08/16/2016 3:59PM

Mohawk: Thursday 8/18 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 4,9/1,2/1,3,7,8/1,4,6,8/3 = $12.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,6,8/3/1,7,8/1,2,5,6 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,5,6/2,7,8/2/4,7,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 284 - 822 / $1499.70   BEST BETS: 48-76 / $155.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 76 / $86.60

Best Bet: CAPRICE HILL (5th)

Spot Play: LITTLE QUICK (3rd)

Race 1

(4) SIGNAL HILL - a $250K Lexington sale buy - looks like he has his act together after a slow start and he meets a group he can beat here. (9) FRENCH MONI is the first foal to race in North America by a sire that earned more than $1.3 million and he is also a granddaughter of the great champion Moni Maker. He seems ready for his debut and looks like the main threat to the choice. (5) NASHVILLE BLUECHIP improved quite a bit last time and should be heard from again here. (3) TYMAL DIAMOND can close for a share just like she did in her last start.

Race 2

(2) SEVEN AND SEVEN was passively driven most of the way last week, which likely cost him a win. Assuming his driver learned something there, he should be prominent throughout in this short field. (1) JAKE rode a perfect trip and drive to victory last week and he is the main danger to the choice again. (4) AWOL HANOVER and (3) CANT U SPELL don't match up with the top two at this point and will likely fight it out for third.

Race 3

(8) LITTLE QUICK adds Lasix for a barn that has done well of late and he should offer some value from the outer post as a good closer in a race full of faltering speed types; top call. (7) STIMULUS SPENDING is another that can fly home on occasion and should be passing many of these late in the mile. (1) HIGHLAND BOGART should get a better pace setup here and he may be the one to catch turning for home. (3) P L INFERNO should be closer to the front early here which gives him a chance to hit the ticket.

Race 4

(1) JET AIRLINER was sharp in taking a new life's mark last week and should get a good trip here; call to repeat. (6) SCOTTY MACH N has gone two big trips in a row in defeat. He will get there soon; using. (4) GIVE EM HECK was reclaimed by the barn that sent him out to win two straight prior to last week's start. He is a must-use. (8) YOUR MY HERO drops in class and is another to consider for multi-race bets.

Race 5

(3) CAPRICE HILL lays over this group of Ontario-breeds and she should take care of business here barring anything strange happening. (4) EMOTICON HANOVER looks next best and can complete a chalky exacta. (10) ROYAL CHARM is one to consider for the exotics at a price as her potent late kick can get her into the picture late. (6) JANGONE is another that can close up late for a share.

Race 6

(1) P L JILL trotted powerfully to a new life's mark last week. Except for a miscue on the slop, she has been solid for weeks and she gets top call here. (8) MIGHTY RICKY has been flashing good late speed and he has some upside; using. (7) PROFOUND PATIENCE comes off a solid win but will need to shave off more time to take this. (6) VERY CLASSY can close for a piece of this if she is kept within range.

Race 7

(5) DOCS SAUSILITO got hung the mile last week and understandably backed up late. She should get good position early here which can make all the difference. (2) DIXIE LULLABY gamely dug in late last week but was nailed in the last stride by the rival that she gave cover to. She fits well here. (1) BRITTLE is worth a long look switching to Moreau's barn. (6) ACTIVE LADY could last longer here if provided with a slightly easier trip.

Race 8

(2) FLOWERS N SONGS can be inconsistent, but she looks much the best here if she brings her A game. (7) DEWDLE ALL DAY took a shuffle then re-emerged late in a good effort last time; respect. (8) SELFIE HANOVER can threaten if she can stay flat all the way, but that looks like a 50/50 shot at best. (3) COULD IT BE MAGIC faces much better here and is likely for a smaller share.

Race 9

(2) OBVIOUS BLUE CHIP scored impressively on his debut and this field isn't much tougher; call to repeat. (7) THIS DAY FORWARD always looks good on paper, but he brings a 0-20 futility record into this race. I wouldn't take a short price on him. (6) GRANNY PANTS wasn't that far behind the choice last time. He can make the ticket here. (3) COLUMNIST produces a good late rush on occasion. Use him in tri bets.

Race 10

(8) ANNELI HANOVER has won four straight, all quite easily. She looks best here. (7) I WANT KANDY squandered a sure win last time by breaking in the lane. She can make amends here if she behaves. (4) HAILEYSGONEDANCING should get a good trip near the front here. She has upset possibilities. (3) SILKY FLASHY NFAST is likely to take a smaller share as she usually does. (2) SMASH HIT is another that will be closing late for a smaller award.

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