06/15/2015 12:33PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 6/16 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3,5/2/5,6,10/7,8,9 = $18


LATE $1 PICK 4: 7,8,9/2,5.8/2.3.4/3,10 = $54

MEET STATS: 118 - 368 / $651.50  BEST BETS: 16 - 33 / $54.80

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 31 / $45.60

Best Bet: CAN I SAY (5th)

Spot Play: MYSTIC ICE (7th)

Race 1

(2) RAILEE PRITI took her life's mark here last year in a Grassroots event. She had a good season's opener at Georgian and gets to face a relatively weak field here. Top call in the opener. (3) LUCK O THE IRISH made a powerful first-over move and looked home free but tired very late and was nailed by two chargers on the line. He looks like the main danger. (6) MADMAN HALL broke as the favorite last week and lost all hope. If he stays flat here anything close to his two previous starts puts him right there.

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Race 2

(6) THE TRAVELER was in a good spot at the 3/4 last week when he miscued. He could bounce back here if he behaves. Lukewarm call on top in a field of undependables. (4) FLEXIBLE WOMAN also miscued near the 1/2 then made a big recovery to be second. She is a contender here - if she trots the whole mile. (1) MAJOR HERBIE was just okay off a good trip in his 2015 debut. He could improve off that mile, however.

Race 3

(2) SEEKING STEVEN was prominent throughout and nailed only late by a rival that swept by them all from last. That was off almost a 3-week break and he returns a little quicker here. He should be prominent throughout. (7) NUMBERS GAME was out the route in his season's debut vs. better and still beat half the field. He can be much closer vs. these with that mile under his belt. (6) MUSCLE ART ships in off a good first-over effort and looks dangerous.

Race 4

(5) ARTFUL WAY continues to show great improvement every start and looks formidable here. (3) P L IDAHO was a close fifth in the Somebeachsomewhere Stakes and although he has a lot of talent he is also unpredictable. He's a contender for sure but likely gets overbet here which may provide value for the choice. (2) NATURESCAPE was no match for the choice despite getting a good covered-up trip and a clear shot in the lane. He likely battles for a minor share here.

Race 5

(2) CAN I SAY has hit his top stride and it's possible he could reel off a few straight and climb the conditioned latter. He certainly has enough class and speed to beat this group when he is fit enough which he clearly is now. (7) EXTRACURRICULAR has been racing well in top classes at the B tracks and can threaten here. (6) EASTER TEKA was racing well in similar classes in Chicago but has missed some time. She may need one here to show her best.

Race 6

(10) UNIQUE BARAN keeps winning and keeps getting claimed. The 10-hole is no bargain here but Henry has a good handle on placing this one in a good spot early; call for the four-peat. (6) CROWN ISLE isn't the most reliable horse on the grounds but he does win more than 20% of his starts and could sit a good trip here if Filion revs him up early to get position. (5) LOVES A CHALLENGE dominates when he leaves town to face easier then becomes a bit player when he returns; minor share predicted.

Race 7

(9) MYSTIC ICE is a half-brother to solid local pacer Champagne Phil who was competitive early in his career. Trainer Nixon put a good final qualifier into this one who could do at first asking. (7) DEES ROCKETMAN chased a very good debut winner and is the obvious horse to beat here. His 0 for 13 mark so far is a bit concerning, however. (8) REAL KID is from a productive dam and his lone qualifier is very good - especially the final 1/4. He is a threat, too.

Race 8

(8) CHIEVOUS COLE returns from a break sporting a solid qualifying win. In a field void of early speed look for Henry to try to blast early and bottom these out. (2) GIRL DRAMA ships in following two solid wins vs. conditioned foes at Kawartha. I'm not sure these are much tougher; using. (5) LIME STRIKE took a win in his second start for Moreau at Grand River and is in with a shot here.

Race 9

(4) DESERONTO has shown rapid improvement this spring. He'll likely need to drop at least another second here to keep his win streak going but could be capable; top call. (2) MR CARROTS sprinted away from his Grassroots foes late and is the obvious one to beat here - likely at a short price. (3) SUGARSAM has faced much better so far with nothing to show for it. He could wake up in this spot.

Race 10

(3) ABSOLUTLY OFFICIAL has really put it all together the past two weeks as trainer Young seems to have found the key to this one. Call to repeat. (10) MIKES POWERHOUSE was beaten only 6 lengths by much better in stakes company last week and figures highly here. (5) FASHION MAVEN was rough before the start and had to rush the gate. It seemed as though Drury couldn't get him to relax after that and he got no breathers and tired late. He can go better here. (1) ELECTRIC WESTERN looks ready to produce a good mile in his season's debut but there are some tough ones to contend with here; minor share predicted. (7) RATHER SWELL came close to finally breaking the goose egg last week but that is unlikely to happen here.

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