06/22/2015 12:20PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 6/23 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

3,6,9/1,4,5/5,7,9/1 = $27

 

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,8/2,6/2,8,10/5,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 125 - 398 / $732.80 BEST BETS: 16 - 35 / $54.80 SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 33 / $45.60

Best Bet: WHITE BECOMES HER (7th)

Spot Play: ONE TO DRAW TO (10th)

Race 1

(1) TONY SOPRANO is by top trotting sire Kadabra out of the millionaire dam Windsong Soprano. He looks ready to go at first asking here for trainer McIntosh. (9) MARION MARAUDER is also well-bred and boasts the fastest last 1/4 from this group's qualifiers. She is dangerous here in her debut. (6) BOW TIES N BOURBON was an impressive winner his lone qualifier and should make an immediate impact for Team Jamieson.

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Race 2

(7) IMSPORTY is by a leading sire of 2YO and the first one to race from a top-notch race mare that won 21 races, earned $800K and took a mark of 1:50 2/5. This colt finished with a flourish in his qualifier and may be one of the better 2YO on the grounds; top call. (2) THINK ON IT was an unchallenged winner in his lone prep and looks like the main threat.  (3) WHATASHOWINONTARIO was a strong second to an impressive winner in his second qualifier and should be prominent here.

Race 3

(5) BLACK WIDOW BABY has displayed good closing power from far back in both her starts. She gets a better post and a positive driver change here. She almost surely should go forward and there isn't much to beat in here; top call. (2) BLACK QUEEN is a nine-time loser but has hit the tri in every start and comes off a good try at Georgian in a Grassroots dash. She's the one to beat but is likely to be over bet. (1) ANISTON SEELSTER didn't show much last year but qualified well and looks faster this year. She is an exacta threat.

Race 4

(3) HE SAID goes first off the claim here for high percentage trainer Fellows and moves from an open claimer back to a conditioned class claimer. Expect Filion to provide an aggressive steer here. (6) VEGAS ROCKS dropped into this class last week and got up late with a deliberate charge down the lane. He fits here and is dangerous right back. (9) SHADOW NEWTON put up some serious splits and only got nailed very late. He is sharp but doesn't exactly have a nose for the wire as seen by his 10 seconds from his last 35 starts to go with only two wins.

Race 5

(1) GRONK has missed some time, but is one of few contenders in weak maiden field. Jamieson should be aiming to leave better tonight and take control of the race on the backstretch. (2) MAGICAL PUMPKIN showed dramatic improvement second time out and is a big threat here. His dam has produced nothing but winners and it appears it won't be long before this filly joins that list. (4) AUNT LOTTIE was prominent throughout last week and is with a chance here to graduate.

Race 6

(9) SHIPPS EXPECTANCY cut out some wild fractions for this class last week in his first start off the claim and almost lasted. That race was a big improvement and stamps him as a contender here. (7) RAVE ON closed strongly last time but was overtaken by one that roared home in 26 2/5 as the big favorite. This one may be ready to break the 2015 goose egg in the win column. (5) INTENDED STYLE knows only one style - right to the engine for as far as he goes - but he is likely to get challenged early here which will compromise his chances.

Race 7

(1) WHITE BECOMES HER left with the starting car in her Armbro Flight elimination - she was moving that fast. While she expectedly tired, these are much easier and she has a big shot of wiring this group. (8) MONEY MAVEN gets a catch driver back here and has done well in this class with Jamieson at the controls; threat. (3) ROCKYS FIRST had a tightener where he raced evenly at a higher class. He has shown many times in the past that he can more than compete at this level. Keep him on your deeper pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(6) IDEAL SHADOW got backed up on bad cover last week on the final turn or he would have been at least in a win photo. He is razor-sharp right now and gets top call here over (2) TWOMICKEYTRIP who beat him last week in his first start for Moreau and will be the one to catch again, no doubt. (3) CRAFTY MASTER closed belatedly for third behind the top two and likely repeats that scenario here.

Race 9

(8) KATE SMITH has had some gait issues but threw down a big qualifying mile a week ago, drops in class and picks up red-hot Filion which suggests an aggressive steer is in the plans. Top call hoping she trots the whole mile. (2) HER NAME IS LOLA takes a massive class plunge and is more than capable of beating this group. (10) CANTABS FORTUNE was ridiculously overbet last week considering she had missed 5 weeks but missing a check allows her to drop again. She is a much bigger threat here, even from the 10-hole.

Race 10

(5) ONE TO DRAW TO was hung out to dry vs. Grassroots competition last time now drops back down to face the weakest group he has seen to date. He looks like he has some issues but Henry may still be able to take him coast-to-coast in this spot. (8) AXELERATE SEELSTER has shown good early speed in several starts but lacks finish most nights. If he could land in the pocket early, he could threaten here at a price. (3) R U MACHIN ME has dropped his time every week and looks primed now to produce his best effort to date. (2) GRANTLAND has been improving his late speed and Christoforou has been known to sneak this type past late; beware. (10) WILDCAT LIGHTNING is always close by but can't get it done. He is likely for one of the minor slots here.

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