09/06/2016 3:52PM

Mohawk: Thursday 9/8 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 3,6/2,4,7/2,3,6/5,6,9/2,4 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 5,6,9/2,4/2,4,5,8/6,7 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 6,7/1/1,3,4,8/3,4,6,8,10 = $40

MEET STATS: 326 - 970 / $1692.60  BEST BETS: 54 - 90 / $172.30

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 90 / $119.10

Best Bet: ARIANA G (8th)

Spot Play: WARRAWEE PROTON (6th)

Race 1

(6) HILL OF A COLT has been very impressive so far and he should extend his unbeaten string to three here at a short price. (3) AGENT DINOZZO threatened a big chalk late in the mile last time in a Grassroots race. He looks like the only real danger to the choice. (5) DEVILS ADVOCATE raced better for Vanderkemp last time and she could show further improvement here. (7) RADIANT BEAM regularly shares and she should stick around for a slice here.

Race 2

(2) P L KAHLUAA was at a tactical disadvantage sitting 2nd to a leader that was cutting slow fractions last time but she powered by late anyway. Her excellent late speed makes her the choice here. (4) ACTION MAJESTY comes off a vet scratch lame but looks ready to roll again based on her September 2nd qualifier. (7) GATEWAY TO VICTORY can't be dismissed the way Alagna has been winning with virtually everything lately. (5) SHEWEARSTHEPANTS will be near the front early and likely stick around for a smaller share.

Race 3

(2) BIG TSUNAMI found this level to her liking after racing decently in conditioned events prior to that score. She is a good bet to double up here. (3) BADLANDS DELIGHT was backed up entering the turn last time, which may have cost her the race. She could turn the tables here. (6) CAMPS BAY drops into a claimer and should wake up with a much better effort. (8) TREASURED MOMENTS is worth a look entering Moreau's barn here.

Race 4

(6) LUMIERE wired a similar group from the 10-hole last time and gets a good post which to launch off from early here. Call to repeat. (9) PANEDICTINE raced well off the claim but couldn't catch the choice late. He is in with a decent shot here if he can float out into the top five early. (5) PYLATER has been competitive in a comparative class at Georgian recently. He should be heard from here. (2) MAMMOTH JACK is worth a look going for trainer Stewart off the claim.

Race 5

(2) THATS ALL MONI closed strongly despite sitting behind pedestrian fractions last week. With the divisional leader signed onto the other elimination, this filly should be tough. (4) GRANDMAS MONI showed great promise in her winning debut; using. (5) WINTER SWEET FROST keeps improving and is worth a look here. (3) SOUTHWIND AVANTI is another that has been showing progression that is in with a chance.

Race 6

(8) WARAWEE PROTON goes first off the claim here for a barn that can move one up. He certainly has the class to handle these if he is close to right; top call. (5) GIRL DRAMA should be closer here racing back on a 7-day cycle. (2) BLUSH AND CRUSH again should be a threat from close range and is hard to leave off Pick 4 tickets. (4) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE is also worth considering off the claim, but his 3 for 53 record the past two years doesn't inspire great confidence.

Race 7

(6) TORI HANOVER should improve in her second start over the track for a sizzling stable; slight nod. (7) ZAHARA SEELSTER moved too late last time while a slow pace was being cut. She can bounce back here. (3) MAJOR MASTER PIECE has dropped her time every start and could pop here off a good trip near the front. (2) SKY GIRL gets Filion for the second time, which sometimes produces winners that pay very well; consider.

Race 8

(1) ARIANA G - the division leader - was an easy winner last week here despite missing almost four weeks. Back in 7 days, she should be even tougher. (8) DREAM TOGETHER has been solid in every start to date, but she likely completes a very chalky exacta here. (3) STUCK IN MY SPANKS was a decent third to the choice last time and she can share here, too, if she stays flat. (2) HIGHLAND TOP HILL is worth a look for the exotics on the barn change.

Race 9

(3) TIGRA SEELSTER made a powerful move to the front in early stretch last week and then held the advantage to the wire in a strong effort; call to repeat. (1) LADY JEN should get a much easier trip here moving inside several posts; using. (4) DONNA PARTY had a good trip and a clear shot at the choice last week, but could not bridge the gap. Another minor share is predicted here. (8) PRETTY HOT will be closing late and she is a good one to use on the lower exotics slots.

Race 10

(4) HEMINGWAY looks as good as any going first off the claim following a failed first-over bid in a race that demands wide Pick 4 coverage. (3) NEVER BEEN TOLD comes off a solid first up win and has a good post to work with here; using. (8) P L INFERNO has improving form and could be a good price starting from out there; consider. (6) E L SPARTACUS goes first off the claim for an outfit that can move one up. (10) CONFLICT DIAMOND is usually competitive in this class and he could crash the exotics at a price.

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