09/27/2014 5:08PM

Northfield: Monday 9/29 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,2,9 / 7,8 / 1,2,3,9 / 1 = $24


Best Bet: DOUBLETROUBLE (11th)

Spot Play: MODERN GESTURE (8th)

Race 1

In a really weak trotting field (1) NORMA'S ROSE will likely be in line for a great trip on the lead or in the pocket.  (5) VIEWLANDER just needs a smooth trip with a low percentage pilot to hit the ticket.  (2) FULL FORCE gelding owns a good burst of speed when he stays trotting.

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Race 2

(3) DUTCHTREAT HANOVER bumps up in class for an inconsistent trainer, however the pacer is capable of going a big effort from time to time.  (5) HERSMAN makes his first start for new connections and was the top driver's choice.  (2) BASILIO BLUE CHIP will look to take no prisoners but has a tendency to tire late.

Race 3

(2) MASTER PINE went a big effort last out from a very tough post just missing and now picks up a huge driver change.  The veteran trotter will be tough to beat with a similar effort.  (1) SMOOTH POWER gets the best post in an evenly matched race.   (5) CHANGE THE FUTURE gelding will be firing early and needs to ration out his speed for his best chance.

Race 4

(7) SKULL OF ROSES gets a good driver change and owns good closing ability with the right setup.  (3) NAVAHOE raced well last out from a tough post; fires early.  (1) WELCOME WAGON well bred pacer comes into the race with some question marks but is fast enough to get the job done.

Race 5

(8) SUPER LUSTRE is having a solid year and just needs the top driver to work out a trip from the toughest post.  (7) TROTSLIKETHEWIND owns a class edge on the field but also needs to find a way into the race.  (9) JESSE'S MESSENGER should be closer turning for home; use underneath.

Race 6

(9) WESTERN FELLA just missed last out trying to go coast to coast.  The pacer should will offer a better price in a tough race to handicap.  (5) CHANG DYNASTY has been competitive against much better on the year.  (2) JEREME ROCKS should be in line for a good trip up close.

Race 7

(6) LIVELIKEURDYING has been going some big efforts for streaky connections; threat.  (1) MOST REMARKABLE bumps up in class but benefits from the best post.  (2) WOW POWER has been knocking on the door but needs some racing luck.

Race 8

(9) MODERN GESTURE probably needed his last start and will look for a smooth trip at a price.  (2) JUST CROWNED has beaten much better on the year but will offer low value and doesn't have to win.  (1) GRANDE SEELSTER finds a much softer bunch for a hot trainer.

Race 9

(8) MYTHICAL HALL will look to blast to the front and will be tough to beat if he makes an easy lead.  (7) KIRTY DREAM went a big rally last out closing from far back.  The trotting gelding needs to move forward off the gate for his best chance.   (6) MARY'S DARVIN could get an ideal setup for his best racing style; fires late.

Race 10

(9) TOP OF THE MARK well bred stallion finds a softer bunch to do some damage.  (3) TRUE TO MACH bumps back up to the open off a nice victory; threat.   (1) OUR MCLOVIN took a new life mark last out but the top driver opted elsewhere.

Race 11

(1) DOUBLE TROUBLE gelding owns tons of back class, gets the best post, and faces a much easier field.  If the pacer gets over the track he probably wins.   (6) ALLAMERICAN PEWTER comes into the race sharp without a lot to show for it.  (9) LOST JEWELS could be in line for a good trip behind the top choice.

Race 12

(5) EDOM UP BLUE BOY gets sent out for a pilot who rarely wins but the well bred trotter is in career form despite having no shot last out.   (6) VICTORY CANDY MAN needs to avoid a speed duel but could have a shot late.  (7) SOULFUL DELIGHT raced gamely last out but could be in line for a tough trip.

Race 13

(8) MYBROTHERGEORGE gets a suspicious morning line and can bounce back with a good effort.   (9) GLASS PACK could have more to offer than what the pacer has recently shown; threat.  (7) COACH KEN closed from an impossible spot last out and will need another good effort to hit the board.

Race 14

(3) DANCE WITH DAN eight-year-old pacer was roughed up last out but can win with a trouble free trip.  (9) BAY SHARK takes a good drop in class and should offer a fair price in a wide open race.  (4) BOILER BREES also faces easier but needs a good drive from a suspect driver.

Race 15

(3) CAMART HANOVER has been facing much tougher on the year; big chance.  (4) JUDE HALL owns one good move when timed right.  (6) FOX RIVER MARK has just been racing evenly but has a shot with a live outer flow; fires late.

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