08/04/2015 2:02PM

Mohawk: Thursday 8/6 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

7,8,10/1,3,4/1,4/5,8 = $36

 

LATE PICK 4: 5,8/1,5/4,5,7,8/1,3,4 = $48

MEET STATS: 207 - 681 / $1174.40 BEST BETS: 29 - 61 / $99.10

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 61 / $66.90

Best Bet: L A DELIGHT (2nd)

Spot Play: YORK SEELSTER (4th)

Race 1

(6) LOVE HUNTER was driven conservatively in his three-year-old debut but did rally strongly at the end of the mile for third. He should be tough in here if he minds his manners. (4) ONLY MY WAY won in this class two starts back then showed nothing vs. non-winners of two. He might be a good price here and is worth considering for exacta wagers. (3) ONTHEROAD DE VIE continues to pick up regular shares but is now 0 for 20 lifetime and not the smartest win bet you can make.

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Race 2

(2) L A DELIGHT is obviously the best here in the Whenuwishuponastar final and a likely winner at a very short price. (5) SHES LIGHTS OUT led the choice for 3/4 last week but was no match late. A puny exacta payoff looms here. (1) NOT NOW THEY SAID showed improvement last week and is one to consider for the bottom of tri wagers that would boost the payoff.

Race 3

(4) BUCKETLIST HANOVER is a full-brother to a $376K earner that won 8 of 25 starts and was productive early, winning 5 straight following a debut loss; top call. (3) BLENHEIM shows the fastest mile and looks somewhat obvious but is likely to be over bet in this spot. (6) DANCERS TOUCH was a decent third in his debut and can go forward off that mile.

Race 4

(10) YORK SEELSTER raced well for third last week first time in this class off a 27-day break. Back in the same class on a 7-day cycle you'd have to think he will be put into the race earlier. Post boosts the price; top call. (7) SOAKING UP THE SUN - although 0 for 2015 - has been racing well in conditioned classes at the B tracks and may find this claiming group to his liking; using. (8) DESTINO dropped back early last week but is more effective when put into the race early and gets a notable driver change; beware.

Race 5

(1) UF MUSCLEMASS STAR unleashed a quick final 1/4 to just miss in his second lifetime start and faces a field he should be competitive against despite being the lone two-year-old in the field; top call. (3) THE BIG MUSCLE closed a big gap in the back half of his debut and looks like a strong contender here. (4) MYLITTLESTARSHINE always looks good on paper but has come up short on the track so far. It's worth it to try to beat her in the win pool here.

Race 6

(4) MAX IS BACK looked so good in his debut that it was hard to believe he stopped so bad late last time out. Perhaps something went amiss that can be corrected; top call. (1) PERSERVERANT was an impressive debut winner out of town and it is quite likely that he can shave several seconds off that mile over the big track. (6) MR SESSOR sports two good qualifiers for a trainer that sends them ready; consider at a price.

Race 7

(5) TYMAL ILLBTHERE jogged the only time he faced this kind and will be tough to overhaul if he can overcome his gait issues and stay trotting. (8) LMC MARSHMELLOW left hard, took a tuck, and then fell victim to a slowing of the pace. She can threaten here from either up close early or closing late. (2) BUZZ has done well in Grassroots company and is likely to share here.

Race 8

(1) BETTING LINE is obviously the fastest horse in here, but, keep in mind he's missed some time and they are racing for a $15K here. This isn't the spot to drop a large bet on an odds-on favorite. (5) MATCHPLAY HANOVER vaulted past four rivals with an impressive rush down the lane last week and has a recency edge on the choice; using on pick 4 tickets. (8) HEAVYMETAL HANOVER hasn't missed the board yet and should be prominent throughout here.

Race 9

(7) KEYSTONE DALTON drops to the bottom claiming level here and likely gets an aggressive steer. He is one of many that can take this dash. (8) VAL AMERICA circled the field last week with an impressive rush and should get a similarly strong pace to chase here; using. (4) GENESEE was claimed by a trainer that has yet to win a race in 2015 and could easily step up with a much better performance here.

Race 10

(1) HAZMATT aired a class lower and although some of these look much tougher she should be able to handle this group starting from the inside. (3) HEX has really improved racing out of town in her last few starts and is the main danger to the choice. (4) ABBIJADE HANOVER couldn't chase down a very tough winner last time and is another in with a shot here. (7) JACLYN HANOVER closed well last time for a share, has 10 slices in 21 races and is a good bet to hit the ticket here. (9) MACH MAGIC has only missed a check once - in her debut - and should make the High-5 ticket here.

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