09/11/2013 9:04AM

Mohawk: Thursday 9/12 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four

Best Bet: MUSCLE MATTERS (1st)

Spot Play: PRINCE CLYDE (5th)

Race 1 
(3) MUSCLE MATTERS has the fastest mark in this field and the most earnings. He’s fresh of a win and is the horse to beat. (10) SHEER ACTION will have to overcome post 10, but he has gate speed and has been racing very well in his last two starts. (8) SAS WARKENTIN has early speed and has only missed the board once from four starts this season. That’s a good effort he put in last start at Georgian Downs.

Race 2
(6) V I P BAYAMA has won two straight at this level and is coming into this race in top form. He draws well and looks like the horse to beat. (5) ELECTRIC WESTERN has finished second in each of his last three starts. He’s very versatile and likely will be involved early. (2)REGAL BABE gets post two and comes out of the McNair barn. He’s been first and third in his last two and is a good option for the triactor.

Race 3 
(4) WILL TO DO is fresh off a win and remains at the same level. Hudon is back aboard and this horse might offer a fair price in this wide-open event. (6) HERCULOTTE HANOVER went a tough trip last week and comes out of the Alagna barn. He won three starts ago and shows the speed. (8) KNOCKABOUT ROSIE raced very well last week to close from eight-to-third at high odds. Quick speed up front increases his chances.

Race 4
(5) NEGLIGENT HANOVER comes into the Moreau barn and that’s the main reason for my selection. (6) HANDS OFF HANOVER won two starts ago in this class and gets the services of Jamieson again. (10) DOUKNOWWHEREURGOIN will have to overcome post 10, but she shows terrific gate speed. She’s a very good option for the triactor.

Race 5 
(4) PRINCE CLYDE comes out of the Champlain and into this Grassroots division. The class drop makes her a top contender. (8) RATHER SWELL has a terrific record this season and hasn’t missed the board in five starts. He also comes from the McIntosh barn and gets Waples. (5) P L HAYMAKER finished third last week and was timed in 1: 54 3/5. A repeat effort makes him a top contender.

Race 6
(8) REGIL ELEKTRA has won two straight and has a terrific record this season. She set a new lifetime best last week and is coming into this race in top form. (6) RACEY MISS has won seven of 11 starts this season and comes out of the Steacy barn. She’s a good option for the exactor and may offer a fair price. (7) BEST IMPRESSIONS hasn’t been at her best in recent weeks, but she comes out of Wallace’s barn; will need a trip.

Race 7
(2) ON THE BIG SWING is fresh off a win and has won two of four starts this season. He comes out of the McNair barn and is a top threat. (5) ALLSTAR SEELSTER has hit the board in each of her last three starts and is very versatile. He comes out of the Darling stable and gets Zeron in the bike. (1) ITALIAN REBEL gets the rail, comes out of Menary’s barn and gets Waples in the bike. He’s versatile and a good option for the triactor.

Race 8
(7) MINDSET won in 1:51 on July 20 and recently posted a strong qualifier. He comes out of Alagna’s barn and looks like he can handle this group. (2) DAVIDS DREAM gets post two and has a terrific record this season. He’s finished second in each of his last two starts. (6) CAMCRUSIER HANOVER has his the board in three of his last four starts. He should offer a fair price.

Race 9
(2) POP POP JOE has been knocking on the door in this Grassroots level and is due for a win. He’s raced very well this season and likely will be put in the race early. (4) KING ROYALTY comes out of Menary’s barn and is fresh off a win. He draws well and has been racing well all season. (1) MAJOR HOMER draws inside and has a good record this season despite no wins. He should benefit from an inside trip.

Race 10
(6) LOVE CANAL is the queen of this division in the provincial program and will be the favorite. There’s nothing not to like about her. (2) MACHAROUNDTHECLOCK draws inside and made an uncharacteristic break two back. She was rounding into form and may offer a price. (7) SEASIDE RORY comes out of the Simcoe and into this class. She gets Jamieson in the bike and has a good record this season.

Race 11
(4) CONCERT ARTIST has won two of his last three starts and comes out of the O’Sullivan barn. He’s a good option and very versatile. (8) SHADOW PLACE comes out of the Moreau barn, has a good record this season and has been racing very well in his last two. (2) SECRET IDENTITY draws inside and finished second at this level last start. He gets McNair in the bike and likely will be put into the race.

Race 12
(9) BARE NECESSITY got jammed into this class by Moreau after some time off. Moreau is terrific at classifying his horses and certainly has the speed to win. (7) R LIL KING has won two straight and three of his last four. He moves up in class and onto this circuit, but I feel he can handle the transition. (2) ALLAMERICAN EXTRA has hit the board in two of his last three and draws well. He’s got a good record this season and should offer a price.