06/06/2016 4:08PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 6/7 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 2,3,7/2,3,7/1,3/2,7/4,6,7 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,7/4,6,7/3,8/1,4,5 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1,4,5/5/2,4,6/7 = $9

MEET STATS: 108 - 336 / $626.60  BEST BETS: 18 - 32/ $65.60

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 32 / $32.80

Best Bet: VELOCITY HEADLIGHT (10th)   Spot Play: DUH BUBBEES (6th)

Race 1

(3) GIANT MUSCLES could do no better than finish evenly last time as the pace picked up late, but he should get a more aggressive steer here and should be right there at the wire. (2) SOUTHWIND STRYKER took a lot of action last week and finished ahead of the choice. He should go forward in his second start of the season. (7) HILLS ANGEL has the speed to get a spot near the lead early and could win this if he doesn’t get shuffled out of contention in the mid-stages of the mile. (1) SMASH HIT is good for a minor share in most races and should make the ticket here.

Race 2

(3) BLUSH AND CRUSH produced her best effort in several months last time and faces a group that she could handle if she holds that form; slight nod. (2) JUSTCALLMERONALD was a sharp winner out of town in his second start in a new barn and will be a player here if he stays flat, which is always a big question mark for him. (7) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE improved his form last time despite finishing only 4th and it wouldn’t take much more improvement here, or a slightly easier trip, to put him in the win picture; using. (4) MOONBEAM HALL also improved in his most recent start and should be able to crack the exotics here, at a minimum.

Race 3

(3) GRANA PADANNO roared home to win last week and should get a solid pace to stalk again; top call. (1) OLYMPIC SON was a good second to the choice and continues to improve despite stepping up in class. He is a big threat from close range here. (2) WHISKEY TAX left hard as expected last week but tired late. He will win one soon in this class and should be a better price tonight. (7) INTIMIDATE appears to be improved over last season when he went winless and is another that will likely pop soon.

Race 4

(7) FOREVER LIZA left quickly and finished well against a sharp winner last time and should be a major contender in this field. (2) COLUMNIST just missed at a huge price last week and must be considered, but she has also already had 10 tries and remains winless. (3) BETTOR KISS CANDY shows a quick final 1/4 in her second start which could be a sign of impending sharp improvement here. (6) DOCS SAUSILITO should be closing late for a minor award.

Race 5

(7) MACHIODA went a huge uncovered trip in the City of London Final to just miss and fits well here; top call. (4) KAYS SHADOW was live at the end of her most recent mile and is getting closer to a winning effort; using. (6) STONEBRIDGE MEDUSA wasn’t far behind the choice last time and is another that rates highly here; should be considered for multi-race bets. (5) BAD IN PARADISE improved her final time sharply last out and could crash the exotics at a good price here.

Race 6

(3) DUH BUBBEES moves inside, picks up the leading driver and could lead these on a merry chase throughout. (8) RAMZAN drops to the bottom conditioned level for his second start of the year and should improve here. (7) SHOOT THE THRILL figures to improve with the class drop, but is likely a bad win bet considering he has missed a month and will take action. I’ll try to beat him out of the Pick 4. (5) J CS JAKE looks best of the rest if he can stay trotting.

Race 7

(4) ROCKABELLA made a move to the front down the backside then immediately came under siege and couldn’t hold off a couple of challengers. This field looks a bit weaker and he should be a major player here. (5) AMERICAN ROCK comes off a break and looks sharp enough to contend. (1) MITTCENT VAN GOGH had a much-improved effort last week and Zeron may look to pocket this one up early, which could lead to a sweet trip and a victory. (7) JUSTALITTLELUCK closed okay last week and should pass most of these late for a share.

Race 8

(5) WORK THAT MAGIC trotted a winning race last time but was passed late by a closer that was absolutely flying. A repeat of that performance gets the job done here. (2) LEAN HANOVER improved in his second start and will get there soon, but will likely have trouble with the choice here if that rival brings her A game. (3) MOONSTAR MISSION closed well to get within half-a-length of the choice at the finish and should be coming late for another share. (1) P L JILL faces much easier here and should make the ticket, but note she still only has one slice from nine tries.

Race 9

(4) CASH FOR GOLD drops several levels here and should handle this group if he is put into action early enough in the race. (6) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR also drops off an okay seasonal debut and should be heard from here. (2) WARAWEE PROTON was cooked early last time and should last longer here starting from a better post. (7) FIVE BELOW went a big uncovered trip last week. He could better this placing if he can work out a cleaner journey this time.

Race 10

(7) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT drops to the bottom level here and is sure to be put into play early. He will be tough to beat with a reasonable trip. (8) LITTLE TURK is in good form and has already won here early in the meet. Any prolonged front-end battling favors his style. (10) ITS A BIG SECRET improved sharply at Kawartha last time and his trainer won the final with a 32/1 shot here Friday. Don’t take this gelding lightly. (5) KABLOOIE grabs a check almost every start and should be closing for a share here. (9) PANEDICTINE drops and can better this placing if he can work out the right trip from out there.