08/15/2016 10:52AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 8/16 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5/1/2,5,7/2,4,6,7/4 = $4.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,6,7/4/6,9/2,3,8,9 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,8,9/1,2/2,3/2,5,8  = $48

MEET STATS: 275 - 801 / $1456.10  BEST BETS: 46 - 74 / $148.90

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 74 / $86.60


Spot Play: TIGRA SEELSTER (8th)

Race 1

(3) MAGIC MISSIONS raced decently against one of the top Grassroots performers last time in a much-improved performance. He should be tough here if he can duplicate that effort. (5) PRINCE DE VIE was third vs. non-winners of two in his debut and he should find this task easier if he can stay flat. (4) ZLATAN is 0-14 but he usually shares when facing maidens. (8) GRACE DUHARAS is pretty good when she doesn't break, which so far has been a rarity. If she trots the whole way, she can take a piece of this.

Race 2

(1) LINDY THE KID is a 1/2 brother to Lindy's Nightmare, who has been sensational at this meet and has won five straight after breaking in her debut. This gelding looks ready to win at first asking, most likely as an odds-on choice. (3) ART SCENE - a $50K Lexington buy - is the third foal from his dam to race and the first two were both winners. He looks next best here and goes for a barn that has done well here. (4) CLOUSEAU HANOVER has been facing some tough ones to this point. He can make the ticket here. (6) ALWAYS ROCK N ROLL is another that can close late for a piece of the pie here.

Race 3

(7) JETPEDIA trotted faster in his August 12th race than his lifetime mark. If he can reproduce that mile here, he will be tough to overhaul. (2) MY REVENUER won but was tossed via a questionable judge's call last time. He fits this class well and should be right there again. (5) UTOPIA class drops again and merits Pick 4 and Pick 5 inclusion. (4) ETERNAL QUEST also gets class relief and he should wake up with a better performance here.

Race 4

(2) BADLANDS DELIGHT took the worst of it on the rim last week and fell just short. If she can avoid being having to pace a 27 2/5 third 1/4 while first up here, she can get the job done. (4) TOTAL KNOCKOUT took a new life's mark last week while being cleverly-driven by Zeron. She is one of the top contenders here, too. (6) JOLTS PRAYER has taken two straight after going a while without a win. She isn't out of the picture here. (7) TREASURED MOMENTS adds Lasix here, a move that has worked for this stable a few times in the past; consider.

Race 5

(4) SILVERHILL SHADOW went a pretty big trip from the 10-hole in his first start back at Mohawk, but speed is his game and he should be able to clear these and lead them on a merry chase; top call and Best Bet. (3) CURATOR was sent on an early mission last time but he couldn't clear and paid the price. He can be closer here off an easier trip. (5) ROCK N ROLL LEGACY was much closer than expected at the wire last time and he can make the ticket here too while passing horses late. (6) ROCKABELLA is another that will be closing late for a smaller share.

Race 6

(6) PREMIER GLITTER was a sharp winner two back before breaking last time. If she behaves here, she can beat these. (9) POWERFUL GLARE meets easier here, but it's always tough to predict how Grassroots horses will be raced in starts that don't count in those standings. (8) CAMERON HILL has enough talent to compete here, but remember she is a two-year-old filly racing against her elders. (10) AGENT DINOZZO will be camped out at the back early but can pass many of these late and grab a check.

Race 7

(2) BLUSH AND CRUSH made a remarkable recovery last time to take her second straight win. She is in top form now, but the break is a bit worrisome; slight nod. (8) GIRL DRAMA is usually competitive in the class and should be an exacta factor in this field. (3) JUSTALITTLEFASTER can also be close here if he stays trotting. (9) MICHAELS TURN drops into a claimer here and can be right there if he stays flat. Keep him in mind for Pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(1) TIGRA SEELSTER moves inside and she should be able to make better use of her strong late kick from there vs. these. (2) GOLDIES MACH never misses the board it seems and she will be tough here from close range. (6) DONNA PARTY is likely to seek out a pocket trip here and if she gets it, she could be dangerous. (4) SHHH IT'S A SECRET is worth a look off the claim for vertical bets here.

Race 9

(3) WINTER HARBOR got some of the carbon out of his engine in the Ackerman last time. He should show much more here. (2) PENNIES FROM ABOVE motored home to win last time when confidently driven and she is a top contender here as well. (8) HONOR ABOVE ALL has already won in this class south of the border and should be used in vertical wagers. (9) FRENCH BASTILLE has a knack for finishing third or fourth and is a good one to use on the bottom of exotic wagers.

Race 10

(2) LUMIERE has improved his form in his past two starts and he could be cycling back to a winning effort now; top call. (5) GOLIATH REIGNS has raced well in both starts since being claimed and should be prominent from close range here. (8) CONFLICT DIAMOND was good last week when making his first start off the claim. He is worth a look here. (3) CONNERY BLUE CHIP can convert a following trip into a check here. (6) SOAKING UP THE SUN is unpredictable, but his best effort would put him right there vs. these.

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