06/29/2015 1:30PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 6/30 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,4,5/1,3,79/9/3,7,9 = $36

 

LATE PICK 4: 3,7,9/1,5,6/1,7/2,9 = $36

MEET STATS: 140 - 454 / $834.50 BEST BETS: 18 - 40 / $64.70

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 38 / $53.20

Best Bet: SOUTHWIND MAYHEM (6th)

Spot Play: REAL RAYE (10th)

Race 1

(4) MYLITTLESTARSHINE was closing latest and fastest last week. Owner/trainer/driver Zeron has this filly primed for a winning effort now; top call in the opener. (6) TORTOLA SUNRISE left hard for the front, took a shuffle then broke in tight quarters in the stretch. He can be a big threat here. (3) MY WAY OR THE HIGHWAY raced decently last time but was no threat to the winner at all. He has a chance, obviously, but may not be worth the likely short price.

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Race 2

(4) CASIMIR LOW GEAR ships in here on a roll and used a 26 4/5 third 1/4 assault last time at Georgian when taking a new season's mark. He is likely to get aggressive on the backside and try to take control of this dash. (9) INTENDED STYLE just failed to reach a tiring winner late last week and there's no secret where he's heading when the wings of the gate fold open. His good tactical speed make him a threat from any post. (2) I WANNA BE GEARED moves inside which gives him a much better chance to share, likely at a good price.

Race 3

(8) MARKET STRIKE has destroyed two fields at Georgian recently and this step up doesn't appear to be that great. He is 2 for 3 lifetime, facing a group that is 0 for 85 combined; top call. (7) FEDERAL LADY closed quickly down the lane and is showing good improvement. Expect McNair to drive more aggressively early here. (6) JENALEAH was a closing third last week but is starting to get the look of a professional maiden. Beware taking a low price on this filly.

Race 4

(5) BLACK WIDOW BABY was strung out to make front down the backstretch last week and then nailed late by one that had a better trip. She could graduate here. (4) ANISTON SEELSTER challenged the choice first-up and stuck around to finish in the place photo. She's a top contender here. (2) FEISTYS LEGACY has the pedigree to compete right away and O'Sullivan typically sends them ready.

Race 5

(9) DON'T RUSH didn't fire last time when driven by his trainer. With $105K on the line here in this Gold Final he should be put in position to win by catch-driver Christoforou and he should be a square price here. (7) COVERT OPERATIVE finished 4th as a bomb in both his elimination and final of The Goodtimes. Moving into this restricted race expectations go up and price goes down. (3) BOLI has been rock solid when flat and should get a good trip on cover here. Keep on pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(9) SOUTWIND MAYHEM uncorked a furious rally in the final 1/4 of his lone qualifier to win going away. He should be tough in his pari-mutuel debut. (6) ARSENIC saw a similar rally fall just short but obviously has the talent to compete right away. (3) TWIN B MACHNIVEN led until very late in both qualifiers and could take these a long way; keep on pick 4 tickets.

Race 7

(3) INFINITI AS broke in his Goodtimes stakes elimination but was a devastating winner two back. He should go much better here back in with Ontario-breds only. (7) WINNING WIZARD took control of his last race with a 27 4/5 third 1/4 brush to the front. He looks like a big threat here. (9) RUBBER DUCK was a close third in the eventful Goodtimes final and figures highly here although the post could do him in.

Race 8

(5) SWEET COLT OF MINE raced okay when moved into the conditioned ranks and now drops back into a claimer. He should be able to work out a good enough trip starting from the middle of the gate to take these. (1) FOREGO THE CIGAR took big money at the windows, won easily with an eye-catching burst then was claimed. He's the one to beat but may not be worth odds-on again which is quite possible. (6) MACH IT BIG drops into a claimer and is likely to be prominent throughout.

Race 9

(1) STRONG HOPE makes a class drop here which should see him on or near the pace throughout along with (7) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL who also drops and is sure to show speed early. Top call to the former who has shown better closing power. (2) BROADWAY PRINCE trotted his best mile in some time last time following a freshening. He may have some things figured out now.

Race 10

(9) REAL KAYE was a good second last time to a winner that was obviously much the best. He's the only 2-time winner in this field taking on several that could be maidens for a while. (2) MULLET BLUE CHIP was a very good runner-up in fast time then missed four weeks; mixed signals with this one who is likely to be a big chalk here. (4) R U MACHIN ME is getting closer and is a good one to fill out tris and supers. (6) GRANTLAND tried it first-over last time and was easily repelled by a strong winner. He could better this placing with a covered trip. (5) FOCUS POWER rarely misses a check; use in bottom slots of vertical wagers.

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