07/11/2016 12:15PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 7/12 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5,10/4/2,6,7/2,3,6/2,8,9,10 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,6/8,10/1,2,4,6/2,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 2,8/2,5,6/5,8,10/4,9 = $36

MEET STATS: 201 - 594 / $1056.20  BEST BETS: 34 - 55 / $108.80

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 54 / $56.40

Best Bet: GOLDEN SON (2nd)

Spot Play: ASTERIX (6th)

Race 1

(3) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE tried moving into a 26 4/5 third 1/4 last week and it didn't work out so well. Perhaps with two starts in he'll try a more aggressive approach this time; slight nod. (10) CRUISE PATROL raced much better last time and was less than three lengths behind the best three-year-old in the country at the wire. He should be a major player here but may also get wildly overbet off that trip. (5) BUGGER JERRY raced okay vs. a loose-on-the-lead winner last time in his first start for Auciello; using. (9) ONLY HALF BAD is a good one to use on the bottom of exotic wagers here.

Race 2

(4) GOLDEN SON has done well using an aggressive approach recently and Filion is sure to be leaving with him here; top call. (7) UNITALIANO B has obvious gait issues, but if he can replicate the July 5 qualifier here he can contend. (6) DYNAMIC EDGE couldn't keep pace with a sharp winner late in the mile last time but these are easier and he should make the ticket, at least. (5) ARE YOU IN also faces easier and is another to consider for exotic wagers here.

Race 3

(6) GONNA FLY went a big uncovered trip to win two back then unsuccessfully tried OSS Gold competition. He should find this group more to his liking. (7) ROSE RUN RUDI could last longer here in this suspect group. (2) MANWITHAMISSION has improved his overall speed sharply in his last two starts and he isn't out of this. (5) PARKHILL MAXIMUS has won a quarter of his starts so far this year and is another to consider for Pick 4 wagers. At least he knows where the wire is.

Race 4

(2) HEX is one whose appearance on the track always impresses. This isn't the toughest field and she should be a top contender here. (3) TARAHUMARA fits this class like a glove and is the obvious one to beat, especially considering her improved post here. (6) GIA DIAMOND took huge action last time but failed in a first-over bid down the backside. She could make amends here with the right trip. (1) WARAWEE ROCKET's last race is better than it looks on paper and she could contend here with the much-improved post.

Race 5

(8) GEORGIES POCKETS absolutely flew down the Georgian Downs stretch last time to win impressively. He would be hard to hold off here if he could reproduce that effort. (10) DEFI NORMAND has been a different horse this year and he is a contender in this group despite the post. (9) STORMONT ESQUIRE was third behind the choice last time and can leave for position then stick around for a slice here, too. (2) UNITED BI is capable of an upset - see May 12 - if he behaves and trips out.

Race 6

(4) ASTERIX and (2) SUMMAJESTIC both changed hands since their last starts and debut for new owners here. I'll lean on that angle here and give the nod to the former who has better form. (1) MUSCLES BOUND moves inside and faces easier. He is a logical one to include on your early Pick 4 tickets. (6) MUSCLES FOR LIFE will likely get an aggressive drive here and is another to consider in what looks like a wide-open dash.

Race 7

(2) FRANSCHOEK was a solid second to an impressive debut winner that could be any kind. Her first two miles stack up well in this group and she should be right there at the wire. (8) SOMEMONEYSOMEWHERE hung a bit late in her debut but was a winner nonetheless. She can build off that experience and is a top contender once again. (3) FASHION WRITER is the first foal from a 29-time winning, $406K earning dam who was fast early; consider. (10) OHELLO BLUE CHIP wasn't far back off the choice after getting shuffled now Saftic takes the reins; for a piece.

Race 8

(2) SECOND SISTER has faced better most of the year with little to show for it. Perhaps she gets on track here racing at the bottom conditioned level. (6) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR is another who much more was expected from that is bound to wake up one of these weeks. (5) WAY OUTTA HERE went a solid qualifying trip with Vanderkemp at the controls and he is an interesting entry off that trip. (1) DUH BUBBEES got a confidence-boosting win out of town and he isn't impossible here, but he is likely to finish on the edges if either of the top two bring anything close to their “A” game.

Race 9

(5) DONICUS projects to get a good trip up front here and could take these all the way. (10) MANOFMANYIMAGES was a solid winner at Georgian with his trainer driving now he switches to a catch driver. He could do here despite post 10. (8) THE LAND SHARK has been solid in virtually every start and he is one that should be considered for late Pick 4 bets. (4) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN looked a sure winner turning home last time then he drifted out several lanes while tiring and was picked off. A minor share is predicted here.

Race 10

(4) CHALK PLAYER went a big trip after starting from the second tier last time but was picked off late by a rival that was airborne down the lane. He looks solid vs. these and should prove hard to beat. (9) A BETTORS RISK also went a big trip after starting from the second tier and he should be the main threat here. (5) BIG PLACE is capable of closing a big gap and he should share here. (7) FORTUNE NEW MOON gets Lasix and should be up on the pace early. He can stick around for a share. (10) VEGAS DREAM rarely misses a check and should make the High-5 ticket here despite the post.

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