06/30/2014 4:38PM

Northfield: Tuesday 7/1 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,5,9 / 9 / 1,5,9 / 1,4,7,9 = $36


Best Bet: MR ABERDEEN (9th)

Spot Play: MAD COW LISA (14th)

Race 1

In a wide open and very tough race to handicap (9) AT THE TOP gets a good driver change and will offer a big price in the suspect field.  (2) PUTUPYOURDUKES was a little better in the qualifier and could get a good trip if he minds his manners.  (3) COUNTTHERAINDROPS has as good of a chance as anybody in the race and makes his third start back off a layoff.

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Race 2

(3) RANDOM INTENT has shown more than most of the field and also has a convincing win at this level.  (6) VODKAINDUCEDDREAMS well bred filly has a ton of upside and room to improve.  (5) CRUISING METRO could be a sleeper in the race making his sophomore debut but is probably best used underneath.

Race 3

(3) SKY LAV drew off last out down in class but is a huge threat with a similar effort.  (9) HOOSIER LEE BROOK makes his third start back off a five year layoff and should improve some.  (8) ROSE RUN NEMO owns the best closing ability in the race but will need lots of racing luck to hit the top spot.

Race 4

(4) Q ZILLA pacer adds lasix for the second time and gets sent out for top connections.  (3) GRAMMA'S STAR two-year-old gelding pacer faces older but does have a start under his belt along with a ton of upside.  (8) UNLIMITED WINNER trotting bred pacer has shown a decent burst of speed but looks to be up against it from a tough post; use underneath.

Race 5

(3) YANKEE'S RENITA has some positives in a soft field including third start back off the layoff.  (4) SCOTTISH RITE raced well last out closing from a tough spot and should be much closer turning for home.  (7) SLOT ARTIST finally scored a victory last out and could have the most ability in the field but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot.

Race 6

(3) DUNKS BROTHER well bred trotter has been getting better and looks to have more ability than most of the field.  (8) FEARLESS SAM has been facing much tougher and just needs an honest pace to close into at a price.  (9) SMOKE'N STORMS is 0 for the year but could hit the bottom of the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 7

(4) LOCK THREE three-year-old colt needed his last race and should be ready for a big effort second start back.   (9) IGOTTAGUYFORTHAT lightly raced pacer scored an easy win last out and should only get better.  (7) MR RUPPEL paced a good mile last out but will need more; use underneath.

Race 8

(1) HANKS KID comes off a scratch but was able to show a decent burst of speed in his last few starts; threat.  (5) FRANCO NATURA N is just now rounding back into racing shape, takes a big drop in class, and just needs to work out a trip for a shot late.  (9) LAVROS VISION N has been really good from off the pace and should be in striking distance late.

Race 9

(9) MR ABERDEEN looks to be a heavy favorite and will be tough to beat if the 5-year-old trotter minds his manners.  (6) MISS RILEY mare is very inconsistent but a good effort puts her in the money.  (1) ROCK ON TRIGGER has yet to win on the year and lacks stamina late; use underneath.

Race 10

(9) BONNERS CREEK takes a good drop in class and should get an aggressive drive.  (5) ROUNDING THIRD also drops and would be tough if he can make the lead early.  (1) FLYING METRO has tactical gate speed combined with the rail makes him tough to keep off the ticket.

Race 11

In a suspect field (9) BEACH CRISES was completely empty last out but been showing signs of turning it around.  If the veteran pacer can race back to a few starts ago he could upset.  (1) BOBBY'S ON THE MOVE comes off a wire-to-wire victory and appears to be the horse to beat; fires early.   (7) SHOCKBYELECTRIC rarely wins but is versatile and does own a good move when timed right.

Race 12

(5) MISS EVA CASH well bred mare would win for fun if she minds her manners.  If you can make sure she's trotting on the gate she could offer value.  (4) CONTECH comes off a scratch and doesn't look the best on paper but has beaten better.  (1) LEGACY CHIP gets a huge driver change and the rail.

Race 13

In a really weak field  (5) SPUDCAM has run into some tough racing luck but faces a really inconsistent field and has flashed a good burst of speed.   (1) OH WHATA GUY gets the rail and should offer a fair price.  (3) CERVANTE BLUESTONE could take heavy tote action off his faster-looking lines, however he has yet to show much and could be a good favorite to bet against.

Race 14

(9) MAD COW LISA mare was trotting up a storm before racing evenly in her last two.  The 8-year-old faces much weaker and should have a big chance to get her picture taken with any kind of trip.  (5) PERFECT HEART BEAT trotting mare owns some ability and could use a battle up front to help her chances late.  (1) DOUBLE A GLORIA has some back class, gets the best post, but has been very dull recently; command a price.

Race 15

(3) CAMN YANKEE went a good mile at the fair track just missing and picks up the top driver.  (4) RELLA ON ATTACK gets some post relief and races better forwardly placed.  (2) SCOOCH OVER has some breaking issues but looks to be faster than most of the field.

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