08/09/2016 3:05PM

Mohawk: Thursday 8/11 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

MEET STATS: 270 - 770 / $1439.20  BEST BETS: 44 - 71 / $142.90

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 71 / $86.60

PICK 5: 2,8/2,5/1,6/5,8,9/1,2,5,7,8 = $24

EARLY PICK 4: 5,8,9/1,2,5,7,8/2,7,8/2 = $45

LATE PICK 4: 2/3,7/6,9/2,3,4,7 = $16

Best Bet: STREAKAVANA (9th)

Spot Play: DIAMOND TESTED (7th)

Race 1

(8) DUDESALADY has a similar profile to one that shipped in and won last month for the same trainer. I'll give her the nod off that angle in the opener. (2) TREASURES PEARL won two of these races in a row before trying The Battle of the Belles. She is in with a good shot here. (7) WHITE DANCER should be better here coming back in a week. She's worth a look at a price. (9) LOVES ANGEL stopped badly in The Battle of the Belles final but she can rebound here and pass some of these late for a smaller share.

Race 2

(5) SEVEN AND SEVEN powered home impressively to win in the opening leg of the series last week; call to repeat. (2) AWOL HANOVER was nailed late by the choice after gaining the lead in deep stretch. He has some upside and looks like the main threat to the choice. (3) CANT U SPELL couldn't sprint with the top two late and looks third best again here. (1) JAKE comes off a vet scratch and figures to take a smaller share here.

Race 3

(1) RICHARD HILL dives right into the deep end here after an impressive debut win, but he could be this good; slight nod. (6) SPORTS COLUMN has already won an OSS Gold and The Battle of Waterloo and is the obvious main danger. (3) HAPPY TRIO was second in The Battle of Waterloo elim and final and merits consideration here for exacta plays. (4) YOGI BAYAMA hasn't missed the board yet. He is another that should be a factor here, but a minor award seems likely.

Race 4

(5) SPORTS BEAUTY won the only time she raced in Grassroots company when making her debut in July. She can get back to her winning ways here. (8) MYSTICAL MOON is another that should like the return to the Grassroots level; using. (4) P L KAHLUAA gets a big barn change here and is worth including on that angle alone. (9) VILLAGE JAMIE raced okay in The Battle of the Belles and she's worth a look here, but she'll need to work out a trip from out there.

Race 5

(1) SHEER TALENT motored home to win last week despite bobbling on the turn; call to repeat. (7) SPORTS LEADER was first up vs. a tough winner last week. She can improve here if she can latch onto some cover. (5) TODAYS SPORTS has been solid in every start so far. Toss her on multi-race tickets. (2) ASK FOR ME should follow along here and take a share.

Race 6

(2) GIVE EM HECK keeps winning and keeps getting claimed. Another victory appears likely here. (7) SCOTTY MACH N was closing hard against the choice last time and is in excellent form; using. (8) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT faces easier here and isn't out of the picture. (6) STORM THE BEACH has raced better in his last two starts and he can be a factor here.

Race 7

(2) DIAMOND TESTED is bound to get a better trip here back in with maidens; top call. (5) HP PANDORA should go better here in her second start over the track; using. (6) THIS DAY FORWARD brings a 0-19 futility record into this race but figures on paper and might just get off the schneid here. (1) MISTY DE VIE closed well from far back last time but she will likely be over bet off her rapid final 1/4 time.

Race 8

(3) SHEWEARSTHEPANTS was beaten by a sharp rival last time who was winning for the second time in a row. She could take this group all the way. (7) ROYAL POINT was third to the same filly in an OSS Gold race but now has missed close to a month; tough call. (9) WARAWEE SPEEDY missed The Battle of the Belles final due to sickness. She can factor here despite the post. (1) TWIN B CHEEKS seems destined for another smaller share here.

Race 9

(9) STREAKAVANA has been lights out since being sold after his debut. He will take beating here despite the post. (6) CALVIN K blew up while making the front on the first turn in The Battle of Waterloo. He should appreciate being back on the bigger track and is the main threat to the choice. (5) ARSENAL SEELSTER raced okay in his debut, which was won by a promising colt. He merits exotics consideration here. (7) THE DARK SHADOW has gait issues but figures for a minor award if he can stay flat.

Race 10

(7) NEVER BEEN TOLD chased some wicked fractions last time and paid for it late. He projects to get an easier trip near the front here. (4) JET AIRLINER has improved for a hot barn; using. (2) BOLD AND LAZY should go better here in his second start for Weller. (3) LUMIERE raced better last time and may be returning to form. (5) CONFLICT DIAMOND comes in off the claim after two good starts in a row out of town. He can take a share here.

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