07/27/2015 11:56AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 7/28 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

1,8/2,4,8/5,6,9/2,5 = $36

 

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,4,6,7,8/4,6/1,8/6,9 = $48

MEET STATS: 192 - 626 / $1093.40 BEST BETS: 25 - 56 / $86.30

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 56 / $57.30

Best Bet: HAZMATT (4th)

Spot Play: AZUL POOL (7th)

Race 1

(3) RECREATE broke first time out in an OSS Gold dash then re-qualified nicely showing excellent late speed. We'll give him top call in one of several very tough races to handicap on tonight's card. (4) WILDWILD MEN has a win and a second in two Grassroots tries and seems to be one of the more reliably-gaited ones in this race for inexperienced rookie trotters. (5) THEE DESPERADO is a 1/2 brother to a couple of good ones including $691K earner Random Destiny. He has one solid qualifier on display and is in with a decent chance at first asking here.

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Race 2

(1) UNITED BI has a win and a second from two Grassroots starts so far and, equally importantly, no breaks in stride showing on his card. Henry should be able to map out a good trip leaving from the inside; slight nod. (5) MUSCLE TIME has been solid on four starts for his owner/trainer/driver/breeder. The homebred should be a main contender here. (8) TUSCANS MEMORY is by the top trotting sire and the first foal of a solid mare that earned $185K. He should be competitive right away.

Race 3

(6) JLS BAD MOON RISIN improved in his second start over Clinton's 1/2 miler and has shown pretty good closing power in both starts. We'll give him the slight nod in a wide-open race. (3) BIG ATTRACTION was sold for only $10K as a yearling and based on pedigree and his lone qualifier it looks like that price has the potential to be a bargain; contender. (4) COOPER left from the worst post at Clinton and closed late for third into a slowing pace in a decent effort. He could build on that in this his third start.

Race 4

(1) HAZMATT ships in bringing two qualifiers with her race in time as fast as or faster than her opponents register in pari-mutuel dashes. That makes her an automatic play. (8) SO RAVEN was very good last time, taking it to an unbeaten rival despite leaving from an outside slot. She is the main danger off that sharp mile. (4) SEAWIND KERRY wasn't given the best steer last week but still closed for third late. Keep her in mind when punching your pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(2) STORMONT WIZARD had two 10 holes to start the year then went a long uncovered trip at Kawartha pushing solid fractions and just failed to hold on. He looks like one of three with a good chance to win this. (4) LUCK O THE IRISH failed to advance at Grand River in the second half but his race two back puts him right there with these; using. (8) LMC MARSHMELLOW has a 2nd, 3rd and 4th in three tries in the OSS Gold class and obviously rates highly here in this NW2L class.

Race 6

(9) GEORGIES POCKETS was sent right to the front and never threatened while winning his debut at Georgian. If he makes front early here he will be equally tough to beat. (6) UF MUSCLEMASS STAR closed a big gap in the final 1/4 in his debut and can be a much bigger threat here if kept closer early. (5) COOL CREEK VICTORY failed to threaten vs. OSS Gold company last time but gets a huge driver change here; beware!

Race 7

(2) AZUL POOL is a full-brother to a gelding that won his debut at Yonkers in 1:53 2/5 then took his next three in a row and to date has won 15 of 75 starts and $165K and taken a mark of 1:50 1/5 over a 7/8 mile track. This colt looks well-prepped and 'O Sullivan sends them ready; top call. (5) GERRIES SPORT had a long trip vs. a very sharp winner and kept coming; the main threat. (1) OK ICEMAN shows matching :27 2/5 final 1/4s in both his qualifiers and should be passing horses late here in his debut.

Race 8

(8) DUH BUBBEES broke at the start when leaving from the worst post at Kawartha then had to endure a long trip. If he stays flat he can take this group a long way. (6) MYSTERY BET has obvious issues but is tough to leave off horizontal wagers because he also has an incredible late kick when he's right; using. (7) CALL ME RICHARD fell just short of beating the choice two back after a long trip from the 10-hole. He's another that should be used in the late pick 4.

Race 9

(6) CLONE THE TONE has three decent starts under his belt and has displayed good closing power in each; slight nod in a race several look like they could win. (4) GONNA FLY was a big winner at Clinton in decent time for two-year-olds on that oval; using. (10) ROSE RUN RUDI chased strong fractions last time in an OSS Gold dash and hung on for a cheque. He is a threat to lead all the way if sent early.

Race 10

(1) ESQUIRE is a full-brother to $822K earner Equity (1:52 1/5) who won his debut and earned more than $300K in his rookie year. There is likely much more under the hood than what was shown in the July 17 qualifier; call at first asking. (2) WILLYORWONTHE was an impressive debut winner then twice faces OSS Gold company. He should be tough vs. Grassroots foes. (5) THE LAND SHARK was a first-up winner at Clinton but that was in slow time. He will need to knock many seconds off to compete for the win here.

Race 11

(6) POKER HAT has been on fire in Delaware now switches to the potent Adams barn here; top call. (9) PASSIONATE PETE shipped in with a three-race win streak in cheaper classes out of town then proceeded to easily take a new life's mark. He's the main danger. (7) KOULTONS ROCKET has faced better recently and is also in with a shot. (10) GENESEE raced well last time but is likely for a minor share - if any - here. (8) WILDSVILLE rarely misses a cheque and will be passing horses late.

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