01/29/2014 4:58PM

Northfield: Friday 1/31 Analysis


Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Ticket (Race 8): 2,4 / 1,5,6,7 / 3,4 / 3,4 = $32

Best Bet: TAKE A WALK (12th)

Spot Play: SENATOR SAM (9th)

Race 1

In a very weak field (5) MASTER LAD PRO has closing ability and will offer the right price.  (4) SHE’S A JAILBIRD never got into the race last time but does show the most on paper; use caution.  (8) BEAUTY CHIP mare is one of the faster trotters in the race despite drawing the worst post. 

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Race 2

(6) THE RAINCATCHER mare has excuses in her last two and finds a very inconsistent field.  (2) JACKIE NO went a nice effort down in class holding on gamely.  The 5-year-old trotter bumps back up in class but is a threat with a repeat of that last effort.  (5) ABBEYCREST looks to offer low value and rarely wins; command a price. 

Race 3

(4) MARY’S DARVIN is a good steer away from a nice piece and might be the sharpest horse in the race.  (6) GIRLS WILLB GIRLS gets a significant driver change which has to be looked at.  (1)  MACAO appears to be in line for an ideal trip up close to the pace; threat.

Race 4

In a wide open race tough to handicap (1) GUN‘S BOUNTYHUNTER draws the best post and should offer a fair price.  (2) THREE ROCK NIGHT well bred four year old is very inconsistent and is probably best used underneath.  (4) FRISKIE PANTS hasn’t won in a very long time but does have a decent record hitting the ticket. 

Race 5

(2) HERE COMES BUBBA looked to be making a big move last out before making a miscue.  The trotter needed the start and could be sharper.  (3) CARSON‘S VICTORY was the drivers’ choice and just needs to stay trotting for a piece.  (1) MYSTERY RINGER has been off almost a month and could need a start; use underneath. 

Race 6

(3) WESTERN MARK is coming off a nice race, picks up a top driver, and gets sent out for a new barn.  (5) PRIME TIME POPPA would be my top selection in the race had he not been off a month; threat.  (1) I KNOW YOUR LOOKIN raced gamely last out wiring the field and now gets an ideal post to try and duplicate his last race. 

Race 7

(2) HRS MAJOR WINDFALL gets sent out for a hot trainer and drops in class.  (1) CHIP‘S SHADOW has taken considerable tote action in his last few starts, gets huge post relief, along with also dropping in class.  (5) MISS EVA CASH could contend for the top spot with a little racing luck and the right trip. 

Race 8

(4) GENIUNE STAR N picks up the top driver and finds a good spot to do some damage.  (2) LOMBO POWER SHOT A has been racing much better for a new barn and has been pacing faster than most of the field.  (5) DAX HANOVER also gets a positive driver change but has lacked stamina late. 

Race 9

(7) SENATOR SAM seven-year-old trotting stallion will offer a big price and might have some back class to call upon if he gets towed into it.  (1) LONG STEM ROSE comes off a nice win and is right back in the same class; threat.  (5) HIGH STAKES BANKER gelding is sitting on a winning effort but is handicapped by the driver. 

Race 10

(4) SEE YA LATER DUDE is one of few contenders in the race and should offer the better price.  (3) MAJOR MIKE was a game winner last out but will probably be overbet and could be a good play against.  (2) FRY VALLY FREDIE gets a good starting post and should save some ground before shaking loose late. 

Race 11

(4) TEAM ZORDIN well bred trotter comes off a long layoff but does have two decent qualifiers to go along with proven connections.  (3) LIMA LUCKY is dangerous in this spot especially if the top choice needs a start.  (1) CRAZY X LOVER has some ability and gets sent out for new connections; threat. 

Race 12

(6) TAKE A WALK adds lasix for the second time and could improve off his last win.  (1) AIRGUITAR ROCKSTAR made more money than most of the field last year, draws the best post, but has been off for a month.  (8) DAWN OF TREY raced gamely last out from a tough spot.  The pacer would need some racing luck but does have the ability to pace a big mile. 

Race 13

(4) POLO JOHNNY could have raced a bit better last start, however he finds a weak and inconsistent field.  (1) WHOLE LOTTA SHAKIN needed his last start, picks up the top driver, and gets the best post in a wide open race.  (9) SHOCKBBYELECTRIC couldn’t close ground against weaker; use underneath. 

Race 14

(5) B COR THOMAS takes a good drop in class and has been trotting faster than the field.  (4) LEGACY CHIP has just been trotting evenly and would need more to get past the top choice.  (6) MAKIN GREEN LAVEC was going really good for a while and does have ability despite racing inconsistently. 

Race 15

(9) AE WESTERN INGOT showed a big burst of speed last out that could signal a turnaround with a smooth trip.  (5) FLYING METRO finds a very weak field full of question marks and did race better last out.  (1) BLUE SCOOTIN MATT comes off a scratch but gets the best post in a bad field.