09/12/2016 11:51AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 9/13 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 4,8/2,4,6,9/3/2,3,4,6/2,5,6 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,4,6/2,5,6/8/2,8 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,5,6/1,2,5/3,4,7/7 = $36

MEET STATS: 337 - 1002 / $1751.50  BEST BETS: 56 - 93 / $177.00

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 93 / $119.10

Best Bet: YOURE MY HERO (6th)

Spot Play: COUNTRY PROPHET (2nd)

Race 1

(8) HUDSONS YA YA beat similar two back then was part of an interference break in a Grassroots race. She should be prominent throughout here. (4) HOLIDAY PROMISE was second in a quick mile vs. a good one last time; using. (6) MAGIC MADDY was second to the choice last time and she should be at least a pace factor here. (1) BUSY DOING NOTHING has taken a check every start and that trend should continue here although others look better for the win.

Race 2

(2) COUNTRY PROPHET has raced better in his last two starts now he moves inside. He hasn't won since last November but his improving form signals another score is coming soon. (4) TYMAL DIAMOND was passing some horses in a quick back 1/2 last time but she was too far back to threaten the strong winner. She can be closer early here; using. (6) HILLS ANGEL is another with improving form that is worthy of consideration here. (9) HONOR ABOVE ALL went an impressive trip on the rim last time then was a vet scratch (sick). He can better this prediction if he can avoid getting hung out this time.

Race 3

(3) CATCH THE DREAM was too far back last time but moving inside here should see him get a better start this time; top call. (1) RUBBER DUCK may try to brush and crush on the backside this time after failing first-over three times straight; beware. (2) INTIMIDATE stopped very late in the mile last time - likely due to missing five weeks - and he should be tighter here and perhaps a better price. (8) O NARUTAC PERFETTO will be closing late, as always, but is more likely to take a smaller share here.

Race 4

(2) BROOKDALE BRUISER left hard last time then took a shuffle in a decent performance. He could sit a great trip here and score at a square price. (4) MAROMA BEACH had a good debut race which he should be able to build off here; using. (3) BILLS FELLA is getting closer and is another to consider for multi-race bets here. (6) PASSPORT TO ART is a contender but he needs to find more late to get that initial score.

Race 5

(6) UTOPIA powered up to win from far back last week now Macdonald - who is turning into a bit of a specialist with deep closers - takes over; call to repeat. (5) STORMONT WIZARD has raced decently in both starts since coming off a break and he could surprise here. (2) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY was nailed by the choice last time but she fits this class well; consider. (9) CROWN CLASSIC should be passing horses late for a minor share, at least.

Race 6

(8) YOURE MY HERO qualified sharply now comes up untagged. He is capable of speed close to the 1:50 mark when right and perhaps he being entered without a tag is a sign of confidence; on top. (1) SINGLE WHITE SOCK has produced sub-28 final 1/4s in his last two which puts him right there if he can work out a decent trip. (5) MACHAPELO raced decently despite a tough trip last time. He can make the ticket here. (7) SPORTS LIGHTNING is capable of closing sharply on his best day and he is in with an upset chance here.

Race 7

(2) BATOUTAHILL destroyed similar on the class drop last week and she should repeat here if she behaves. (8) UNICUM BI regularly produced sub-29 kickers on the end of his mile which makes him a threat here. (3) STRIKNGLYIMPRESIVE should be up front early and can stick around for a slice here. (1) GIANT MUSCLES is worth a look for the exotics adding Lasix and starting from the inside here.

Race 8

(5) D M REACHER was impressive in his debut despite being nailed right on the money by a rival that closed from last; graduation day. (6) ALWAYS ROCK N ROLL drops back from non-winners of two and is an obvious threat here. (3) ARSENAL SEELSTER comes off a sharp maiden score and is worthy of Pick 4 consideration. (2) SOUTHWIND DEISEL will likely revert back to closing tactics here and is another that could take this with the right trip.

Race 9

(2) ELDORADO OF GOLD S had a nightmarish journey last time starting from an outside post. He fits in this class and moves inside. He should be right there vs. these. (5) BIG RICH drops to the bottom conditioned level and he should get sent early here; using. (1) ENTRANCED moves in 9 posts which could make all the difference from a trip standpoint; using. (9) WAY OUTTA HERE could make the ticket if he can stay flat, but that in itself looks somewhat dicey.

Race 10

(3) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE had some trouble last start with an interference break but she gets to face much easier now and she should be formidable in this spot. (4) SIR NATIVE faces elders but has some upside and she can contend here if she is put into play early enough. (7) DOCS SAUSALITO is erratic but capable vs. these on her best day. Toss her on Pick 4 tickets. (1) HP PANDORA can follow along for a minor share here.

Race 11

(7) MR VARSITY was very impressive drawing off late for his maiden score last week. He faces older now, but, he should repeat if given a similar drive. (2) SIR GALAHAD passed them all last week - a feat that you only see a couple of times per meet here - and he has to be considered off that mile. (3) THE AVENGER can leave near the front here and stick around for a slice at a price. (6) BUGGER JERRY rarely missed the ticket and is a good one to use on the bottom here. (4) LOUIE THE SHARK exits a couple of quick stakes dashes and he could better this placing.

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