08/31/2016 11:02AM

Mohawk: Thursday 9/1 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 1,2,3/5,7/5,6,8/1,2,8/1,4,7 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,8/1,4,7/2,4,7,9/3,7 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 5/4,6,7,10/2,3,8/2,3,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 312 - 926 / $1619.90  BEST BETS: 52 - 86 / $166.60

SPOT PLAYS: 19 - 86 / $108.60

Best Bet: ARIANA G (8th)

Spot Play: PERSEVERANT (9th)

Race 1

(3) BLUSH AND CRUSH was used up a bit too much early from an outer post last time and she paid the price late in the mile. She should get a better trip here; top call. (2) GIRL DRAMA just missed to the choice last time and she looks like the main rival. (1) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE raced tough last week when caught late by a sharp claimed winner. His 3-52 record in the past two years makes him tough to love on top, though. (6) TOY IS OURS has obvious gait issues, but if he stays trotting, he could surprise.

Race 2

(7) TOUCHING THOUGHT was flat last week after missing three weeks between starts. Back to a 7-day cycle, she should be much better here and could offer a square price. (5) WINDY SPORT takes a big class drop here and could be odds-on. She's the one to beat. (2) COLUMNIST came oh so close to finally breaking her maiden last week in a good effort. She isn't out of this, but demand a price. (3) SOUTHWIND JINGA had a useful debut and could show even more here with that experience in tow.

Race 3

(8) HILL OF A COLT was a sharp debut winner and is likely already worth a lot more than his $24K purchase price; call to repeat. (5) RADIANT BEAM was beaten by a sharp shipper last time. He should be right there vs. these. (6) READY ANY TIME faces easier after an eventful sires stakes trip; using. (3) SHESTHEREALTHING blew by some winded duelers late last time. She likely won't get that kind of a trip again here; minor share predicted.

Race 4

(2) A BETTORS RISK moves into the top trainer's barn here; expect immediate improvement. (8) INSPIRATION VIEW was impressive in defeat at Pocono last time and is a Pick 4 must-use here. (1) BETTOR MEMORIES has a solid record this year, is sharp and picks up Miller; using. (7) DAYLIGHT RUSH should be a pace factor and stick around for a slice.

Race 5

(4) GLITZEY GAL has been flying home late in her last two. Her opponents will likely have a tough time trying to hold her off here. (1) SIANNA HANOVER comes off a nice win and gets the inside and Tetrick. (7) DREAM TOGETHER is the best local hope and she is another that you need to have in the Pick 4 and Pick 5. (2) PRINCESS AURORA seems likely to take a smaller share coming off a break and a 3-week break.

Race 6

(7) HP BLACK SHADOW could get a great stalking trip here and pounce late at a price. (2) PUTNAMS NEW YEAR was driver Henry's pick over the choice and he does well with Weller's stock; using. (9) SOAKING UP THE SUN blew up last time, which cost him a chance at the win. He is erratic, but capable. (4) PANEDICTINE is worth including off the claim in a race where the late pace could collapse.

Race 7

(3) RED DOG SALOON has been very good in these Grassroots races and he should get plenty of pace to chase here; call to repeat. (7) FLAHERTY has been showing signs of reaching his best form again and he should be a good price. (10) CONTINUAL HANOVER comes off a lifetime best score and he is tough to leave out despite starting from the worst post. (4) JACK RACKHAM seems to really like Mohawk and he is in with an upset chance here.

Race 8

(5) ARIANA G is the unbeaten leader of this division. Even despite missing close to a month of action, she will likely take this Grand Circuit race. (7) PURE KEMP is one that has been progressing with each race that will offer some value in the exotics. (9) THATS ALL MONI was beaten by the choice last time, but she could get a better trip here and she should be close at the wire. (1) STUCK IN MY SPANKS showed some talent in making up a huge gap last time after breaking early, but these are much tougher.

Race 9

(7) PERSERVERANT took a costly shuffle at Georgian last time; notice the 52/1 score here a month ago in a Grassroots race; slight nod. (6) BLAISE MM HANOVER has been solid on the lead in his last several starts and he will be the one to catch again here. (4) KOKANEE SEELSTER has picked up his game in his last few starts. He is in with a chance. (10) ST LADS MOONWALK is obviously one of the best horses in this division, but the 10-hole will be a tough chore here as most of these Grassroots dashes are driven very aggressively. Finding a spot early could be troublesome.

Race 10

(8) LADY JEN gets Filion back in a race that seems void of quick leavers; gate-to-wire? (3) DONNA PARTY is capable of leaving for position and sitting a trip; using. (2) PRETTY HOT rode the inside to victory last time. She will likely try a similar approach here and could repeat if she gets room late. (1) PRETTYNDANGEROUS has a solid record and she is likely to take a smaller share here.

Race 11

(3) BADLANDS DELIGHT did all the work first up last time and was nailed late again. If she can find a helmet or blast to the front in the middle stages, she can win this. (2) LEAVING A LEGACY should be much more contentious moving inside here. Toss on Pick 4 tickets. (8) BIG TSUNAMI drops into a claimer off some decent conditioned races and she should make the ticket here, at a minimum. (6) TOTAL KNOCKOUT is a contender that could better this placing if she finds a live helmet to follow. (4) MISS PRINT almost never misses a check and should be on the High-5 ticket here.

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