08/01/2016 11:06AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 8/2 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 4,5,7/6/3,4,5,6/1,3,4,9/1,3,10 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,4,9/1,3,10/2/1,2,6,7 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,6,7/2,4,5/5/1,4,5 = $36

MEET STATS: 255 - 721 / $1376.90  BEST BETS: 42 - 68 / $136.90

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 66 / $82.90

Best Bet: TOM HILL (9th)

Spot Play: GRAVITATOR (8th)

Race 1

(7) MAGIC PRESTO was a sharp debut winner with a quick final 1/4 for a two-year-old filly making her initial start; call to repeat. (5) ON A SUNNY DAY is an unbeaten double stake winner so far and will likely go off a big chalk here again. She is formidable, but may provide the perfect target for the choice. (4) SWEET OF MY HEART looks next best and isn't without a shot to topple the two above if she gets a good trip. (1) STUCK IN MY SPANKS can follow along and take a share here.

Race 2

(6) WINTER SWEET FROST has taken clear leads from the 1/2 to the finish in every start so far. She will look to bottom this field out, too, no doubt and is a good bet to succeed. (4) LITERALLY has been solid in both starts and she could make the choice work here. (7) JANDERSON should share if she stays flat and races back to her debut effort. (5) MAJESTIC KAT goes for a barn that has been doing well at the meet. She can crack the exotics here.

Race 3

(6) SHIPPEN OUT went a big uncovered trip at Georgian and was just nailed right on the wire by a closer. He looks as good as any in a race where seemingly anything goes. (5) MAJOR HOMER drops slightly and should be right there with a decent trip, but notice the goose egg in the 2016 win column. (4) SIR MACHALOT has won on this circuit earlier this year and has a shot here if he leaves for position off the gate. (3) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE has been facing better but he has been off more than three weeks; tough call.

Race 4

(3) MASTER THE VIEW shouldn't get hung out here starting from the inside; slight nod. (4) MACH DEJA VU has finished quickly in both starts and could break through for a maiden score here if he is put into the action earlier. (1) ALL IT TAKES didn't fare well on Grand River's smaller surface. His win here two back makes him a contender. (9) MACHIN A TRICK faces easier here and could provide some Pick 4 value.

Race 5

(1) STEPPIN OUT showed heart and grit winning in this class last Thursday. If he goes here, he will be tough to beat. (10) SHOOT THE THRILL won in this class three back now drops back down. The 10-hole could help this contender's price. (3) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL races well for Jamieson and she has upset potential here. (6) MUSICAL SPELL raced better last time and he can take a share here despite the class rise.

Race 6

(2) RICHARD HILL, a $190K Harrisburg sale purchase - has displayed potent late speed in his qualifiers and looks ready to roll for high profile connections. (7) ARESNAL SEELSTER - a $35K Forest City sale buy - unleashed a late kick in his July 1st qualifier that suggests he has quite a bit of talent. (5) TREASURE MACH is a 1/2 brother to local starts Bigtime Ball and Invitro. There is probably more to this colt than meets the eye on his program page. (1) FOXTON ROAD was bought for $58K at the Kentucky Standardbred sale and already has a pari-mutuel win but he might find some of these too tough.

Race 7

(2) KEN KAN WIN has destroyed three straight fields at Kawartha and this isn't that tough of a field here in the lowest conditioned class; top call. (1) STAN THE MAN showed improvement last week and could take another step forward here; using. (7) MICHAELS TURN closed a big gap from the 1/4 to the 3/4 in his last start. If more forwardly-placed early here, he could spring an upset. (6) MY REVENUER finally gets a better post to work with here and isn't out of this.

Race 8

(2) GRAVITATOR dodges Winter Sweet Frost here and this Kadabra filly should prove best in this field. (5) ANIKADABRA raced much better when put on the lead early last time and she is the main threat to the choice. (4) TROPICANA AS was a decent third in her debut to a sharp winner; using. (3) EXPOSE YOURSELF can build on her improved effort second time out and take a share here.

Race 9

(5) TOM HILL exploded halfway down the lane to win last time and anything close to a repeat of that impressive mile will result in another score. (2) JACK RACKHAM has raced well in every start this year and should be right there again. (4) BLAISE MM HANOVER rode soft fractions to an easy win on June 9th then scratched sick. This is a tougher assignment; minor share predicted. (8) MACH MESSIER won as an overlay last week but is more likely to finish on the fringes here if the top two bring their “A” games.

Race 10

(5) HEX found room down the lane and sprinted away to an easy win last week. She should be tough right back here. (4) CASIMIR PARDON ME can be a threat here if she leaves hard which I think is likely. (1) BADLANDS DELIGHT can work out a good trip from the inside post and take a good piece of this. (7) SOPHIE BLU and (10) TOTAL KNOCKOUT look next best in a race that appears to have few bona-fide contenders.

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