09/17/2013 3:33PM

Mohawk: Thursday 9/19 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: BAHAMA BLUE (7th)

Spot Play: CANBEC IVANOV (11th)

Race 1 

(3) KEYSTONE SAPPHIRE gets much needed post relief and has a terrific record this season. She races at her best when she’s involved early and should get that trip tonight. (9) MUSCLE ON BROADWAY comes from good connections and has gate speed. He’ll have to overcome post nine, but shows on paper that he’s capable. (5) JULIET draws well and comes out of the Steacy barn. She made a miscue last week, but I’m going to overlook that.

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Race 2 

(2) ALITTLEAINTENOUGH draws inside and won at this level last start. He comes out of the Johnson barn, which will only decrease his price. (4) DEWEY BEACH gets post relief and shows the speed required in here. He’ll need a trip and should provide a price. (5) I C D MOOLAH has been racing much better as of late, including last week’s effort. His final quarter was :27 1/5 and that sets him up well in here.

Race 3 

(7) I LIKE MY KADDY comes out of the Nixon barn and has a good record this season. He’s been very consistent this season, stays flat and is a good option in here. (6) WEST SIDE STORY comes out of the Henriksen barn and finished second in this class last week. He was beaten only by a neck with a solid final frame. (9)TYMAL VIVA comes out of the McNair barn and has been racing better in recent weeks. She’s versatile and gets McNair in the bike.

Race 4

(9) TIPITINA has terrific gate speed and will need it to overcome post nine. He made the front last week from post eight and is a good option once again. (4) COUNTRY DELIGHT comes out of the Gillis barn and posted a solid qualifier. He shows that he’s capable of dropping more time. (6) SENTIMENTAL LADY has yet to miss the board in all three starts this season and once again is a threat in here. Versatile sort is unlikely to offer a price.

Race 5

(4) NEGLIGENT HANOVER comes out of the Moreau barn and won last week in this class. She draws better and likely will be the favorite once again. (3) PUTMEINTOGO draws inside, has gate speed and comes out of the Gold series into this class. (8) MADAMOISELLE PARIS has hit the board in each of her last two starts and has posted terrific final quarter speed. She also enjoys being put into the race, which is a plus.

Race 6

(7) KILTED PRIDE is fresh off the claim and moves into the Auciello barn. That’s the main reason for my selection, as Auciello has a high percentage with first time starters. (6) ROCKYS FIRST is a much better horse than he’s been showing. He made a miscue last start, but found the wire first the start before. (2) ILL BE THERE draws inside and comes out of the Montini stable. He races better when he’s put into the race and should get that from post two.

Race 7

(5) BAHAMA BLUE will likely be the heavy favorite in here. She’s been competing in Grand Circuit events and drops down into this overnight class. (1) TAKE THAT HANOVER also raced in the Champlain stakes and drops in class. She gets the rail and has the speed. (7) ZENOBIA BLUE CHIP has won two of three career starts and certainly has the speed to compete in this class. She put in a sub-par effort last week, but I’ll give her the benefit of the doubt.

Race 8

(7) PAPER BACKED LINDY found the wire first last week in this class and is certainly capable once again. He comes out of Henriksen’s barn and I hope his early speed is used. (2) MAGIC WILL WORK draws inside and likely will be the first leader. He comes out of Auciello’s barn and should be able to put in a rebound effort compared to last start. (8) COE LEADER has been racing very well in recent weeks and has a solid final quarter in him. He comes out of the Zeron barn and is very versatile.

Race 9

(8) WINDSONG KHLOE comes out of Jamieson’s barn and recently competed in the Champlain Stakes. The class alone along with her recent times makes her a top candidate. (5) BRESCIA SEELSTER comes out of the Gold division and faces a much easier bunch. She might provide a price. (10) A LITTLE STARSTRUK has yet to draw inside in her career and will have to overcome post 10. She comes from top connections and has the speed. Hopefully quick fractions are presented on the front end.

Race 10

(7) CHEAP N EASY has hit the board in each of her last five starts and has been claimed three times. She moves up in this class and onto this circuit, but I’m going to try her. (9) NORVENA HANOVER has finished second in each of her last two starts and is very capable. She doesn’t like to win, but is versatile and likely will provide a price. (8) MAMASAIDSO has won three straight and comes out of Puddy’s barn. She moves up in class, but has raced in this level before.

Race 11

(1) CANBEC IVANOV has the speed and has been lightly raced this season. This race is very tough to predict, but he draws inside, comes out of Demers’ barn and I’m hoping for a price. (2) PLANET EARTH has back-class to him and draws well. He hit the board last start in this class and comes out of the Johnson barn. (4) LDEES CREDITREPORT has terrific gate speed and also draws well. She was timed in 1:54 1/5 just two starts ago and that should be quick enough to hit the board in here.

Race 12

(2) WILDCAT ART was put on the front last week and never looked back en route to victory. He comes out of Moreau’s barn and likely will get the same trip. (5) DOS HOSS is a very good option in here as he’s been consistent in this class. He races from off a helmet and has been caught too far back in recent weeks. (6) SHADOW BARAN tends to be inconsistent, but he debuts for new trainer Fuller in here. He’s classified right, draws well and has the speed.