04/20/2014 9:51PM

Northfield: Monday 4/21 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

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Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

2,3,7 / 4,7 / 1,3,4 / 1 = $18

 

Best Bet: GENUINE STAR N (13th)

Spot Play: MORELAND FLASH (7th)

Race 1

(3) ZORGWIJK HEAVENLY was a different trotter for a new driver last race.  The 9-year-old mare showed a big burst of speed in last and just needs a smooth trip.  (4) LIFE LONG HANOVER well-bred gelding takes a big drop in class, was the driver's choice, and gets sent out for a hot barn.   (2) MASTER'S SWEETIE has just been racing evenly and would need more to hit the top spot; use underneath.

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Race 2

(5) J J NEWTON has really blossomed into a nice pacer and will look to make it eight wins in his last ten starts; short price.  (1) ARGON FIRE is capable of pulling the upset but isn't always consistent.  (6) SKULL OF ROSES needs a fast pace up front and a lot of racing luck.  The pacer does have some closing ability with the right setup.

Race 3

In a wide open race on paper (7) MARY'S DARVIN faces a much easier bunch than his last few but the gelding does need someone to push the pace up front for his best chance.   (1) TALLADEGA HANOVER draws the best post, picks up the top driver, and could get a fairly easy lead.  (6) EASY STRENGTH raced well last start and will offer a big price.

Race 4

(5) BLACK ACE HANOVER put in a big effort first up last out against a game opponent.  The 6-year-old pacer might try and fire off the gate but needs to avoid an early speed duel.  (3) RUST BELT gelding has been facing better and could pick up the pieces late.  (4) HEZA STAR CRUISER has been off three weeks but if ready the 7-year-old does benefit from a huge driver change.

Race 5

(2) ICONIC STYLE could be his time to shine against a weak field.  The pacer gets a great post and has shown a good late burst recently.  (4) DEBT CONSOLIRAIDER has been deceptively sharp and should be closer turning for home.  (8) NDANA FAVORITE despite drawing the worst post the pacer has been the most consistent in the field pacing good miles.

Race 6

(1) CJ'S SUPER SECRET draws the best post and has been racing gamely.  (6) WIND SURFER has a lot of positives in the race.  The well bred trotter faces a much easier field but looks to offer low value.  (7) EDIT needs a lot of racing luck but could the bottom of the ticket if he stays on gait.

Race 7

(8) MORELAND FLASH raced huge last out.  The pacer now makes his third start back off a long layoff and will probably be firing early.  (9) KEN UBR DREAM drops in class and needs to work out a trip from the second tier.  (2) MAJOR SPEED has not won in quite some time but can pace a fast mile in an inconsistent field.

Race 8

(3) MYBROTHERGEORGE gets sent out for a red hot barn and might look to take control early.  (2) NATHAN FEELSGOOD has been knocking on the door in a field with few contenders.  (7) LYONS JOSEPHJNR will take heavy tote action in the top barn but could be at the mercy of a slow pace.

Race 9

(4) PEMBROKE SNAPSHOT gelding has a post edge on his main rival and will look to ration out his speed early; vulnerable late.  (7) KIRTY DREAM well-bred gelding is handicapped outside but faces much easier competition.  (1) SAND ROYAL BLU 4-year-old is one of the fastest trotters in the race when he stays flat.

Race 10

(3) FLORIDABOY CLAYTON the pacer has ability and will offer a big price in a tough race to handicap.  (4) SOMECAM the logical threat on paper with the top driver but most likely won't be on the lead like last out.  (1) REITED XX draws the best post but has just been racing evenly.

Race 11

(1) IWILLDOWHATIDO gets sent out for a red hot trainer for the first time that wins at a big clip in this scenario; big chance.  (3) JS TANGO was able to close into fast fractions last out but is probably best used underneath.  (2) JUMPIN JACK J didn't miss by much making it two straight but now faces better.

Race 12

(2) MY LIFES DESIRE should offer a big price in a wide open race and with a little racing luck will be in a good spot turning for home.  (1) CRAIG MICHAEL gelding has not come around to last year's form but does draw the best post down in class.  (3) GEM HEIST dropped and popped in this same spot last start but is facing better.

Race 13

(1) GENUINE STAR N the line on paper doesn't do the pacer justice in his last effort as he made a break when the gate opened from the worst post on a sloppy track.  The 10-year old recovered going a big trip for the victory.  The gelding can head straight to the winners circle with a similar effort.  (2) MODERN WARFARE picks up a significant driver change and looks to be in line for a good trip.  (5) FOX VALLEY MERCURY could have an excuse not liking the off track last out and was sharp the start prior.

Race 14

(8) ACTION METRO MAX needs to find a way into the race for the top driver but has been pacing some good miles for a hot barn.  (6) CULLENS BLUE JEAN was an easy winner down in class but now steps back up; fires early.  (3) COACH KEN races better when involved early; command a price.

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