07/06/2015 11:05AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 7/7 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

7,8/2,8/2,3,4,9/2,4,9 = $48

 

LATE PICK 4: 2,4,9/1,5,6/2,3,5,9/10 = $36

MEET STATS: 156 - 495 / $892.40 BEST BETS: 20 - 44 / $71.10

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 42 / $53.20

Best Bet: UNIQUE BARAN (10th)

Spot Play: P L INDYANACA (1st)

Race 1

(3) P L INDYANACA made a bold move to the front in the third 1/4 last time and opened up a big lead then couldn't hold off the logical favorite who closed with a flourish late. A similar move likely gets it done vs. this group. (6) STRIKING CHEETAH had gait issues in both pari-mutuel starts but performed much better with trotting hopples on in two qualifiers in June. She uses that equipment here and a dramatic improvement isn't out of the question. (8) LINDY ON THE ROCKS ships in from New Jersey and goes for a hot trainer/driver combo but is likely overbet off her times recorded in the last two miles. She can compete here but is far from a cinch.

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Race 2

(3) VEGAS ROCKS has found his level in this conditioned claimer and shoots for a third straight win. Christoforou knows how to time this gelding's move perfectly and he will be tough here. (6) BELIEVEINYOURMACH when last in claimers won two straight easily out of town. The class relief gives him a big shot to take these a long way on the engine. (8) LMC NUKULAR STRIKE has been the model of consistency in similar classes at the B tracks but will need to find more late speed to crack the exacta here.

Race 3

(2) RENEGADE MAGIC has recorded two solid wins in four starts this year and broke stride in the other two. She is obviously one of the best fillies in here - if she minds her manners. (6) MUSCLE KIT had an uncharacteristic break in stride at the start last week as the big chalk. She is the main challenger to the choice if on gait throughout. (3) JUDY THE BEAUTY has shown improvement the past three starts and should sit a good trip near the front here.

Race 4

(7) RIGHTLY SAID is 2 for 2 this year having won twice in Quebec. Now she ships west, moves into the barn of last year's 'O Brien Award-winning trainer and faces a group that is 0 for 37 in 2015. She should be competitive right away vs. these; top call. (8) MACH MAGIC tried the front end last week and beat all but one. This one is bred too well to be a maiden for much longer. (2) GOT SOME SPARK has been showing improved late spark in her miles and has a legitimate chance to upset here.

Race 5

(8) MYLITTLESTARSHINE keeps getting closer to that elusive maiden win and from this post it wouldn't be a shock to see Zeron try to send her down the road instead of relying on cover. She merits top call here off here recent form. (2) LMC MASS OAK floated out for position, moved to the front before the half then tired late to just lose the show photo to the choice. He is the main threat in a field with few contenders. (4) STOKED was out the route last time and still beat half the field. He can be an exacta factor with an easier trip.

Race 6

(2) CORSICA HALL, despite missing 4 weeks action, set some big splits for this class and only tired late. He should be fitter and gets top billing. (4) ABSOLUTLY OFFICIAL closed strongly from far back but there was one closing even faster that he couldn't match. There should be plenty of speed to chase here. (9) R U MACHIN ME took a new life's mark last week after powering to the top in the second 1/4 and is too sharp too ignore.

Race 7

(4) HOMEN DRY got too far back last time on too much cover but was closing fastest. He gets a better post to work with and should be on the move much earlier here. (9) GAME ON HANOVER was out most of the mile and finished just behind the choice. She is sharp but will need a bit of luck from out there. (2) MYSTERY BET won for the second time straight since returning from a break now has missed a month's action. He is dangerous, obviously, but the gaps in between his races are a cause for concern.

Race 8

(5) INTENDED STYLE showed a new dimension last week when powering up off cover in the lane to take a new life's mark at age 10. He was options leaving from the middle of the gate here as he moves from one high % barn to another off the claim. (1) CASIMIR LOW GEAR set the table for the choice and was game right to the wire. He too has used varying styles with success and will be tough here. (6) WALKS OF LIFE has shown big speed on occasion and if he tries to give this field the slip on the final turn it might just work.

Race 9

(9) GRANA PADANNO exploded past his rivals in a 27 2/5 third 1/4 Thursday night and powered away to a big win at a huge price. Back in four days in the same class he looks formidable. (3) MADMAN HALL closed late to grab 2nd-place money in an OSS Gold last week and has been improving his late speed. He looks like the main threat. (5) BIG RICH was on excess cover that couldn't keep to a loose leader and did well to close as much as he did. He will likely be third choice here which would make him playable on the win end.

Race 10

(10) UNIQUE BARAN, winner of 4 of his last 5, was claimed by trainer Stewart last time. This is the third time he has haltered him this year. The past two times he has won two straight by open lengths on both occasions before getting claimed; top call. (5) VAL AMERICA closed in :54 flat in his first start off the claim and looks like the main foe to the choice. (7) SLIGHT TOUCH dropped to this class and was a good first-over 2nd to the choice. He should get a major share here. (6) CROWN ISLE showed little vs. the choice last time but has a better chance to share here leaving from the middle of the gate. (1) GOLDSTAR RAIDER qualified decently enough to close for a late share here.

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