09/14/2015 1:13PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 9/15 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3,6/1,5,8,9/1,3,9/5,6 = $48


LATE PICK 4: 5,6/6,7/2,6,7,8/1,2,4 = $48

MEET STATS: 307 - 985 / $1684.40 BEST BETS: 43 - 88 / $141.50

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 84 / $92.30


Spot Play: REASONABLE FORCE (10th)

Race 1

(8) THISLADYSDYNAMITE raced against colts last time and didn't fare too well. She races against her own sex here and looks like one of only two real contenders. (7) ITS ALL ABOUT SAM looks best on paper but has missed a month, has bigger races to worry about and is worth trying to beat at a short price here. (1) MAJESTIC DIVA stayed flat for the first time last week and hit the ticket. She could get another minor share here if she behaves.

Race 2

(6) ALL THAT SPARKLES has faced much better and should roll this field at a short price. (9) READY TO IGNITE drops out of the same Grand Circuit stake as the choice and looks next best. (7) FANCY STEP gets a catch driver for the first time and is longshot option for exotic wagers.

Race 3

(5) WHOSGOINGTOCATCHUS has amassed an 0-27 record but got much closer with Filion last week and retains the leading driver. She could finally breakthrough but I wouldn't take a short price. (1) AMITYVILLE LINDY took insane tote action last week and never really got close. Her late speed has been very good recently and she too could breakthrough here. (7) THE SPRINTER hung on well at Three Rivers despite being parked the mile and facing an accelerating late pace. Another chance in a wide-open dash.

Race 4

(3) MISS PRINCESS LEAH took heavy action last week but got going way too late to make an impact. She needs to get going sooner but is a top contender here. (6) SEXYANDINOITDEVIE closed impressively in her debut and will likely take lots of play here and get a more aggressive drive; using. (2) BIG WHITE PEARL was only 4 1/2 lengths back of the division leader last time but will likely be over bet on that basis; minor award predicted.

Race 5

(5) NOFEAR BLUE CHIP raced tough first-over in his best effort to date last week; top call here. (9) ROSE RUN REANNA stayed in last time but did have late trot to offer and now returns to a 7-day cycle here; using. (8) V FOR VICTORY drops out of the OSS Golds and gets Lasix. A Mac will likely be sending hard. Keep him on your early pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(9) THOUGHTYOUDLIKEIT debuts for McIntosh facing a field that is 1 for 139 combined lifetime. He wouldn't have to be much to compete here right away. (1) SABINE PASS was too far back last time as the winner was taking breathers on the lead. He should be better here but also has hanging tendencies. (3) PACE SEELSTER has faced much better recently and isn't without a shot despite his 0-21 record.

Race 7

(5) E L LOVE was unbeaten in the spring until she faced some really fast ones at The Meadows and broke. Based on the qualifier she looks faster herself now and gets top call here. (6) LMC MARSHMELLOW was involved in a quick early pace last time and faded a bit. She gets Lasix here which should help her take these a long way; using on pick 4 tickets. (7) CRAZY BLUE has done well with Filion but need to find more late speed to contend for the win here.

Race 8

(6) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE faces easier here and last time was in a similar class he was an easy winner; top billing. (1) GOOD FRIDAY THREE is showing signs of returning to form and facing NW2L will help here. (7) NEW MIRACLE was a solid first-up winner last time and could trip out here on cover for resurgent teamster Condren.

Race 9

(6) LUCK O THE IRISH had trouble keeping up to the winner last time on the final turn but kept coming in a rapid last 1/4 to finish a solid 3rd. He looks tough in here. (2) ETERNAL QUEST closed from farther back to finish just behind the choice and figures to lay closer with the move inside. (8) HEMI SEELSTER took his Simcoe field a long way on the engine and is another contender in this very competitive tilt.

Race 10

(1) REASONABLE FORCE catches a field loaded with early speed and should leave mid-pack then pounce when the leaders start to falter. (2) THORN IN YOUR SIDE faced better down south and will be sent for all he's worth but may get in an early battle which could compromise his win chances. (4) REB THE RAIDER ripped off two quick miles at Hanover and looks good but may need to try to sit a trip here considering the other speed signed on. (6) WHOSURPAL pressed a rapid pace and took a clear lead into the stretch then tired a bit. He could better this prediction. (3) ADVERSARY SEELSTER is a good one for the bottom exotics slots but rarely threatens the winner.

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