06/16/2014 4:31PM

Northfield: Tuesday 6/17 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,7,8 / 2,5,9 / 2 / 1,2,5,8 = $36


Best Bet: BELLES LUCKY (12th)

Spot Play: WILD NORDIC (11th)

Race 1

(1) WHERE U WAS JAY beat a very good horse last out, gets the best post, and will be extremely tough to beat.  (3) FEATURE MATCHUP has some upside and is probably the only threat to the top choice.  (2) DO WHAT is 0 for 19 on the year but will offer a big price and could hit the bottom of the ticket.

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Race 2

(2) EASTER BAY was a game winner last race and faces a similar field.  (3) MR RUPPEL lightly raced pacer hasn't had much luck in his brief career but did show a decent burst of speed last out.  (5) WEIRD EARZ looks terrible on paper but does get a better starting spot adding lasix for the second time.

Race 3

(1) MOM'S LOOKER tough to go against the top pilot with the best horse; short price.  (2) SOUTHWIND AUSTIN well bred trotter had no chance in his recent effort from a tough post.  Five-year-old trotter should be in line for a good trip.  (4) MASTER LAD PRO rarely wins and just races evenly; use underneath.

Race 4

In a really weak an inconsistent field (3) LADYDI'S BAYSIDE will offer a huge price and with some racing luck could be a player late.  (6) LOGAN'S A WINNER has a recent win and has flashed some gate speed.  (7) RANDOM INTENT takes a big drop in class but the 4-year-old has yet to show much; command a price.

Race 5

(8) FOLLOW A DREAM was not on his game last start unable to close the deal late.  The 4-year-old could offer a better price off the loss; big chance.   (1) HEARTACHE'S BLUES last two efforts have been tremendous.  You can add that to the fact the pacer picks up a huge driver change.  (4) SOAKING UP THE SUN lightly raced 3-year-old has a lot of ability and room to improve.

Race 6

(8) MR ABERDEEN scored with the top driver last out impressively.  The 5-year-old will need to leave for position for a chance to hit the top spot again.  (6) DUNKS BROTHER well bred colt has been progressing slowly and makes his first start in a new barn. (7) CHAD is the question mark in the race making his debut off a sterling qualifier.  The 3-year-old could be much more talented than the field but could need a start.

Race 7

In a field with few contenders (1) JULIE'S DAVINCHIE gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but does have gate speed with the best post.  (6) OIL SLICKER if the pacer doesn't make the top a few others have a big shot.  (9) CHANAS LUCKY THREE does have a recent win but needs a smooth trip.

Race 8

(8) EAGLE JEAN will need some luck with the bad post but the stallion trotter has been racing better than his lines appear.   (1) MISS RILEY mare has ability and a good burst of speed but rarely wins; threat.  (7) KELSEY'S STAR mare makes her first start for a new trainer facing much easier,  however the 4-year-old has a tendency to lack stamina late.

Race 9

(9) WESTERN MARK bumps down in class and should have a good shot late against a soft field. (5) SHARP SHUTTLE has paced some fast miles up in class on paper but hasn't been competitive.  (2) BACKDRAFT HANOVER has some positives including third start back off a layoff and also faces easier.

Race 10

(2) DON'T FOOL ME NOW should offer a better price with the bad-looking last line.  Ten-year-old gelding was backed thru the field last start by a horse who refused to sit the pocket.  The veteran pacer will be looking for revenge; fires early.  (4) PL EARL will also be looking for the top and could get a pocket trip.  (1) EX DREAM will offer a big price and should benefit from the best post; use underneath.

Race 11

(8) WILD NORDIC probably has the most ability in the field but will need to find a good spot out of the gate for his best chance.  (5) IKNOWWHATBOYSLIKE picks up a good driver change but has yet to win on the year.  (2) TRIPOLI has more talent than what the mare has been showing but is probably best used underneath with a low percentage pilot.

Race 12

(2) BELLE'S BECKY went a big trip last out closing nicely from a tough spot.  The 4-year-old should be much closer turning for home facing significantly weaker.  (8) MARTINA'S QUEEN well bred mare can trot fast miles from time to time but is saddled with a bad post.  (5) PERFECT HEART BEAT parlayed a pocket trip for an easy score last race and picks up the top driver as a bonus.

Race 13

(4) CHAMP IAN has a ton of speed but needs to ration it out; vulnerable late.  (6) CAN REPEAT gelding makes his second start back off a layoff and has room to improve.  (3) BAY SHARK put in a big effort out of the eight hole last week and would be a threat with a similar effort.

Race 14

(9) WILDCATS TERROR finds a suspect field full of question marks; threat.  (3) COIN OF THE REALM gets sent out for a driver who rarely wins but is probably one of the faster horses in the race.  (7) MONTOYA HANOVER has been improving in a new barn and finds a weak field.

Race 15

(3) MAJOR AT HEART faces easier, was the driver's choice, and will be used aggressively.  (2) WATTAFINE RUSTY is very inconsistent but a good effort could put him on the board at a price.  (7) PANDAPOCKET will likely take heavy tote action off his eye popping victory last out.  The pacer has not raced like that in a very long time and might not get another smooth trip.


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