10/10/2016 12:28PM

Mohawk: Tuesday 10/11 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,5,6/4,5,6/5,6,10/2,5,6,10/4 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,6,10/1,4,10/4,6/8 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 8/2,5,6,7/2,5,7,8/1,3 = $32

MEET STATS: 411 - 1207 / $2143.30  BEST BETS: 68 - 111 / $213.30

SPOT PLAYS: 24 - 110 / $162.80

Best Bet: OLYMPIC SON (10th)

Spot Play: SOAKING UP THE SUN (7th)

Race 1

(5) JILONA is capable of wiring this group if she can stay flat this time; slight nod. (1) POWERFUL MISSION is another that rates highly here but also has frequent gait issues. This race could come down to who stays trotting and who doesn't. (6) YOU CANT AFFORD ME should benefit from the shorter field and easier company here; using on Pick 5 tickets. (4) TYMAL REIGN gets a decent post for the first time and could crack the exotics here.

Race 2

(6) LADY EAGLE is worth a look here as the only winner in the field shipping in, switching barns and picking up the leading driver. (5) PARADISE IMAGE faces her easiest test to date here and she should improve. (4) GAELIC LASS rates highly on form, but the vet scratch and time missed could make her vulnerable here, quite possibly at a short price. (3) PRINCESS JULIEANN can make the ticket here if she can stay flat.

Race 3

(6) BADDESTNBEST has really been on a roll out of town in conditioned claimers and Baillargeon typically does well driving for this trainer; top call. (5) PODGE is another shipper that brings excellent form with him. Toss him on your Pick 5 tickets. (10) IMSPORTY benefitted from backfield confusion last time, but it is noteworthy that Zeron clicks at a remarkable 40% win rate when driving for Fellows; using. (1) ST LADS CHARGER can sit a trip and hit the ticket here.

Race 4

(2) AWESOMENESS showed late interest in his debut now moves inside and he should be put into play earlier; slight nod. (5) DANZIG MOON is worth a long look switching to a barn that is potent with new acquisitions. (10) D M REACHER could take this if he leaves in the top 5 or 6. (6) SHELBYS IDEAL makes his second start and picks up MacDonell who wins at a 34% rate driving for Sucee from 23 starters; using.

Race 5

(4) LYONS GEOFF JR got pounded at the windows last week and was live but perhaps on too much cover. A more aggressive drive is likely here and with that could come a win. (1) MR IRRESISTIBLE dropped into a claimer for the first time last week and was taken by Moreau. That's enough for me to include him. (9) THINK AGAIN found a home at this level and he could reel off a few good miles in a row now. Toss him on your multi-race tickets. (2) PYLATER should get a better trip from an improved post; consider for exotics.

Race 6

(4) LITTLE RED CHEV tipped her hand in the final 1/4 last week now she faces easier from a better post and she can go right down the road here. (6) DOMEDOMEDOME also gets some class relief and she is worth considering for the Pick 4. (2) CLASS ME NICE outraces his odds every week it seems. He isn't the worst bomb to take a stab on. (1) CROWN CLASSIC should trip out for at least a smaller share here.

Race 7

(8) SOAKING UP THE SUN won easier than it appears on paper last week as he was under no urging late. He can repeat here off that sharp mile. (3) I WANNA BE GEARED is sure to show early speed this time which is when he does his best work. (2) JAC SPADE drops back to the bottom level and he could get a golden trip here; consider. (10) LITTLE QUICK can pass many of these down the lane and he could spice up the exotic payoffs.

Race 8

(7) STEPPIN OUT was overtaken on the backside last week and he quit trying. He is much more effective and game when he leads to the stretch which is a very good possibility here. (5) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL had a brutal trip last week. She can rebound here if she finds the pylons at the start. (6) JETPEDIA looks like one of the better chances in here but his gait issues are always a concern. (2) VICS ROYAL LADY was chosen by Henry over another and he has done well with her in the past; consider at what will likely be a big price.

Race 9

(2) SENIOR K raced decently from the 10-hole last time, he looks to have his gait issues fixed and Hudon took him over two others. I'll side with him hoping for a bit of a price. (7) SIR GALAHAD couldn't go with one that took off late last time but he retained his good form and is the one to beat. (5) LIMA C ME ROCK had some late pace to offer last time and he would be no big surprise here. (8) SOLO STORY closed best last time vs. a strong winner. He, too, can win this with the right trip.

Race 10

(1) OLYMPIC SON has already beat better at this meet, takes a big drop and McNair does well diving for trainer Reid. The drop-and-pop is expected here. (3) P C DREAM TICKET couldn't repel a hot horse last week but he did race well on the rim. (5) MYSTERY BET is always a threat to close for a good share but he wins have been rare for him this year. (8) CHARLIE IS A JOKER fits well in this class when he behaves. (10) KINETIC KING is a good bomb to consider for the bottom of all vertical bets.

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