09/01/2015 3:06PM

Mohawk: Thursday 9/3 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


1,2,3,4,6,7/9/2,6/2,6,8 = $36


LATE PICK 4: 3,5,7/4/2,3,8/4,9,10 = $27

MEET STATS: 273 - 892 / $1534.90 BEST BETS: 37 - 80 / $121.10

SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 77 / $79.60



Race 1

(5) LOVE HUNTER got hung out for a long trip last time vs. Grassroots foes now gets a positive driver change and a better post; top call. (1) MY MY HEY HEY broke at the start last time, recovered, then went first up and destroyed the field. He's requalified well and is hard to see getting beat if he stays flat - but that's never a safe bet with him. (3) ONLY MY WAY closed quickly late last time and can share here.

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Race 2

(5) DR J HANOVER wasn't pushed early in his debut but did show good late pace and can build on that initial effort here; top call. (4) REJUVENATE dropped back into maiden company, left hard from the outside and set all the pace only to be picked off very late. He's the one to beat here. (2) SHOREVIEW raced evenly on cover in his debut for a trainer not known for winning right off the hop. This colt could show sharp improvement here.

Race 3

(4) SILVIA goes for Burke/Gingras here and will likely get a good trip near the pace from which to launch a late assault on pacesetter (3) COULD IT BE MAGIC, who has been almost unbeatable locally. Top call to the former, but only slightly. (6) SILENT BLESSINGS has faced the best in her division and should be heard from here.

Race 4

(6) MATCHPLAY HANOVER gets a slight nod in a very competitive NW2L dash. He should get a good stalking trip here but there are several win possibilities here. (7) ARSENIC rebounded with a solid win last time and McNair will look to control this mile. (4) HEAVYMETAL HANOVER hasn't missed the board yet and should be a threat here from close range.

Race 5

(9) EMOTICON HANOVER as expected rebounded with a win last week after blowing up on the final turn at Georgian two back. We likely haven't seen this filly's best yet; breakout performance predicted. (4) EVERYTHING N MORE was a solid 2nd in a stake at Tioga last time and is getting closer to breaking her maiden. (6) DEWDLE ALL DAY wasn't far behind the choice last time and her consistency should be respected.

Race 6

(2) SHOW SOME LEG drops back to face maidens here and has as good a shot as any in a win-shy group. This filly should be a square price; call to upset. (6) MISS PRINCESS LEAH is 2 for 3 out of town and faces a group that is 3 for 107 collectively. She obviously has a shot here. (4) SO RAVEN always looks great on paper and always finds a way to get beat; your call.

Race 7

(6) SHOW BIZ HALL was trying to close into a :28 flat final 1/4 last time which was hopeless. Expect him to be kept closer to the front early here which would give him a big shot to convert with a win. (8) BOLI has some wins earlier this year vs. decent fields. Don't sell this one short here. (2) TORTOLA SUNRISE has done well for Moreau and can't be discounted here.

Race 8

(3) SILKY FLASHY NFAST went a big trip two back at Georgian then went a long trip last time from the 10-hole and finished a good 4th considering. She is improving quickly as many Kadabras do and could spring a huge upset here. (7) CAPRICE HILL broke at the start last time then was babied around the final turn and managed to drive away for the win. She is obviously talented but risky and will be a very low price on the board here. (5) TWICE IS RIGHT has two easy wins and two breaks in stride in her past four starts. She is another that could take down the big chalk if she behaves.

Race 9

(4) ALDERBARAN EAGLE has faced the best sophomore trotters on the continent and held his own. It's hard to imagine him getting beat here. (8) GRANA PADANNO displayed big speed winning easily last week and is the most likely upsetter should the choice falter. (2) MYSTERY BET seems to have cured his gait issues and will be closing late for a piece as is his custom when he behaves.

Race 10

(2) WEATHERLY raced evenly last time after missing some time but he did show sharp late speed. He should be a top contender vs. this group. (8) CAJON LIGHTNING got an aggressive steer to break his maiden in good time and should be a threat here. (3) JAKE LOEWEN wasn't that far behind the choice last time and is another to consider in a wide-open dash.

Race 11

(9) SOAKING UP THE SUN was claimed out of a good effort by Puddy and faces a fairly weak group here; top call. (10) SPORTS VISION was a big go last week and set all the pace only to be nailed on the wire by a class-dropping favorite. He is dangerous here, even from out there.(4) TICKET TO ROLL dropped into conditioned claimers and improved. He can be a threat here.  (1) VEGILANTE HANOVER is only a one-time winner but often follows along for shares. He should get a piece of this. (6) LCM NUKULAR STRIKE is a good one for the bottom of exotic wagers.

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