07/25/2016 11:08AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 7/26 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1,5,7/4,5,6,7/3,5,6,7,8/6,7,9/5 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 6,7,9/5/1,2,5,8/2,4,7,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 2,4,7,8/4,6,7/6,7/4,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 238 - 680 / $1254.70  BEST BETS: 40 - 64 / $126.90

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 62 / $76.60


Spot Play: HEX (5th)

Race 1

(1) AWOL HANOVER - a $180K Harrisburg buy - has one full sibling that earned $179K and took a mark of 1:55 2/5 at two over at Pocono. This gelding gets a good spot to start out and wouldn't have to be much to take this group. (7) PHOTO FLASH is showing signs of improvement and could go a long way on the lead here. (5) SUNRISE AVENUE has improved his late speed in his last couple of starts and Zeron will probably get him a win soon. (2) THE MUSCLE TOUCH brings a 0-15 record into this race but she is good enough to take a share.

Race 2

(7) DREAM TOGETHER brought $240K at the Lexington sale. She is a full-sister to Propulsion (8 wins, $86K, 1:52 1/5 M.) and a 1/2-sister to Dorsay (10 wins, $450K, 1:51 4/5 M.) that looks ready to get some of that purchase price back immediately. (6) THE ERM - a $75K Lexington buy - is a 1/2-sister to $450K earner Speak To Me. She was solid in her lone qualifier; using. (5) BROADWAY MAIJA should get a much better trip here than she did in her debut and could try to go right down the road this time. She merits a look for Pick 5 bets. (4) PURE KEMP - a $32K Lexington purchase - trotted a sneaky-good 28 2/5 third 1/4 in her July 15 qualifier. She has upset potential here.

Race 3

(6) YOURE MY HERO faces easier here and could benefit from a quick opening 1/2. This contentious race demands deep Pick 5 coverage. (7) INTENED STYLE was game in defeat when claimed. He is always contentious on or near the lead it seems. (5) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE should be heard from here racing back in a claimer. (3) VEROI BAYAMA looks for a third straight win and could trip out from this post.

Race 4

(6) WILD ZINGER is from a dam that has produced 100% winners so far. This $40K Harrisburg buy has license to beat this group at first asking based on his July 8th qualifier. (9) MACH MESSIER comes off two sharp first-up wins and is a Pick 4 and Pick 5 must-use in my opinion. (7) THE KERNAL was no match for a strong winner last time but he can be a big threat here if launched into action early in the mile. (1) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE has appeared to have issues in each start so far and he is worth trying to beat off the Pick 4 ticket here.

Race 5

(5) HEX got hung out to dry last week and still wasn't beaten badly. She should get a much better trip here; top call. (1) WOODMERE ARTICBLUE was part of a wild scramble for the lead early last time them got shuffled out of the race late. She could trip out here starting from the pylons and score at a price. (4) TOTAL KNOCKOUT took a new life's mark off the barn change last time then was a vet scratch-sick. She can be dangerous here if fit enough. (6) SOPHIE BLU can close late for a minor share.

Race 6

(5) RADIANT BEAM was nailed late in this class two back and returning to this level makes her a major threat here. (8) MAGICAL VALENTINE went a long way on the lead on a very wet track last time and she is a top contender here. (1) DOTTIE rode a sweet trip to catch the choice late two back then broke in an OSS Gold dash. She is yet another to consider for Pick 4 tickets in a race where several can win. (2) PROFOUND PATIENCE is going to break through at a big price one of these weeks; beware.

Race 7

(4) LADY PING was driven aggressively to an upset score in this class three starts back and she should offer a square price here; slight nod. (2) HUBBY NUMBER ONE gets McNair back and he seems to do best with him; using. (7) BAX OF LIFE always looks good in these types of classes but her hanging tendencies makes her an underlay quite often; small share predicted. (8) LUCK O THE IRISH steps up off a solid win and isn't out of this but he will likely need a better trip here to threaten for the top spot.

Race 8

(6) STYLISH BEACHWARE was all business racing off an 8 1/2 month layoff in the driving rain to get up late to keep her record unblemished. She looks good to take her third win in as many tries here. (7) DIXIE LULLABY was a sharp winner at Georgian in only her 4th start of the year and she could move forward off that mile; using. (4) PARKLANE GLAMOROUS was passed late by the choice but she could race better on a dry track here. (2) ITSALLABOUTTHEBASS frequently finishes on the fringes and that should be the case here.

Race 9

(7) MUSCLE MATTERS faced much tougher last time he raced here and it would be no surprise to see him boss this group. (6) MUSICAL SPELL was a narrow loser last time he raced in this class. Expect Zeron to send this one off the gate. (10) JETPEDIA gets class relief and a positive driver change. He isn't impossible here, despite starting furthest out. (4) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY can compete here if he stays flat, but that part could be dicey.

Race 10

(8) OK ICEMAN was in a good spot turning home last week but he simply couldn't go with a rival that launched off cover and flew home. He should be prominent throughout here. (4) SOME GOLD provided the winner cover in that race and he could take this if he can find a helmet to follow. (3) DAYLIGHT RUSH set solid fractions in that same race then tired a bit late. If he could catch a breather here, he is another that can win this. (1) BUGGER JERRY should get a good trip here starting from the inside and he is yet another that merits Pick 4 consideration. (9) TANGO STAR can use his good closing kick to pass many of these late.

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