06/20/2016 12:14PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 6/21 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 3,9/5,6,7/1,4,7,10/2,5,6/2,3,6 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,6/2,3,6/2,4/3,4,5 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,5/3,6,7/8,9,10/5,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 136 - 435 / $740.20  BEST BETS: 24 - 41 / $85.00

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 41 / $40.90


Spot Play: JOLTS PRAYER (4th)

Race 1

(9) P C CANTORE picked up catch driver Henry last week who sent this filly right to the front and the duo was never seriously challenged. More of the same is possible here against some of the same rivals. (3) ROYAL CHARM was an eye-catching winner with her trainer driving last week and she is very logical here but she will likely be overbet and she could fall prey to traffic issues the way she races. (2) SMASH HIT was a closing second to the choice and it makes sense to use her in exacta and tri wagers here. (5) MAJESTIC PRESENCE carved out some swift splits then tired last week which is a trip that often signals improvement is coming. She could crash the exotics at a price here.

Race 2

(6) WARAWEE PROTON had his four race win streak snapped when he was part of a very quick early pace then was a vet scratch. Dropping in class gives him a good chance to rebound here although it's hard to say how the time off will affect his performance. (5) TYMAL RECAP raced well in claimers prior to his most recent start where he showed nothing in the Preferred class on a wet track at Georgian. He should rebound here with a better showing. (7) THANKYOUKESSEL drops into claimers for the first time and makes sense as a logical contender - if he stays flat. (2) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE has raced okay in his two starts back from a short break and will likely win one soon with the right trip.

Race 3

(1) SWEET OF MY HEART is a full sister to two winners including $408K earner Sweetie Hearts who won the Casual Breeze Stakes here in 2014 in 1:54 3/5. She is one of several in with a chance in the first race of the year for rookie trotters. (7) ROSE RUN SPEEDSTER has been training well all winter and spring and was a most impressive winner of her June 3rd qualifier. She is a must-use on Pick 5 tickets. (4) HIGHLAND TOP HILL is the first foal of an unraced dam. She fetched $14K at the Harrisburg sale and is well-prepped for this debut. (10) HOPE IMA VICTORY is a full brother to five winners including $667K earner Victory Is Coming who won 61 races and took a mark of 1:51 flat. I wouldn't discount him as this trainer sends almost everything ready to roll.

Race 4

(5) JOLTS PRAYER finished well at Trois Rivieres on June 7th on a wet track in what was the fastest mile of that day. Her form and speed should transfer nicely to this conditioned claiming class; top call. (2) CAUGHT ME SPEEDING returning to an inside post should improve and produce a mile similar to her May 27th effort; using. (6) TARAHUMARA raced okay last week but also had every chance to win off a perfect trip and couldn't get there. She's in with a chance here but beware taking a short price. (9) BIG TSUNAMI should be passing many of these and could fill out the Tri or Super here.

Race 5

(6) KENNEL BUDDY has trotted several good miles in the top classes at the B tracks and he should fit well here. Give him a slight nod if a race with several possibilities. (3) KINETIC KING was too far back on excess cover last time but still finished well as he typically does. He can take this if he starts his move earlier. (2) ALACRITY closed powerfully from far back last time and is sure to take plenty of action here moving inside. (9) LANDONFITZ has maintained solid form for months and is another that can make some noise here but he will need to work out a trip from out there.

Race 6

(2) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR took a ton of action last time but backed up down the lane on the inside which seemed to be the wrong place to be on that wet track. He drops again and will be a major player here if he is anywhere close to his best. (4) TOTALLY RIPPED also drops and his potent late kick should play well vs. this group. Use him on your early Pick 4 tickets. (5) HIE BENNY led until very late racing in this class two back. He should stick around for a slice here. (7) BURNIN MONEY is another that is more likely for a smaller share than a win here. Look for him late.

Race 7

(3) MYRETIREMENTTICKET was driven aggressively last week and nailed only late by a rival that absolutely flew down the lane. He can beat these now that he is in top form. (5) DEWDLE ALL DAY closed well from the 10-hole last time and should be better positioned here leaving from the middle of the gate; using. (4) COULD IT BE MAGIC was rebuffed trying for the lead early last time then encountered some traffic issues. If she makes front here, she could take these a long way. (7) DAYLINER was an impressive winner last week but may not get good position early here moving outside a couple of slots; minor award predicted.

Race 8

(3) DONNA PARTY was too far back on too much cover last time but was still closing well down the lane. She should get sent harder early here from a better post and gets top billing. (7) DARKTWISTEDFANTASY took a new season's mark when claimed last week and moves into a barn that has been doing well at this met and often gets overlooked at the windows. She rates highly here. (6) NOMATTERWHEN has improved in her past two and will no doubt be put into play early by Filion here. She's should be in the thick of things at the finish. (4) LADY JEN won two straight in conditioned claimers recently but may find the top three tough to handle here; for a smaller share.

Race 9

(9) CRAZY WILD DESIRE got hung out to dry in a sires stakes dash last time and she has a much better chance of making front here which could lead to a win similar to the mile she trotted two back. (10) THE LAND SHARK is also very capable if put into the race early, but notice the passive try from the 10-hole two back. (8) P C FOREIGN AFFAIR looked like a sure winner around the final turn at Georgian last time then hung down the lane. The driver change here could be huge. (6) VERY CLASSY has been getting closer the past two and could pop here if provided with a good trip.

Race 10

(5) UTOPIA continues to race super out of the Ryan barn and should be able to get good position by the 3/4 pole then pounce here. (9) MYSTERY BET takes a big drop but his lack of gate speed and probable short price is a concern here. (2) SHOOT THE THRILL comes off a sharp win but faces better now and rarely puts two good ones together; your call. (10) BAX OF LIFE faces easier here but is likely to be closing too late after leaving from post 10. She should take a smaller share however. (8) NEILS GOLDEN GIRL is sure to get put into the race at some point by Henry which makes her dangerous to take a share if not more.

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