08/29/2016 11:25AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 8/30 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,3,8,10/3,4,7/4/1,2,3/1,8 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,3/1,8/4,7,8/2,4,8 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 2,4,8/3,4,9/1,3,4/3 = $27

MEET STATS: 310 - 905 / $1606.10  BEST BETS: 52 - 84 / $166.60

SPOT PLAYS: 19 - 84 / $108.60

Best Bet: SHADOW ROUGE (10th)

Spot Play: BIG BAD BILL (4th)

Race 1

(1) GOLDEN SON - like many of the Grassroots trotters - broke stride at Clinton and lost all chance. Getting back on the bigger track will help him here; top call in the opener. (3) AGENT DINOZZO obviously has some talent, but he has gait issues, too. If he behaves, he can threaten here; using. (10) WILLYORWONTHE is worth a look at a price with a catch-driver taking the reins. (8) WINDSUN MISSILE can pass a few of these late and fill one of the lower exotic rungs.

Race 2

(3) MISTER MUSCLE almost pulled off a shocker in a Gold sires stakes dash here two back, before having an eventful trip on the Hanover 1/2-miler. If he races back to that penultimate start, he will be tough in here. (7) SWEET KIMMY stayed in last time despite being heavily bet, then closed up okay at the end of her mile. More is expected here. (4) LITTLE LION MAN is worth a look here off a long trip last time which he endured to hang around for third. (2) RARE RUBY can parlay a following trip into a small share here.

Race 3

Put a line through (4) NOFEAR BLUE CHIP's race at Clinton. If he behaves here and comes up with anything close to his mile two starts back over Mohawk, the rest of them will be racing for 2nd. (2) MISSION MAN should get a much better trip here with the move to an inside post; consider at a price. (5) V FOR VICTORY seems to be improving and he adds Lasix here. He can grab a piece of this purse. (1) MASS BALANCE also adds Lasix and he has shown enough speed previously to contend with this group.

Race 4

(2) BIG BAD BILL was trounced in an OSS Gold race coming off a vet scratch last time. Henry chose him over three others here, however, and his July races put him right there in this group. (3) PASSPORT TO ART disappointed last week but he could get a more aggressive steer here with the driver switch. (1) SOCCER HANOVER motored home without threatening last week. There could be sharp improvement coming from this colt here. (9) WOODACUDASHUDA hasn't missed the board yet and he could better this prediction if he can work out a decent trip starting from out there.

Race 5

(8) GONNA FLY has consistently shown he is one of the best in this division. He should be tough to beat here again. (1) TOUGH GET GOING has improved recently and appears to have been sold last week now debuts for trainer Auciello; using. (4) BOW TIES N BOURBON is a good one to use underneath here. (9) DEFI NORMAND can contend for a share if he can get a spot in the top flight early.

Race 6

(8) BUCKEROO fired off a rapid last 1/4 at Grand River now he gets his regular pilot back here. An early blast to the front off the gate wouldn't shock me tonight. (4) KINGSLEY B rode a perfect trip to a quick new life's mark last week. He could be wildly ove bet here off his final time and is worth trying to beat, but he should be kept on Pick 4 tickets. (7) ADORE HIM showed some life late in his mile last time after missing almost three weeks due to sickness. He is definitely worth considering in this spot. (1) SIERRA MADRE is a good one to use in the bottom rungs of Tri and Super bets.

Race 7

(4) LINDYS TRU GRIT and (2) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY both take sizable class drops here and they should be the two main protagonists. I will give the former the nod based on recent speed shown at the end of his miles. (8) DOMEDOMEDOME did all the work first up last time and was unlucky to be nailed late. She will be a much better price here and is worth including on Pick 4 tickets. (1) TOTALLY RIPPED is logical to close for a smaller share here.

Race 8

(3) P L JERICO had a good tune-up for this Grassroots dash last week where he finished 3rd in a quick non-winners of two race. He should get a good trip on or near the lead here. (4) MUSCLES BOUND has improved with Henry driving and he sticks here with options for three others; using. (9) MAGIC MISSIONS is another that possesses enough early speed to get a good spot near the front early. Toss him on late Pick 4 tickets. (2) MIDNIGHT TOKER hasn't been able to break through yet this year but he looks logical to take at least a minor share.

Race 9

(4) HARPER BLUE CHIP couldn't fend off two classy foes last time. He should fare better here and is likely to notch his first win since October 2014. (3) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY has been flying home late and will likely be a good price on the class jump here; consider. (1) RUBBER DUCK is always a threat in this class - especially from an inner post - and should be on late Pick 4 tickets. (6) ELEGANT SERENITY has mostly struggled this year racing against the best of her own gender.

Race 10

(3) SHADOW ROUGE goes from a Grand Circuit stake to a maiden race here and has to be considered the top contender in against maidens. (9) SOUTHWIND DEISEL is a full-brother to an 18-time winner and he looks ready to contend immediately based on his lone qualifier. (4) WILD ZINGER has been overbet in both of his last two starts and failed as the chalk. Tonight the price goes up, and he isn't out of this. (5) MY OLD MASTER was beaten by a good one last week but still brings a 0-15 record into this start; for a minor award only. (10) MAD MAD WORLD had a decent opener and he could crack the exotics at a price here.

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