08/08/2014 2:42PM

Northfield: Monday 8/11 Analysis + Pick Four ticket


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

4 / 3,7,8,9 / 2,3 / 5,6,9 = $24


Best Bet: EASY STRENGTH (5th)

Spot Play: LOST JEWELS (7th)

Race 1

(2) JESSE'S MESSENGER is better than the field and should win with a good effort.  (3) ABBY mare has a decent burst of speed when timed right; use underneath.  (1) LINUS B WORTHY gets the best post and should get a smooth trip.

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Race 2

(4) WOW POWER faces much easier competition down in class, gets a good driver change, and finds an inconsistent field.  (1) DUCK HOOK was an easy winner at this level last out but is tough to gauge from week to week. (2) MR DYLAN raced better than his line shows last out but needs some racing luck; use underneath.

Race 3

In a wide open race (4) LADY REV looks terrible on paper but owns some back class and can really crank it up when right.  (6) PINE TAB finds a much better spot to do some damage against easier.  (9) MAD COW LISA trotting mare could pull the upset if she minds her manners.

Race 4

(5) ALLAMERICAN LASER should offer good value and gets post relief in a weak field.  (3) MOSH PIT well bred pacer gets sent out for a very inconsistent trainer.  The 4-year-old drops in class and could threaten with a good effort.  (6) SUNBURNED VERN gelding raced gamely last out but faces tougher; command a price.

Race 5

(2) EASY STRENGTH owns a big class edge on the field and will look to run up the score late; short price.  (6) NORDIC VENTURE went a big effort last start but needs to be forwardly placed for a chance to hit the ticket.  (9) SAND ROYAL BLUE gelding has a ton of ability but doesn't own the best gait.

Race 6

(3) JJ NEWTON will offer a big price and has beaten better than this on the year.  (1) SOMECAM is capable of big miles and probably needed his last start.  (9) WARDOG HALL pacer makes his first start for new connections; threat.

Race 7

(9) LOST JEWELS was unable to close on the winner last out but certainly has the ability to upset at a price.  (5) BEANS AND WEENIES will likely be used aggressively down in class.  (4) GALEX four-year-old stallion needed the start over the track and raced better than his line shows.

Race 8

(4) CHASE THE SUN was dominant at this level and picks back up the better pilot.  (2) ACTION METRO MAX has not won a race in a long time but has been knocking on the door.  (1) MIDNIGHT DRAGON should benefit from a nice trip with the best post.

Race 9

(7) KAHOKU needs to find a way into the race but will be dangerous with some early action up front; fires late.  (3) BOOKEM was sneaky sharp last out and needed the start.  (9) SOUTH JERSEY HONEY went a big effort last race against better; threat.

Race 10

(3) MYBROTHERGEORGE was on fire last start with much more to offer.  The well bred pacer gets sent out for a recent hot barn.  (2) JUST CROWNED went a monster effort last out setting a lifetime mark.  The gelding will be tough to beat with a similar effort and was the driver's choice.  (8) ROADSIDE DELIGHT will have a good shot if he blasts out of the gate, otherwise the pacer is probably best used underneath.

Race 11

(5) ROSE RUN LOGAN Seven-year-old gets post relief against an easier bunch.  (6) MISS PANTHERS well bred trotting mare also faces significantly less and is versatile.  (9) DIAMOND HUNTER comes off a break but was just rounding back into racing shape prior to the miscue.  The trotter could be the sleeper in the race with some racing luck.

Race 12

In a tough race to handicap (5) NUTMEGS GIGILO went a big effort last start for a streaky barn that could be ready for a good run.  (3) T R KILOWATT SAM ran off a bunch of wins at this level not long ago; threat.  (4) BASILIO BLUE CHIP gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but the pacer has been putting in consistent miles racing gamely.

Race 13

(4) BIGRISK impeccably bred stallion went a nice effort to a good horse first time over the track.  The 4-year-old will be rolling early and should win with a good effort.  (5) ROYAL CAM-HALL makes his second start for new connections and was a game winner last out.  (1) ABBY'S LUCK picks up a decent driver change and should be in a great spot turning for home.

Race 14

(4) QUIK GROOM pacer gets sent out for a new trainer and takes a significant drop in class.  (6) OSBORNE'S YANKEE has just been racing evenly but also drops in class; threat.   (5) CAN REPEAT will offer a big price but is probably best used underneath on your tickets.

Race 15

(7) LIVELIKEURDYING finds a much easier spot with and was the driver's choice.  (5) RIGHT ON TIME went a big effort at this level last out and will be firing early.  (9) SCOOTNFORDAMONEY could save some ground for a piece underneath.

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