08/03/2015 12:07PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 8/4 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,5,9/1,2,3,8/3,6/2,5 = $48

 

LATE PICK 4: 3,6,7/1,7/2,5,6/3,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 204 - 670 / $1157.80 BEST BETS: 28 - 60 / $96.90

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 60 / $57.30

Best Bet: CAPRICE HILL (2nd)

Spot Play: ADVENTURE LUCK (4th)

Race 1

(7) PISCEAN has a bizarre form pattern of: good race/break stride/good race/break stride. If that holds here he should stay flat and take these coast-to-coast as he did two back when taking a new life's mark. (2) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE was hung the route last time and understandably faded late. He should get a better trip here and be in the mix throughout. (10) UP THE ALLEY has been solid in his last couple and will get ignored starting from out there. He's one to consider for exotics at a good price.

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Race 2

(7) CAPRICE HILL at this point could very well be the top rookie trotting filly on the continent. It's hard to see her losing here unless she runs. (2) DANISH DARBY overcame a mid-race shuffle to nab 2nd behind the choice last time at big odds. She could get the same kind of trip here. (1) MAGICAL WONDER has yet to miss the board and was an impressive maiden-breaker in her Mohawk debut. She'd have to find a lot more speed to challenge the choice, however.

Race 3

(1) INSPIRATION VIEW, a $35K Harrisburg purchase, ships in showing two impressive wins to start his career. He'll be tough here starting from the inside. (7) ARSENIC took a lot of money in an OSS Gold event last time off his impressive debut win. He didn't convert but it was still a decent effort and he's the main danger. (3) SOUTHWIND MAYHEM tried the Battle of Waterloo elimination with no success but can get back on track here with a share.

Race 4

(2) ADVENTURE LUCK was claimed by Stewart then ripped off a quick mile for the class when winning at Clinton. He excels with new acquisitions; top call. (5) PASSIONATE PETE had his win skein ended by a sharp opponent last week that won easily. He fits here and is dangerous. (9) WHO DEY roared up late for third in his first start for a new barn and is a sharp threat here. Stick him on your early Pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(8) BENE BENE is a full-sister to three winners including $753K earner Bella Dolce (1:54 2/5) and $869K earner Miss Paris (1:54 2/5). She showed a little of what she can do in her third and final qualifier; top call. (2) EMOTICN HANOVER was a sharp winner in quick time in her debut then a vet scratch - sick. She's a main contender here as is (1) DEVILS ADVOCATE who is blossoming for Hall of Famer Waples and (3) HIGH HEELS who escapes the monstrous Caprice Hill. Use all four of these on your Pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(6) SO RAVEN came up against a very sharp debut winner last time that just jogged. She is one of many in with a chance here but should get a spot up near the front early which will help her chances. (3) KATIES BEACH was asked for nothing from the 10-hole last week yet still came home in :54 flat. Expect a more forward placing early here. (9) CAMPS BAY finished fast to take her lone qualifier and wouldn't be a huge shock in this modest field.

Race 7

(2) DUH BUBBEES was passing horses quickly at the wire last week and drawing inside tonight likely gets sent early which is a better style for him; top call. (5) KEN KAN WIN has reeled off three monster wins on “B” tracks to start his five-year-old campaign. Not many trotters in non-winners classes go a 27 4/5 second quarter at Georgian Downs and continue to extend their lead. This guy should be tough in here, too. (3) JUANITAS FURY has been disappointing so far this year but figures to get a piece of this.

Race 8

(3) LINDY BEACH is a half-brother to two winners from his dam - the only two that have raced - that are a combined 13 wins from 39 starts. He has shown enough speed in his qualifiers to suggest he will be competitive immediately; top call. (6) BIG DYLAN was also sharp in both of his morning trials and should be on late Pick 4 tickets. (7) HIGH TIMES faced the same tough filly twice and can better this placing.

Race 9

(7) POWERFUL GLARE survived a long trip to almost get it done last time and was only nailed late by one that was covered up throughout. She picks up Tetrick here which surely won't hurt; on top. (1) RADIANT BEAM was impressive in her debut vaulting past all but the winner late; the main threat.(5) COULD IT BE MAGIC won twice easily then came up against a tigress. She'll be winging it early, no doubt.

Race 10

(2) MUSCLE MATTERS broke a long win drought with authority last week and although he faces tougher, he may be up to it. (5) CHARLIE IS A JOKER has really stepped up his game the past two months and is a top contender here. (6) COCO LINDY drops from the top class and is another in with a shot in a compact but competitive field.

Race 11

(10) RUSTYS OVERLOAD won easily from this post last week and Jamieson is as good as they come at floating out and beating a few for position early; call to repeat. (3) RJB was an impressive winner two back in his Mohawk debut then got too far back on too much cover last time. He still closed sharply and is a top contender here. (7) ABSOLUTLY OFFICIAL got into a crazy speed duel last time and almost survived it. He could do here with a better trip. (8) WILDCAT LIGHTNING rarely misses a cheque. Use him on the bottom rungs of tris, supers and high-5s. (5) SANTANNA STAR brings a strong record in from Georgian but would need to find more late speed here to contend for the top spot.

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