10/03/2016 2:23PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 10/4 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 3/2,3/6,8/2,7,9/2,5,6 = $7.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,7,9/6/1,2,4/2,6,8,9 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2,6,8,9/6/1,2,4/1,3,8,10 = $48

MEET STATS: 385 - 1154 / $1990.40  BEST BETS: 64 - 106 / $197.70

SPOT PLAYS: 23 - 106 / $157.90)

Best Bet: QUADRANGLE (8th)

Spot Play: ODDS ON AMETHYST (5th)

Race 1

(3) WORLDCLASS HANOVER takes a massive class drop here. She shouldn't have any trouble with this group. (5) MOONLIGHT COCKTAIL should get a decent trip on or near the lead here and stick around for a slice. (1) CHESTNUT SCHOFIELD didn't have much to offer first up last week but he stands a decent chance of getting a good following trip here and hitting the board. (2) KAMIKAZE LINDY took lots of early tote action last time and raced a little better. He could go better here and hit the ticket having had a race over the track.

Race 2

Interestingly, every horse in this race comes up tagged after racing in conditioned or Grassroots races recently. I will side with (2) A BETTORS RISK, who boasts the best late speed and should benefit from the field being small. (3) IMSPORTY faced the toughest company and his race two back would make him very tough here if he could repeat it. (5) NOTETOSELF HANOVER raced better last time and he could make the ticket at a decent price here. (1) ISITFRIDAYYET has a good win record facing cheaper out of town. He could sneak into the Super here off a following trip.

Race 3

(6) CAMERON HILL has been over her head facing open stakes company recently. She should excel here, but will also likely be odds-on. (8) LADY GREY comes off two solid efforts and offers a decent alternative to the expected big chalk here. (4) JILONA will be a pace threat early and could stick for a smaller share. (1) CRYSTAL GUMDROP has frequent gait issues but if she stays trotting she can take a slice here.

Race 4

(7) SKY GUY set some solid splits and was only overtaken late in the mile last week. He would be tough on a repeat of that effort in this field. (9) MYSTIC ICE is worth a look here dropping back into a claimer off two decent efforts vs. conditioned foes. (2) THINK AGAIN is 1-48 lifetime but getting major post relief in his second start in a claimer should move him up considerably. (1) BLUE LINE is a good one to use on the bottom of vertical bets here.

Race 5

(6) ODDS ON AMETHYST went a huge trip last week on the rim to win in excellent time. He could step up and beat these if he has a similar effort to offer. (2) P C DREAM TICKET races well for driver Henry and he will get a winning trip soon. (5) SHOOT THE THRILL steps up off the claim when he won easily. He could move up for Auciello here. (4) ZEUS LIGHTNING raced better in this class last time, but he is rarely a win threat the last couple of years; minor share predicted.

Race 6

(2) SPORTS COWBOY was nailed late last time by a rival that tripped out most of the way and got clear sailing around the last turn. He looks good to graduate here. (1) D M REACHER should go better here starting from the inside. He's the main threat to the choice. (4) SHADOWFALL could show sharp improvement here leaving from a better post; consider for Pick 4 tickets. (6) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE will likely take another slice here without threatening for the win.

Race 7

(8) PYLATER will likely switch to a closing style here and with a ton of early speed signed on he could roll right by in the lane. (9) LITTLE TURK is another that should be winding up from the backfield and passing horses in the stretch. (2) NICHOLAS RYAN could get a similar dreamy trip as he did two starts back; using. (6) SCOTTY MACH N is another that can pass horses late. I'll toss him on my Pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(6) QUADRANGLE was a sharp two-move winner last week. He is a big threat to double up here vs. similar. (1) RADICAL ROAD has faced better than most of these recently and has fared okay. He looks next best on paper but he would have to find at least one second to threaten the choice. (3) VESUVIO BI - a $25K Harrisburg purchase - likely has more speed to offer than shown in his two qualifiers. (5) BLAMEITONTHEWHISKY hinted at ability for the first time in his final 1/4 last week. He could crash the exotics at a price here.

Race 9

(4) JETPEDIA got a clean line chasing a strong winner last time. He could get more aggressive early off that effort; top call. (2) STAN THE MAN drops to the bottom conditioned level, picks up Filion and he should fit this class well. (1) SUMMIT CITY NATE wasn't far behind the choice and now he gets class relief too; using. (8) MEADOWVIEW VICKY has hit the board close to 60% of the time this year; consider for the exotics at a price.

Race 10

(1) SUNNY BEACH DAY get post and class relief and he should get put into action earlier this time. (3) SPORTS LIGHTNING made a big move and almost held on last time. He should be right there again vs. this group. (10) CS EYE may get asked by Henry to clear right away and if he succeeds, he could take these all the way. (8) DALTON DID IT gets Filion here off the claim. First time Filion isn't the worst angle to play at this track. (2) YORK SEELSTER is likely to take a covered trip here and he could better this prediction with some racing luck.

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