07/18/2016 10:52AM

Mohawk: Tuesday 7/19 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,7/2,5,7/1,2,4,6/7,8/4,6,8 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 7,8/4,6,8/1,6/3 = $12

LATE PICK 4: 3/1,3,5/1,3,7/1,2,8 = $27

MEET STATS: 211 - 637 / $1111.10  BEST BETS: 35 - 59 / $111.90

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 58 / $60.00

Best Bet: THE WAYFARING MAN (7th)

Spot Play: MAGIC PRESTO (8th)

Race 1

(7) HEX stayed in on the far turn while the winner was making her decisive move and she then lacked room until late in the mile. She could turn the tables here with the right trip. (2) TARAHUMARA fits this class like a glove and is the one to beat yet again at a short price. (4) BIG TSUNAMI will be closing late again here and can complete the tri. (8) BUSINESS AS USUAL should get a better result dropping into a claimer here.

Race 2

(7) ON A SUNNY DAY used a quick late brush to get up to win at a square price in her debut. Her odds will drop here but she should be tough again. (2) JANDERSON powered away late in her debut and looks like the main threat. (5) LITERALLY showed great promise in her debut at Georgian and isn't out of this stepping up to face OSS Gold competition. (1) HOLIDAY PROMISE has obvious ability but has trouble staying on gait. The inside post may not be the best for her.

Race 3

(1) GRAVITATOR closed a big gap late in her debut and she can go forward off that effort here. (2) WINTER SWEET FROST went right down the road to beat the choice and she's the one to beat again. (4) ROYAL WITCH took big action at the windows for her debut then broke stride at the 1/2. The bigger track might be just what the doctor ordered for her; using. (6) STORMONT ROYALTY was beaten by a promising filly in her debut and she can take a share here.

Race 4

(8) TALBOT CHANEL tried to advance first up against a strong leader in her debut and she was rebuffed in a rapid final 1/4. She should improve here if driven more aggressively. (7) AMULET SEELSTER - a $55K Forest City sale buy - is a 1/2 to the good local mare Aniston Seelster. She looks ready for a top try in her debut. (4) LOTUS SEELSTER improved in her second start and she should share if she shows the same good late kick. (2) SHOW ME SOME MAGIC also improved in her second start and can close for a slice here.

Race 5

(8) UNICUM BI was out a long way last week but stayed game. A slightly better trip tonight gets him to the winner's circle. (6) PENNIES FROM ABOVE couldn't close late as the pace accelerated noticeably. She is sharp though and could take this with the right trip. (4) MISSION MAN woke up last time and improved dramatically. A repeat of that mile puts him right there with these. (9) HILLS ANGEL regularly takes smaller shares and she should grab a piece of this, too.

Race 6

(6) ROSE RUN SPEEDSTER closed with a rush to impressively break his maiden in an OSS Gold event in his second start. He deserves top billing here based on that performance. (1) JAKE is a full-brother to Lookslikeachpndale (8 wins, $166K 1:53 3/5 S. to date) and goes for a trainer that can send one ready. This colt was a $100K Harrisburg purchase; using. (8) SOHO HANOVER is a speed threat and he could last a long way if he can steal a breather or two. (4) LUCYS MAN will be closing late and isn't out of this.

Race 7

(3) THE WAYFARING MAN couldn't chase down a class-dropping leader that would likely beat this field last time out. He is very logical in this spot. (2) BLISSFUL YEARS always does better when he leaves hard and he should get sent for position here starting from the inside. (4) CURATOR improved last week and he could be good for another small share here. (6) WALTZKING HANOVER is another that is more likely to fill one of the bottom exotics rungs than win this.

Race 8

(5) MAGIC PRESTO is the second foal of a dam that has already produced Could It Be Magic who has won 7 of 15 starts, earned $213K and won her debut easily in 1:57 flat. I'll take a shot with her as she could be a square price here. (3) SWEET OF MY HEART was overtaken only late in a quick final 1/4 last time and she will be a deserving favorite here. (1) DIXIES DREAM GIRL is from a dam that produces nothing but winners and she too is a threat here. (6) LADY JUSTICE can better this placing if provided with a similar trip as she was in her last start.

Race 9

(3) CAROLINA HURRICANE is unreliable but he did race better in his last two starts and he might finally break through for a maiden win here. (1) BIG PLACE gets McNair back here and he should be put into this race earlier; using. (7) BUGGER JERRY was eliminated early by broken equipment last week. He certainly qualifies as a contender vs. this suspect group based on his previous mile. (5) GIVE EM BACK should be closer after racing for the first time in eight months last week.

Race 10

(1) TOM HILL took a new life's mark two back in a similar conditioned race in New Jersey. If he stays pacing here he will be tough to beat. (2) SOME GOLD raced decently in the Summertime series and should appreciate the company here. (8) BLAISE MM HANOVER rode easy early fractions to a big win last time and he certainly isn't out of this but he may not get as easy of a trip here. (5) OK ICEMAN should leave well again and stick around for a slice here. (7) TANGO STAR is another that is likely to take a smaller share.

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