09/08/2015 4:08PM

Mohawk: Thursday 9/10 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

5,6/3/2,5,8/2,7,8 = $18

 

LATE PICK 4: 2,7,8/6,8/1,4,9/2 = $18

MEET STATS: 293 - 950 / $1620.90 BEST BETS: 40 - 85 / $131.20

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 82 / $92.30

Best Bet: CAPRICE HILL (5th)

Spot Play: LISSOY (4th)

Race 1

(9) MARQUIS VOLO had a breakout performance at Georgian last time and can double up here if he can float out and get a spot near the front early from where he can launch his assault. (6) TYMAL WIZARD had a rough trip from an outer post at Flamboro last time vs. better and should be competitive here. (3) SKEETER P has been racing vs. stakes fillies in Kentucky but will likely be over bet here in a race where she holds no major advantage.

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Race 2

(9) MYLITTLESTARSHINE overcame a mid-race shuffle last time and was really flying at the wire. There appears to be plenty of speed to chase here and Zeron will have this one winding up off cover when they turn home. (3) STORMONT WIZARD's late rally fell just short last time in a good effort but he continues to pile up slices to go with his lone win.(7) P L INDYANACA took a new life's mark last week but had a bit of a lucky trip and was passing winded horses late. Minor share predicted this time.

Race 3

(1) TWICE IS RIGHT tried to close from far back vs. one of the division leaders last time who opened up on the field down the lane. This Donato Hanover filly was closing well, considering and should get a much more aggressive steer here. (7) READY ANY TIME - like many young Kadabras - shows high speed and breaks in stride. She put the trotting hopples on for her last qualifier and trotted a big mile; beware. (5) ULTIMATE SHOPPER has produced good closing speed in every mile except the one two back where she broke. She's in with a decent shot here.

Race 4

(6) LISSOY is a full-sister to two winners which have been the only two produced from the dam so far. She meets a field in which many seem win-shy and gets Filion; top call. (5) NICE TRIP has had many chances but was closing ground on a very sharp winner late last time and should be respected here. (3) SO RAVEN always looks good on paper but never gets there. Beware taking a short price in the win pool.

Race 5

(3) CAPRICE HILL was impressive last week winning the Champlain with the utmost of ease in good time over a track rated a second slow. She is the one to beat here. (7) ALL THE TIME has been flawless since her debut and will give the choice a stern challenge here. (2) EMOTOCON HANOVER went a big trip last time out the route and is improving quickly. The top two may be too much for her here, though.

Race 6

(8) HILLSONATOR has been racing decently and now adds Lasix. No doubt he will be trying to take these down the road. (2) ASPEN CALIFORNIA won in this class three back and may offer a good price here off her last two starts; using. (5) HURICANE HAZEL exits Grassroots races where she has been doing well and she will be passing horses late here.

Race 7

(7) SOME GOLD had a useful opener over an off track and Dr. Moore can improve young ones quickly; upset call. (8) DR J HANOVER has shown promise in both of his starts and will take the bulk of the wagering with Gingras signed on. He has to be on pick 4 tickets. (2) AZUL POOL cracked the exacta for the first time last out showing improved late speed. He's another contender here.

Race 8

(8) COULD IT BE MAGIC transferred her dominant Ontario-bred form to a decisive Grand Circuit win last week. Owner/Trainer/Driver Henry drives her with supreme confidence and takes a back seat to no one with this Kadabra filly; top call. (2) GIFTED LADY ships in off a sharp win in New York but will have to contend with the choice's quick brush here. (7) HIGH HEELS left, took a shuffle then came on again for 2nd vs. the choice last time. She could capitalize if a duel develops, but that may be unlikely.

Race 9

(8) DUH BUBBEES has won off a similar break/re-qualify scenario earlier this summer and was a square price that night as he is sure to be tonight; upset special. (6) SHOW BIZ HALL picked up Gingras last week and he drove him to a decisive win. That teamster returns here and this colt is strictly the one to beat. (2) ITS HUW YOU KNOW closed late for 2nd to the one above last week and can pick up some pieces here.

Race 10

(4) HAZMATT tried a deep-closing style last week and was moving well in the stretch. She returns to a 7-day cycle here and can win this if McNair moves her earlier. (9) COTTONWOOD CREEK tried a very sharp winner first up and didn't tire badly late. She could take these with a decent trip. (1) SEAWIND KERRY should get off the gate better here and grab a minor share.

Race 11

(2) SOAKING UP THE SUN went a monster first-over trip to win first off the claim and should be able to double up here. (4) READ THE PROPOSAL drops into a claimer for the first time and should show sharp improvement here. (8) BRINGHOMETHEBLUE dropped, popped and was claimed. He fits this class well. (10) STEVES LEGACY drops out of Grassroots races and should be passing a few of these late for a slice. (9) PIER HO TEMPTATION was 2nd to the choice last time but had a much softer trip; minor award predicted.

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