08/24/2016 10:09AM

Mohawk: Thursday 8/25 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 3,6,7,8/4,5/2,5/2,6,7/1,4,5 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,6,7/1,4,5/1,3,7,8,9/6 = $45

LATE PICK 4: 6/2,4,5/3,5,8/5,6,7,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 300 - 874 / $1567.20 BEST BETS: 52 - 81 / $166.60

SPOT PLAYS: 18 - 81 / $102.00


Spot Play: GIVE EM HECK (4th)

Race 1

(8) SIGNAL HILL was one-paced late in the mile last week when bet heavily. He had missed three weeks then and now returns on a 7-day cycle, which could make a big difference; top call in the opener. (7) ODD BALL - a $25K Lexington buy - looks ready to roll for hot connections; using. (3) WHIRLAWAY HANOVER brought $57K at auction but he hasn't been able to stay flat so far. Trainer Zeron qualified him for this now he takes over the lines. Keep him in mind for Pick 5 bets. (6) MAJESTIC STREAK also goes for a top barn and he qualified solidly on August 19th; consider.

Race 2

(4) COLUMNIST and (5) THIS DAY FORWARD appear to be the two main contenders in this group that has compiled a 1 for 97 record collectively. But keep in mind that these two contribute 41 losses to that total. Slight nod to the former, who raced tough first-over last week. (1) TOUCHING THOUGHT - one of a duo of 2-year-olds in here - should get a decent trip starting from the inside and has a fair chance in here. (3) TWIN B ONAROLL is the other rookie in the field. She has taken some smaller checks in sires stakes action in New York and she can take a share here.

Race 3

(2) SOUTHWIND ION was probably over bet last time out vs. experienced stake foes, but she fits much better here and should be driven more aggressively. (5) DOCS SAUSALITO miscued early last time then hung in well after a long trip. She is erratic, but capable on her best day. (8) VINTAGE BABE was well-prepped for a sharp effort off the shelf last week to beat maidens. She is worthy of consideration despite the class rise. (6) CHARMING HILL should get asked for more speed early here from the improved post. Consider using her in exotic wagers.

Race 4

(7) GIVE EM HECK was part of some wild early fractions last week yet he managed to survive the war to finish 2nd. A slightly easier trip is expected here, which might be all he needs. (6) SCOTTY MACH N was also part of that duel (pacing a 26 3/5 second 1/4) and I would think he will take a more conservative approach here and look for a helmet to follow. (2) JET AIRLINER has really improved in his past few starts and he isn't out of the question here. (8) YOUR MY HERO is worth a look going for Auciello off the claim.

Race 5

(4) HILL OF A COLT - 1/2 brother to $790K earner J L Cruze - brought only $24K at Harrisburg but he could turn out to be a bargain based on the progression he showed in his three qualifiers; call at first asking. (1) SAFEKEEPING gets turned over to Henriksen here and she qualified well with him in the bike on the 19th; using. (5) ANDOVERS CHOICE closed well from the 10-hole in his WEG debut. It makes sense to expect improvement here from an improved post. (2) STORMONT DUNDAS is on the improve and he could better this prediction.

Race 6

(8) JUSTCALLMERONALD has not been the most sure-gaited horse on the grounds in the past, but he's looked great in his last couple of starts out of town and fits here; slight nod. (9) BLUSH AND CRUSH goes for four straight here making her first start off a claim and is the one to beat. (3) WARAWEE PROTON drops his tag $3K which gets him a better post; improvement expected. (1) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE fits this class well, but he has always been a bit win shy.

Race 7

(6) ZAHARA SEELSTER gets faster and closer each week; graduation time tonight. (7) GRANNY PANTS was in a hopeless spot trying to close into a rapidly accelerating pace last week. She can be closer here at a price. (8) EMOTIONS is worth a look after taking checks in every start south of the border. (1) SOUTHWIND JINGA brought $30K at the Lexington sale but she would need to knock about six seconds off to win this; minor share is predicted.

Race 8

(2) WINTER HARBOR was a sharp winner last week and this field doesn't look much tougher; call to repeat. (5) RADIANT BEAM was an easy winner last time he raced in a class similar to this one; using. (4) PREMIER GLITTER can threaten these late and could beat them all if she is close enough to the leaders turning home. (3) FRENCH BASTILLE finishes 3rd or 4th every week. Expect more of the same here.

Race 9

(5) WHOSGOINGTOCATCHUS should show a lot more early speed here starting from the middle of the gate and she has a chance to score at what should be a square price. (3) MYRETIREMENTTICKET faces much easier and is another that surely will be on the move early. (8) COUNTRY PROPHET shows improving form in each of the past three starts; beware. (7) UNICUM BI should threaten if he can stay flat.

Race 10

(6) HEMINGWAY drops to the bottom claiming level here and he could get a great trip chasing a rapid early pace. (5) C C NITE RAIDER also drops to the bottom and should improve in a race with several possibilities. (10) SOAKING UP THE SUN is in good form but the outer post could be trouble here with several other quick leavers signed on. (7) E L SPARTACUS should be passing many of these late; consider. (9) PANEDICTINE is another that can pass many of these down the lane and make the ticket.

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