09/23/2015 10:26AM

Mohawk: Thursday 9/24 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

6,8,9/1,2,4,5/2/3,4,7,8 = $48

 

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,7,8/2,5,6,8/4,5,6/7 = $48

MEET STATS: 335 - 1066 / $1874.30  BEST BETS: 47 - 95 / $152.40

SPOT PLAYS: 13 - 91 / $149.30

Best Bet: SOAKING UP THE SUN (6th)

Spot Play: MUSCLE MATTERS (8th)

Race 1

(5) T C SNO MASSIVE has been close vs. better and meets a field she should be able to beat here. (6) BOW TIES N BOURBON has had gait issues in his past two starts but would be a top contender here if he could stay trotting. (7) TUSCANS MEMORY was racing well in Quebec until last start when he broke in a sires stake final. This isn't the best betting race on the card to be sure.

Race 2

(5) PARTY IN ROME was used hard making the front in a quick 1/2 last week and that exertion took its toll late. She can bounce back here with an easier trip likely in this short field. (4) DIVAS IMAGE is the one that was battling with the choice early in that Grassroots semi-final. Tactics are likely to be far less aggressive here. (6) TOP ROYAL was 2nd to an impressive winner that roared by the field late. She has 4 exacta finishes in her last five and isn't without a shot here.

Race 3

(6) WORLDCLASS HANOVER faced much better in her past two starts and was an easy winner three back in a similar class to this one. Top call with the class relief. (8) SPIRIT SQUAD showed big improvement last week and may be starting to figure things out; exacta factor. (1) WEVE HAD ENOUGH tried a closing style last time and it didn't work. He can be a factor from close range here.

Race 4

(6) SEXYANDINOITDEVIE was simply too far back last week and was doomed when the final 1/4 was the quickest of that mile. Expect a more aggressive drive tonight, (8) NAUGHTY LADY B has greatly improved her late speed the past two starts and has a real shot to break her maiden here. (9) CAMPS BAY is another that has been closing fast but needs to be closer turning home.

Race 5

(4) SEAWIND PASCALE was sitting in a good spot when she made an uncharacteristic break last week. Let's give her another chance with Zeron returning to drive. (5) BURNIN MONEY was an easy winner mostly due to a great trip and a heady drive by JD last time. He looks good again in here but rarely doubles up; tough call. (1) EXEMPLAR left hard then took a costly shuffle last week. He is another to keep on your early pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(2) SOAKING UP THE SUN has won two straight off the claim and looks good to notch a hat trick here considering the dearth of early speed signed on. (8) BRINGHOME THEBLUE looks like the only threat to the choice but will need to beat a few of these off the gate which seems doubtful based on his chart lines. (7) COLONYS BEST drops into a claimer for the first time but also faces some elders; minor award predicted.

Race 7

(3) NICE TRIP was noticed closing with good energy two back when too far behind the leader and last week was even better when motoring by the field late. With the improvement she's been showing this step up may not be tough for her; top call. (4) KATIES BEACH finally broke her maiden but she did it in style from the 10-hole and merits inclusion here. (9) DOUBLE OLIVES was an impressive winner in a similar class last week and can't be discounted.

Race 8

(5) MUSCLE MATTERS returns from Pocono which looks like a winning angle if you check his July 8 and July 27 lines. (2) CATCH THE DREAM was a bit sluggish first up last week but that's not his trip. He should go better here on cover. (8) O U SEXY GUY was claimed last week by Puddy which is always a dangerous angle; using.

Race 9

(4) CARTER BEACH had a busy stretch of 3 races in 8 days including the Metro elimination and consolation. The time off may benefit him and he faces a field he should be able to handle; top call. (5) DAYLIGHT RUSH lost to a rapidly-improving colt last week and will break through soon. (6) ADRIAN HANOVER beat similar two back then managed to grab a check in a Grand Circuit dash. Keep him on your late pick 4 tickets.

Race 10

(7) THOUGHTYOUDLIKEIT was an impressive debut winner when parked a long way and can double up here using a similar style. (10) NEWBIE has been beating elders in the top classes out of town and would take some beating if he could make the front from out there. With other speed signed on that may be a tall order, though. (9) MACH ON THE BEACH is another that has been tearing up the tracks out of town but he and several others may want the front here. (1) ALASKAN SEELSTER rarely misses a check and should get a good stalking trip here chasing lots of early speed. (5) SHOE SHINE was no match for the winner last time but was easily best of the rest and should get a piece of this.

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