08/19/2014 3:59PM

Northfield: Thursday 8/21 Analysis


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: MR ABERDEEN (8th)



Race 1

(3) ANASTASIA WIGGLE faces a motley crew and if she puts in similar effort as qualifier, she can take this. Gets the call because field is weak and price should be outrageous. (5) I NEED YOU has a win to his credit and that sets him apart from most of these. (3) A PRINCES TALE needs to stay flat but that could be all it takes.

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Race 2

(3) TRESNER SEELSTER almost won two back and that sets him apart from most of these. (6) RELLA ON ATTACK has finished wide in his last few and earns a look if he can show some determination. (9) SOUTH PARK KID has to overcome what can be serious early traffic but seems on the verge of an upset.

Race 3

(4) ROSE RUN NEMO has flashed good late speed last two. (1) MYSTICAL SAM should be ideally placed and a late rally does it. (3) FORTUNE KING finished well two back and had to come wide into the lane in last. Some racing luck can get him home.

Race 4

(3) CAPTAIN SCRUFFY drops to a more suitable level and earns the nod. (5) STROSKI has faced this kind in recent and seems more capable in here. (4) SLOT ARTIST has an improved post and faces a weak lot.

Race 5

(1) HOORALY FOR WILLIE is not a world beater, never was and never will be, but seemed like he had a modest future last year; won some races, banked some money and paid some bills. He has the rail, faces much weaker than he is accustomed to and it is now or never. (8) BUILDING WEALTH upset the applecart in last at 50-1 and faces similar. (2) SMOKEN STORMS broke before the start in last but two prior were very good efforts. Drops back to the level of his last win and earns long look.

Race 6

(7) BET ON BLUE has had fewer losing efforts than most in this weak field. (1) MISSY KEYS has the rail and that is enough to think she has a chance against these. (8) UNLIMITED WINNER was much improved in latest, but that was a front-stepping effort from the rail--and he did not break, which is something he has a habit of doing.

Race 7

(3) BLUE TIME ICE LADY seems to have more late speed that the rest of these and with the right drive, she gets it done. (6) STRONG TOGETHER changed barns for last and improved. Modest improvement makes her the main threat. (1) CARMELITAS GIRL draws the rail and takes a modest drop in company.

Race 8

(2) MR ABERDEEN has won a few of recent and faces slightly weaker. (1) MOMS LOOKER has had the opportunity to win last two and should be close at the wire once more with the rail trip. (6) CREDIT SCORE faces much weaker while looking to get back to the winner's circle.

Race 9

(3) VODKAINDUCEDDREAMS has been pounding away and collecting money with every race. (8) TARPORT BELLE won last from the rail but has shown an ability to find a rail trip from the outside, so the post may not be a major liability. (1) SOAKING UP THE SUN will welcome the rail and use it well.

Race 10

(4) MISS RILEY set a new lifetime mark in last and prior were decent efforts. (6) CLASSICAL LOVE has been improving in recent and a win is right around the corner. (7) ROLN MASTER was nailed by the choice in last but put in a good front-stepping effort in the process.

Race 11

(1) MR DYLAN has improved last two and has the rail in beatable field. He can hardly ask for more in his favor. (4) BLUE SCOOTIN MATT has shown some late speed last two and could be along in time if the speed falters. (3) KING RICHARD dropped to this level in last but was parked too long to give it his best.

Race 12

(4) STURDYS BABY beat most of these in last two races with game rallies and seeks third straight victory. (9) ALADY FOR SURE was second to the choice in her last two weeks back. (7) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE was second to the choice in his race last week. (8) BUSTED FLAT was third to the choice in his last two.

Race 13

(6) ICONIC STYLE gets the nod to be little tighter tonight and close on these. (7) BLINDSIDED was used too hard in the early going last time. Post hurts a bit as this beaten favorite tries to atone. (4) ROYAL ONE seldom wins but has been close often.

Race 14

(5) WATERHOUSE closed well two back but last was a no-luck effort over the sloppy track. (2) K C COLT gets the call if you forgive his effort in the sloppy going last time. (7) SPUDCAM has faced better over the track in the recent past. He should appreciate the drop in company.

Race 15

(2) CYCLONE ASHORE won last from post two and faces similar. (3) CANT SLAY ME fits well at this level and has had some paydays facing this kind. (5) FIRST AFTER ME tried to wire in last but ran out of gas. Moves off the rail for this but faces similar and it is the third race off the qualifier, so he could be tighter this evening.

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