04/14/2014 4:10PM

Northfield: Tuesday 4/15 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

3 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3,5 / 6 = $12

 

Best Bet: CODYTHECLOWN (7th)

Spot Play: ELM GROVE CONTENDER (15th)

Race 1

(1) FOX VALLEY MERCURY gelding makes his second start in a new barn coming off a huge first effort.  (6) MERIT WINGS drew off easily for a new barn as well last out and could be the only threat to the top choice.  (4) GO SMARTY BRAND has been uncontrollable off the gate and the top driver opted elsewhere; vulnerable late.

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Race 2

(5) CRY FOR CASH gelding comes off a career mark for a red hot barn; short price.  (2) RUFF STUFF JACKSON has shown a big burst of speed in his miles but has a tendency to tire late.  (1) CATCH THAT ANGEL has just been racing evenly and should probably be played underneath.

Race 3

In a really weak and inconsistent field (1) AH STRKIKING STRIDE drops in class and draws the best post.  (2) E'S LAST CHIP has just been racing evenly but should be in line for a ground-saving trip close to the pace.  (4) JAY JAY REDKY will probably take a lot of action at the windows by picking up the top driver, however the trotter needs a lot of racing luck.

Race 4

(2) J JS SISTER showed a big move going three wide at the half just missing last out; faces similar.  (3) WHERE U WAS JAY the obvious threat on paper after a win in this class last start.  (1) GYPSY LADY gets a good driver change and post relief.

Race 5

(3) CYCLONE ASHORE was on fire first start for red hot connections.  A repeat of that effort crushes.  (1) CAM EAST gelding benefits from the top driver, gate speed, and the rail.  (2) CATALINA KID has consistently shown a good burst of speed but would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 6

(8) ACTION EAR TO EAR pacing bred trotter can trot the fastest off the gate and just needs to ration out his speed.  (4) HALL'N CHIPS first-time starter appears to have some ability and would be a huge threat should the top choice falter.  (5) MISS RILEY has upset potential in the right scenario being sent out for a new barn.

Race 7

(2) CODYTHECLOWN lightly raced 4-year-old has been improving with every start and was the driver's choice.  (1) C R FLASH should be much sharper second start back off a long layoff.  The pacer picks up the top driver and could have the only shot to upset the favorite.  (5) CORNO C C was no match for the top choice last out; use underneath.

Race 8

(3) SOMECAM has been good for a new trainer and will probably try and control the pace up front.  (1) CATEGORY SIX veteran pacer can still show some ability from time to time and benefits from the best post.  (4) STORMY GHOST top driver opted elsewhere but his last effort was much improved.

Race 9

In a fairly wide open race  (2) CONDOR HALL makes his second start in a new barn and should offer a nice price.  (1) MASTER'S TRACKSTER draws the rail coming off a game effort.  (3) ROSE RUN NEMO raced really well last start but rarely wins and looks to be overbet.

Race 10

(3) ROUNDING THIRD faces a much easier bunch and picks up a huge driver change.  (1) DR JACKS SHACK has had some bad luck with the draws starting the year off.  The pacer should be in racing shape and ready for an improved effort.  (2) LIGHTNING LUCK the driver rarely wins but might have the most horse to work with.

Race 11

In a field with few contenders (6) GORDIEISANARTIST finally might be heading in the right direction and would be tough to beat with a similar effort.  (1) RENIER DE VIE looks terrible on paper but jumped up with a game mile last time he drew the rail.  (2) NUKES FORTUNATESON drops in class and finds a weak field.

Race 12

(6) MY JUSTICE picks up the top driver and needs a smooth trip.  (5) MOMA JEAN'S CROWN was a game winner last out but is facing a better field; command a price.  (1) LADIES PLEEZ gelding trotter has some upside and just needs to mind his manners for a piece.

Race 13

In a wide open and very tough race to handicap (8) BEACH CRISIS should offer a huge price and with some luck could have a shot late.  (9) SLATTS has yet to win on the year but finds a really weak field.  (4) TJ'S DO IT BEST morning line favorite in the race has raced very evenly and hasn't won in over two years.

Race 14

(3) TYRANY SEELSTER made some changes in the qualifier and might be sitting on a good effort.  (6) JACKIE NO mare has a lot of ability and would be worth a play if you could predict she would stay trotting.  (7) HOLLYS SECRET was much improved last out but will have to overcome a tough post.

Race 15

(5) ELM GROVE COMANDER gelding adds lasix for the first time and gets sent out for a trainer that has shown improvement recently.  (4) SANDYS CANDY well bred gelding has been racing gamely showing good closing ability in his last two; threat.  (1) SCOOTIN BAY draws the rail, drops in class, and paced a faster mile than most of the field last start.

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