07/04/2016 12:07PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 7/5 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 8/8/1,2,3,7/1,2,3,6/5,9 = $6.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,3,6/5,9/3/1,2,3,6 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3,6/1,3,4,6,7/2,3,4/4 = $60

MEET STATS: 183 - 542 / $976.90  BEST BETS: 32 - 51 / $106.70

SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 50 / $53.30


Spot Play: OLE JACK MAGIC (3rd)

Race 1

(8) WARAWEE PROTON faces much easier here and it would be surprising if he didn't dominate this group. (7) JUSTALITTLEFASTER was a decent third to the choice on June 21st and looks logical to close late and complete the exacta here. (2) BLUSH AND CRUSH fits this class well if she can stay trotting the entire mile. (6) GIRL DRAMA - with 8 slices in 13 starts this year - seems destined for another small share here.

Race 2

(8) CANDLELIGHT DINNER - a $110K Lexington purchase - is a full-sister to $1 million earner Romantic Moment and $487K earner Band of Angels. She has been outstanding in her qualifiers and will be tough to beat at a short price here. (3) FRANSCHOEK raced tough first up in her debut and should take a big piece of this purse. (4) OHELLO BLUE CHIP was a scratch last week now debuts with Lasix. She should make the ticket based on the speed she showed on June 17th. (1) A ROYAL HANOVER is related to seven that have raced and all have won. There could be more than meets the eye with this filly based on her qualifying lines.

Race 3

(2) OLE JACK MAGIC wired a similar group when last in this class six starts back. A repeat of that winning mile is very possible here. (7) WIZARD OF OSNEY returns to the WEG circuit with some decent form at Hoosier and looks like the main danger. (3) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY is capable of a rapid late burst but is rarely close enough at the 3/4 to make full use of that kick. (1) A ROD HALL is another that can pass horses quickly down the lane and his form is on the improve; consider for multi-race wagers.

Race 4

(1) OFFICER BLUE CHIP - an $82K Lexington sale buy - looks well-prepped by trainer Coleman who has been sending everything ready at this meet; top call. (2) SOME ATTITUDE is the first foal to race from a $1 million-earning dam who took a mark of 1:53 3/5 in her 2nd start; using. (6) CAM CARDASHIAN is a 1/2-brother to 2015 North America Cup champ Wakizashi Hanover. There is likely more to this colt than what was shown in his two qualifiers. (3) DEADLY ACTION - a $37K Harrisburg buy - looks ready to make some noise early and is another to consider for multi-race bets.

Race 5

(5) BAGS FOR ALL and (9) ALACRITY both won at this level the last time they raced in it. Slight nod to the former based on her better tactical speed but one of these two is the likely winner here. (7) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL also fits this class well but is often closing too late. (6) UTOPIA continues to race well despite enduring some long trips. Toss him on Tri and Super wagers.

Race 6

(3) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE hung a bit late in his debut and was nailed right on the line but that may have been partially due to the long trip that he went. He can go forward off that experience and break his maiden here. (8) THREE RIVERS DELL is hard to love on top, but he is consistently in the top three and should be right there again. (2) BIG YELLOW can close belatedly for a share here, similar to last week's trip. (4) SWELLENDAM needs to find more late speed and is likely to finish on the fringes here.

Race 7

(1) CHEER FOR THE CATS - switching to top trainer Moreau - looks as good as any in a field that is a combined 1 for 70; slight nod. (2) POINTE SHOES raced well at big odds first time for Auciello/Drury and is likely the one to beat here. (3) MOONSTAR MISSION will likely be right there vs. these if he can stay flat but that part of the equation is the big question mark for him. (6) ROSE RUN RUDI at least is sure-gaited and will likely benefit from several of his rivals breaking here.

Race 8

(4) SOUTHWIND ION is a 1/2-sister to two that have raced and both won in their second starts. This $40K Lexington buy also looks ready to win early. (3) SIR NATIVE showed speed both early and late in his debut and the one that beat him doubled up last Friday. He is a must-use here. (1) SPORTS LEADER closed a bit into an accelerating late pace and she isn't out of this. (6) KLOOF STREET set a pedestrian pace and was nailed right on the wire in her debut. She is another that could improve on her debut.

Race 9

(2) ACTION MAJESTY was held up in traffic tracking a very slow pace in her debut, then flew home to win once she had racing room. This field is likely tougher, but she could double up off that impressive score. (4) ANDERSON SEELSTER is a 1/2 to two that have raced from the dam and they have combined for 24 victories. Toss this $35k Forest City Sale buy on your late Pick 4 tickets. (3) WINDY SPORT - a $40K Harrisburg buy - looks sharp for her debut as is typical with this barn. (5) ST LADS HOTCAKES was a narrow loser in a game effort last time and should take a good share here.

Race 10

(4) LADY JEN made a power move down the backside last week then easily held her foes at bay. Facing many of the same rivals, she should double up here. (8) WARAWEE ROCKET drops back into a claimer and should improve sharply, possibly at a good price. (10) TARAHUMARA couldn't go with the choice last time now draws the 10-hole here. She should hit the ticket but that is likely her ceiling here. (2) BIG TSUNAMI often closes from far back for a smaller share and that scenario will probably play out here. (3) SOPHIE BLUE is another that is best used on the bottom of Tris, Supers and High-5's.

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