07/17/2014 2:37PM

Northfield: Saturday 7/19 Analysis


Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

Race 8: 5 / 1 / 1,3,4 / 2,3,5,6 = $12

Best Bet: CORNERBACK (7th)

Spot Play: NOAH COUNT (9th)

Race 1

(4) FRISK THE TOWN looked like a winner before the miscue and should offer the best value of the contenders.  (5) COOTER DUNN freshman colt will be tough to beat even with a suspect pilot as long as he stays trotting.  (2) CROWNED WITH GLORY has stayed flat in all of his starts and owns the best win in the field by far.

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Race 2

(4) UF FAST FEELIN has been consistently putting in good efforts and should be in line for a decent trip.  (5) BIG BOSSMAN could have the most upside in the field but looks to offer low value; fires early.  (1) FEELIN SPEEDY gets the best post and has room to improve.

Race 3

(4) LANTERNS CHIP gets sent out for proven connections and has a good burst of speed off the gate.  (7) I KNOW MY CHIP two-year-old is two for two but faces his toughest test yet; threat.  (5) BK'S MAGIC MAN will offer a big price and could hit the ticket with some racing luck.

Race 4

(1) CHIP'S DREAMER raced gamely to a tough opponent last out and would be tough to beat with a similar effort.  (9) FULL FORCE has good gate speed and should get a great trip up close.  (4) LOOKSLIKEFIRE had a win at this level the start prior; threat.

Race 5

In a field with few contenders (4) CHIPS A MILLION should get a crack at the favorite late and could be sitting on a big effort with the second time lasix.  (2) KICK A LOT was super impressive last out drawing off and the freshman trotter should get a fairly easy lead.  (1) MISCHIEVOUS CHIP two-year-old colt should be in a great spot if he stays on gait.

Race 6

(1) FRISKIE ADAM is undefeated on the year, draws the best post, and will look to ration out his speed.  (2) CHANCE I MIGHT pacer is ultra-consistent but would need more to hit the top spot.   (3) DIAMONDKEEPER gets sent out for the top barn in the country which can never be overlooked.

Race 7

(3) CORNERBACK gelding was an easy winner in his debut and should have more to offer.  (6) NOBLES FINESSE raced greenly last start but did flash some ability and should be ready for an improved effort.  (1) INDIAN SPIRIT gets the best post and should be in line for a ground-saving trip.

Race 8

(5) GRAY CAMO was impressive last out taking his time to get to the lead before stepping on the gas late.  (1) BORN VILLAIN was no match last out to the top choice but does have plenty of room to improve.  (2) RC FRISKIE improved greatly last out and has some upside.

Race 9

(1) NOAH COUNT has good gate speed and has been racing gamely against older, more seasoned opponents.  (5) MASTER MIGHTY could get a crack late from up close; threat.  (8) SOUL TRAIN looks to have the most ability but needs to overcome a terrible post.

Race 10

(4) LONESOME ATTACK as long as the pacer doesn't get caught up in an early speed duel he should have a big chance for a victory.  (3) ARTIST NIGHT was razor sharp in his first start off the layoff and should be better second start back.  (1) TRUE TO MACH beat a really nice field last out convincingly and gets the best post.

Race 11

(3) ROMPAWAY GALAXY gelding wins for fun if he stays trotting.  (5) CAN'TCUTTHATCHIP is on a nice win streak and would be the horse to beat should the top choice falter.  (6) HOORAY FOR WILLIE could also find himself with a big chance in the right scenario.

Race 12 - Battle of Lake Erie

(3) BOLT THE DUER will be sitting no less than a pocket trip into a big-time speed duel.  The impeccably bred stallion gets a big post edge and is in a touch softer.  (4) CLEAR VISION eight-year-old is the key to the race in how the scenario unfolds.  If the pacer ends up parked the mile it could set up for closers.   (1) NIGHT PRO has won twenty-one races in twenty-eight starts and gets a chance to prove he can pace with the best; threat.

Race 13

(3) JS TANGO went a big effort last out down in class and will be tough to beat with a similar effort.  (2) HAWAII AND SUN has been facing much tougher and will look to do some damage down in class.  (1) CRAIG MICHAEL was a game winner last out but faces tougher.

Race 14

(6) KAHOKU gets a big driver change and should offer good value.  The nice looking trotter could change things up a bit and try to leave for position.  (8) ROSE RUN LOGAN gelding has been lights out when he minds his manners; short price.  (2) ANNIE'S ROCKETMAN will be sitting on the lead or in the pocket but would need some luck to hit the top spot.

Race 15

(4) ALLAMERICAN PEWTER is just now rounding back into racing shape and picks up a much better pilot.  (3) GUN SHOW has yet to win on the year but takes a big drop in class.  (2) ALLAMERICAN COMET is also just now coming back from a long layoff and has lots of room to improve.

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