07/19/2014 4:58PM

Northfield: Monday 7/21 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1 / 5,6,7 / 2,3 / 1,2,4 = $18

 

Best Bet: ACTION METRO MAX (8th)

Spot Play: TEDDY KGB (4th)

Race 1

In a field with few contenders (9) CATCH THAT ANGEL should get a good spot out of the gate to have a shot late.   (1) R MASTER SCOTT scored for new trainer showing significant improvement.  The 5-year-old will take heavy tote action with the top driver and could be vulnerable late.  (5) LIGHTNINGINTHESKY has been pacing some fast miles but is probably better used underneath.

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Race 2

(9) NORMA'S ROSE hasn't won in a long time but is facing her softest field in some time; threat.  (1) TASTE OF PARADISE tired badly last out but does own a burst of speed in a suspect field.  (5) TROTALOT gelding takes a significant drop in class and gets a much better post to try his luck.

Race 3

(5) WESTERN CHURCHILL well bred pacer faces much easier and will be used aggressively down in class.  (9) FUDGE also faces easier and gets a hot pilot. (6) FLY BY RY could be overbet based on his lines at Pocono but has made more money in the field by far.

Race 4

In a wide open field (2) TEDDY KGB could show improvement first time out for a new trainer.  (7) HEZA STAR CRUISER faces easier but has just been racing evenly; command a price.  (6) DON'T BETREI ME owns a win against better and will be used aggressively.

Race 5

(2) STORMY GHOST is very inconsistent but does have the ability; threat.   (9) TERROR OF THE TRACK needs to get a good spot out of the gate but does own a decent burst.  (3) WARDOG HALL is just now rounding back into racing shape and should show some improvement.

Race 6

(4) HERECOMESTHECHIEF raced gamely last out just missing getting picked off late.  (3) AL BROWN finally gets a good post against a very inconsistent field. (1) MYSTERY XPOSED a good effort puts the trotter on the ticket.

Race 7

(8) LOST JEWELS will offer a big price and has been deceptively sharp racing from very tough posts.  The gelding owns some back class and could use a fast pace up front to close into.  (5) BEANS AND WEENIES was a game winner at this level last out and should be in the mix late. (2) THE CLASSIC Z TAM came up empty last start but was sharp in his prior starts.

Race 8

(1) ACTION METRO MAX went a big effort last out just missing.  The pacer will be tough to catch with any kind of breather up front.  (9) SANTA'S SPECIAL should be able to get a ground saving trip and with some luck maybe get one run late.  (4) OUR MCLOVIN has went some tough trips but should hit the ticket with a good effort.

Race 9

(7) KIRTY DREAM was the driver's choice and will be blasting early.  (6) MYTHICAL HALL mare also owns good gate speed and her only chance is to move forward off the gate.  (5) MISS PANTHERS the driver opted elsewhere but the well bred mare has a post edge on her main rivals.

Race 10

(2) HARE CRAFT never had a chance last out from a tough post but had been sharp prior.  (3) THORN IN YOUR SIDE got an easy victory down in class but would need much more to hit the top spot.  (1) MIDNIGHT GAMBOL gets the best post but takes a huge step up in class; use underneath.

Race 11

(4) WIND SURFER is the horse to beat and should offer a fair price.  (1) HELLO CARLO was the driver's choice, gets the best post, and looks to be in line for an ideal trip.  (2) CHANGE THE FUTURE driver opted elsewhere and the gelding was roughed up last out but had raced really well the start prior.

Race 12

(1) CYCLONE ASHORE has been really good at this level, and went a big effort against a game opponent last start.  (3) KEVLAR HANOVER veteran pacer makes his third start back off a long layoff and could be ready for an improved effort.  (2) NOAH C raced much better against this group last out; threat.

Race 13

(4) RUST BELT takes a significant drop in class and has made the most money in the field by far.  (3) AT DAYBREAK doesn't win often but gets a better pilot and races better forwardly placed.  (1) IMPRESSIVE JET could hit the ticket at a big price for a new trainer.

Race 14

(6) TAKE A WALK well bred stallion needed his last start and is capable of pulling the upset when he decides to pace.  (9) GEM HEIST looks to offer low value against a better field; use caution.  (3) JAY DEAN DEW finds a wide open race has been very competitive at this level.

Race 15

(2) BET ON ART had almost six weeks in between starts and should have much more to offer.  (5) ON EAGLES WINGS is 0 for the year but has a good move when timed right.  (9) ART'S BOY was parked the mile last out but showed a lot of fight; threat.

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