the effort last out was much improved.

Race 6

In a very tough field to handicap (5) CINCINNATI MYSTRES will offer a nice price for a trainer that has pulled off some big upsets.  (9) MOVADO HALL looks the best on paper despite being 0 for the year; threat.  (6) MOLLY'S TROLLEY raced gamely last out just getting picked off late but does bump up in class.

Race 7

(7) YANKEE'S RENITA picks up a top driver and just needs to get carried into the race for a shot late.  (5) TICKLE-R-PATTY is 0 for 43 in her career but does make her fourth start back off a really long layoff with a much better driver.  (9) TARPORT BELLE well bred filly makes her career debut off a promising qualifier.

Race 8

In a field that has a combined one victory on the year (6) BROTHER BUD owns that win and will be dangerous with a smooth trip.  (5) ANSWER THE BELL gave a better effort in last but could be overbet based on his fast-looking last line; use caution. (7) ANOTHEROUNDOFDAVE showed a big burst of speed last out and has been knocking on the door; threat.

Race 9

In a field with few contenders (3) FEATURE MATCHUP has flashed much more ability than his last two starts and one of his prior good efforts would beat this field.  (9) FIXTHEDEFICIT picks up a more proven pilot and is one of few with upside in the race.  (6) PLAYMAKER was extremely disappointing last out having nothing to offer late off slow fractions; command a price.

Race 10

(4) GEM HEIST dominated last race for a new barn and gets a much better post to do it again.  (6) ART'S BOY has shown a big burst of speed off the gate but has a tendency to come up small when it matters most.  (3) AMERICAN PILOT well bred stallion paced a decent mile showing pace on both ends but would need more.

Race 11

(6) MISS RILEY is likely to offer the better price and has went two big efforts in a row.  (4) MR ABERDEEN wasn't able to keep his win streak going from first over but has been tough as nails when he makes the top; fires early.  (5) PINEHALL LADY mare has an outside shot with some racing luck.

Race 12

(8) BOSCO'S ANGEL doesn't win often but should offer a huge price in a wide-open race and picks up a big driver change.  (6) ROCK N ROLL SONG looks to be primed for a good effort after a long layoff.  (9) CONTECH mare would have won at a big price last out had she not had everything go against her.

Race 13

(1) NAVAHOE gelding went a big three quarters of a mile last race and just needs to ration out his speed for a good chance.  (2) QUINTAL BAYAMA should be much closer turning for home than his previous starts; threat.  (5) I'M A GIRL WATCHER has yet to win in seventeen starts on the year but is facing a softer bunch.

Race 14

In an extremely tough race to gauge (3) MONTOYA HANOVER adds lasix for the first time and has been competitive at this level.  (2) COIN OF THE REALM gets sent out for a low percentage driver but is one of the better horses in the race.  (9) RELLA ON ATTACK would benefit from a battle up front but has just been racing evenly.

Race 15

(5) INGLORIOUS MUSTARD is a big threat down in class with a trip.  (2) NUKES FORTUNATESON paced a decent mile last start and finds a weak field.  (3) ROYAL ONE has shown a good burst of speed for this group but is best used on the bottom of your tickets.


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