08/08/2016 12:42PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 8/9 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 5,6,8/1,3,5,8/2/2,8,9/2,9 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 2,8,9/2,9/1,3,4,7/2 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 2/9/4,5,9/2,3,9 = $9

MEET STATS: 266 - 749 / $1419.70  BEST BETS: 44 - 70 / $142.90

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 69 / $86.60

Best Bet: TOM HILL (8th)

Spot Play: MOONLIGHT COCKTAIL (7th)

Race 1

(5) LMC MARSHMELLOW took a shuffle last week vs. better and was beaten less than four lengths. This group should be more to his liking; slight nod. (6) KEN KAN WIN took plenty of action last week then he blew up before the start. If he can stay flat here he should be right there. (8) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL was only a 1/2 length behind the choice last time and she should also appreciate the class drop here. (2) SUMMIT CITY NATE has been racing okay out of town and he is capable of taking a slice here from close range.

Race 2

(5) I WANT KANDY took a new life's mark in just her third start for trainer Montini. I'll give her the nod here based on that recent good performance. (1) TRUE MUSCLE has a win and a second the past two times she has been in Grassroots races; using. (3) GROUPIE DOLL is going to pop for a win one of these weeks; maybe tonight? (8) DUCHESS KATE is capable of a big speed try if she can overcome gait issues.

Race 3

(2) ANNELI HANOVER is hard to go against here based on recent form; top call. (5) POWERFUL GLARE raced well in severe conditions last time and she should be a threat here. (7) SILKY FLASHY NFAST can't seem to break the goose egg in the win column but she is bound to grab another minor share vs. these. (10) EMMALULU has a great record vs. lesser and she will likely be a big price here. Toss her on the bottom of your Super bets.

Race 4

(8) B FAST EDDIE has turned things around in the past month and comes off a start in which he took a new life's mark. He should be tough in here. (2) PUDONG PHIL moves into a hot barn and is worth using in multi-race wagers here. (9) JACK RACKHAM is one of the best in here, but post 9 may not be the best situation for him. (3) LISSILAS can follow along and take a smaller share here.

Race 5

(9) MAGICAL VALENTINE had a good tightener for this and should be tough here racing in Grassroots company. (2) DEWTIFUL LASS will pop at a price one of these weeks. Keep her on Pick 4 tickets. (4) P L JILL broke while making a move on a very wet track last time. She can rebound here on a fast track. (8) THE MUSCLE TOUCH almost always takes a check and tonight should be no different.

Race 6

(1) BADLANDS DELIGHT closed a big gap last time now she moves in eight posts; slight nod in a contentious field. (4) MARINA DESBI has been on fire out of town and she merits Pick 4 inclusion here. (7) SOPHIE BLU was very close with Hudon driving two starts back; using. (3) MISSTWINKLINSJONES displayed sharp speed both early and late last time out at Georgian. She is worth a look here.

Race 7

(2) MOONLIGHT COCKTAIL was a winner in this class in June which was also the last time she drew an inside post. Expect a big wakeup here. (3) ROADMAPPER has been racing well enough at Rideau Carleton to make her a contender here. (8) WORK THAT MAGIC had a decent tightener just four days ago; using. (7) SMASH HIT is typically one-paced but sticks around for a share; minor award predicted.

Race 8

(9) TOM HILL was in to go last week but the race was cancelled due to a power outage. If he comes close to repeating his July 19th mile here, he is a winner.  (3) MACH MESSIER was a sharp winner vs. easier but his consistency and good form should be respected. (6) BLAISE MM HANOVER comes off a vet scratch and has now missed a month's action; your call. (1) THINK ON IT makes only his second start of the year and has been very lightly raced in his two-year career. This one is also a bit of a head scratcher.

Race 9

(9) CASH FOR GOLD woke up and produced a huge mile last week. Post 9 likely isn't great for him, but it should help the price and he could beat these if he gets moving earlier. (5) ADVERSITY is a drop-and-pop specialist and a must-use here. (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO continues to race well but seems to need some luck to pass them all. (1) STEPPIN OUT is in incredibly sharp form but he gets an acid test here and may find some of these too good.

Race 10

(9) GOOD FRIDAY THREE has put two decent miles in a row together after being off form for many, many months. Slight improvement here gets the job done. (2) RAFA is erratic but he should like this class and may try to go down the road this time. (3) SHIPPEN OUT had a long first-up trip last time which isn't his game. If he gets a covered trip here, he can win. (7) MAC RAIDER can leave, take a tuck near the front, then stick around for a slice. (4) CURATOR is logical for a smaller share here.

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