08/18/2015 1:07PM

Mohawk: Thursday 8/20 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


1,4,5,6/1,10/2,5,10/5,6 = $48


LATE PICK 4: 5,6/3,4,7/4,5,6/1,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 238 - 781 / $1363.70 BEST BETS: 33 - 70 / $110.60

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 67 / $73.10


Spot Play: RECREATE (5th)

Race 1

(1) WORLDCLASS HANOVER faced the unbeaten North American division leader last time down south. These are much easier and she should be on the move early here; top call. (5) TOSS IT BACK has already won two Grassroots dashes and looks like the only real threat to the choice. (4) CHAPEL HALL looks as good as any to complete the tri.

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Race 2

(4) MICHAELS VICTORY ships in off a sharp win in New Jersey and although he's missed a couple of weeks his trainer is noted for sending them ready. (1) ARSENIC was so impressive in his debut that it's hard to believe he's had three winless starts since. He can rebound in this spot. (6) TOM HILL was beaten by the choice last time but can improve.

Race 3

(7) DEEP IMPACT made a strong move to the top last week then accelerated away from his rivals late. He has some options drawing outside; top call. (2) BUCKETLIST HANOVER was beaten by the choice - his stablemate - last time after knocking him off the week before when debuting. This really looks like a coin toss between these two. (3) LEAN HANOVER parlayed a following trip into a 2nd-place finish to the choice last time and should share here.

Race 4

(3) COTTONWOOD CREEK was visibly flying in the last 1/16th of a mile last time but was too far back to make a big impact; upset special. (5) HAZMATT made two moves to win last week and is the one to knock off here. (6) CAVIART SCARLETT provided cover for the one above and could turn the tables here with a better trip.

Race 5

(10) RECREATE has twice taken a lot of money at the windows in Grassroots events then had long trips. Even from post 10 he may get a more aggressive drive here with the switch to “The Answer”; top call. (1) TOUGH GET GOING set solid fractions en route to an easy win last time and is the one to beat. (7) WEIGHT TIME was a closing third in his debut and could improve on that here. This is a leg that you want to go deep in the pick 4.

Race 6

(5) SO RAVEN just missed last time after a first-over journey. She can graduate here…or finish 2nd of 3rd again; another leg to use a few in this pick 4. (2) NURSE MOLLY motored up late at a big price to nip the choice. She could repeat vs. this soft group. (10) BLACK WIDOW BABY has been facing better and isn't without a shot but she also has a knack for narrow defeats.

Race 7

(5) HILLSONATOR used a big third quarter move to destroy the field last week; call to repeat. (6) SHOW BIZ HALL went a big qualifying mile on a track rated two seconds slow; beware. (2) YANKEE PUZZLE is a good one for the bottom rungs of your vertical wagers here.

Race 8

(3) A MARCOU STORY broke early last time then made a nice recovery to grab a check. He should handle these if he stays flat. (7) MYHONEYTELLSALL has really improved in claimers the last two now moves back into a conditioned field; consider. (4) VEGAS ROCKS improved his late speed last time and will pop in this class at a price soon.

Race 9

(6) CRAZY BLUE went first-up last week and was only beaten two lengths while tiring a bit late. The driver switch to the leading reinsman could do the trick here. (5) STRIKNGLYIMPRESIVE showed speed both early and late in a solid debut; using. (4) PERFECT ROAD made a mid-race move to the front then tired late in an improved performance. He could be heard from here.

Race 10

(8) SPORTS VISION goes first time in a claimer here for a hot outfit and wouldn't shock if he wired the field. (1) SOAKING UP THE SUN broke while on the move last time then recovered to finish 4th. He's a big threat here. (10) PIER HO TEMPTATION also drops into a claimer for the first time and is dangerous off that angle vs. this weak group. (2) BELIEVEINYOURMACH should share at this level. (9) BEACH BLAST was a decent third last time and now gets a positive driver change.

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