09/26/2016 11:40AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 9/27 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 5/4,7/3,4,7/3,5,6,8/2,3,9 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 3,5,6,8/2,3,9/1,7,8/3,5 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 3,5/3,4,8,9/5,6,7/1,5 = $48

MEET STATS: 366 - 1102 / $1899.20  BEST BETS: 60 - 101 / $188.20

SPOT PLAYS: 22 - 101 / $140.00

Best Bet: DANCER HALL (1st)

Spot Play: JIMMY BE GOOD (8th)

Race 1

(5) DANCER HALL had a sharp debut featuring a quick closing burst. He looks best here and may get sent right down the road by A Mac. (3) GAELIC LASS made up a lot of ground in the third 1/4 last time then kept coming in a good effort. She too could get put into play earlier here in a race with few real contenders. (7) BRED FOR GREATNESS finished behind the choice in his debut but it's reasonable to expect improvement here. (8) CHARMBO CHROME is likely to take a smaller share if he stays flat this time.

Race 2

(7) HONOR ABOVE ALL has improved sharply in his past three starts and he has shown that he can endure long trips and win. He may be an overlay here with (4) DEWDLE ALL DAY entered off a close second-place finish in the Elegant Image. The latter was the recipient of some good racing luck last time when the 1/9 favorite got buried throughout. I will side with Honor Above All as a solid top pick here. (3) UNICUM BI can share racing from close range if he stays flat. (5) COUNTRY PROPHET threw in a clunker last time but he figures for a smaller share here.

Race 3

(7) SHEER TALENT flew home last time to just miss, she has a recency edge on her main foes and she should be a square price here; top call. (4) SOMEMONEYSOMEWHERE should be a solid threat from close range dropping out of Grand Circuit company. (3) OBVIOUS BLUE CHIP also takes a big plunge but has now missed more than three weeks which could be a factor. (1) STONEBRIDGE SUNDAE was third in a Grand Circuit race two back and she has an upset chance here if she stays pacing.

Race 4

(3) THE ILLUMINATOR lit up the tote board in his second start with Zeron driving with a new life's mark win punctuated by a powerful first up brush in the final 1/4; call to repeat. (8) VEGAS DREAM made two moves as part of a hot pace and he didn't fade badly; using. (5) LIMA C ROCK should be closer here if he gets involved earlier. (6) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP should go forward after getting some rust off with a first-over trip in his first start of the year. He is another to consider for Pick 4 and Pick 5 bets.

Race 5

(9) PENNIES FROM HEAVEN has missed more than three weeks but she is also clearly the fastest in here; slightest of nods considering the stale date of her last race. (3) STORMONT VICEROY can build off his big win in which he spent most of the mile uncovered last week. The post relief should help. (2) VERY CLASSY should be a threat off her sharp effort last week, but her weak win record is concerning. (4) GRAMSTER lost to a sharp repeat winner last week in her first start over Mohawk. Consider her for exotic wagers.

Race 6

(8) GO FIND OUT faces much easier here dropping back to race against maidens. (7) TALLULAH HANOVER made two moves last time which likely resulted in her tiring late. She could take this with an easier trip. (1) LAURA HILL looks best of the rest and could trip out from the inside post here. (2) PRETTY ANGEL EYES paced her best mile yet last time and she should take a share here.

Race 7

(5) SPORTS COWBOY comes off two decent efforts out of town now goes for the potent Blais/Filion combo; top call. (3) SOUTHWIND DIESEL was close in a couple of quick miles for this class and he merits a look here. (8) WOODACUDASHUDA is worth a look debuting for Menary and getting McNair back to drive. (2) EAST END will likely take a smaller share as has been his custom most of the year so far.

Race 8

(3) JIMMY BE GOOD could easily get a similar pace setup as last week when he roared home to take a new life's mark; call to repeat. (9) TERROR SUSPECT is sent out by the leading trainer here and he too may get a great stalking trip behind a few rapid leavers; consider. (4) SKY GUY is holding his form well and can grind it out and keep coming; using. (8) TWIN B SHADOW is likely to be a big speed threat, but there are likely a couple of others with the same idea here.

Race 9

(7) GOLDEN SON missed the Grassroots final when he blew up early in the semi-final so he goes here instead. He should be a top contender if he stays flat. (6) AMOUREUSE HANOVER has improved sharply in her last two starts and she will be passing most of these down the lane; using. (9) A ROD HALL fits well here and can overcome his post as long as his gait issues don't resurface. (5) ZAGSTER exits OSS Gold races and he isn't out of the question but he will likely be over bet relative to his chances.

Race 10

(1) NEVER BEEN TOLD has been solid at this level for a few weeks and the inside post should help his chances here. (5) CALGARY SEELSTER plunges to the bottom claiming level off a poor effort. He would be no surprise but he could also get way over bet. (7) NICHOLAS RYAN can take a piece here if he can find a spot near the front early. (8) PYLATER is a good one to use underneath here. (9) LITTLE TURK is worth a look on the barn change angle. He can close for a share here.

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