07/27/2016 10:18AM

Mohawk: Thursday 7/28 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 4,5,8/1,6/3,5/7/4,5,6,9 = $9.60

EARLY PICK 4: 7/4,5,6,9/5,6,9/3,6 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 3,6/1,4,5,7/2,6/2,3 = $32

MEET STATS: 240 - 690 / $1276.70  BEST BETS: 40 - 65 / $126.90

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 63 / $76.60


Spot Play: BLACK JACK PAT (9th)

Race 1

(4) AGENT DINOZZO got his act together last week and trotted the entire mile with a good result. He's risky but if he trots the entire way here, he can beat these. (8) CHEER FOR THE CATS trotted a mile two back that's good enough to win this. He needs to stay flat though, obviously. (5) ZLATAN will take a lot of action on the class drop, but he's disappointed as a heavy chalk in these classes several times before. I'll try to beat him here. (6) GROUPIE DOLL is capable of a better finish vs. this group.

Race 2

(1) IDEAL WHEEL made a strong first-over move to win his debut and he stands an excellent chance of doubling up here, likely at a short price. (5) YOGI BAYAMA gets Filion back here and should be the main danger. (2) SOME ATTITUDE couldn't close vs. a sharp winner last time, but he should get a better trip here and take a big piece of this. (3) BIG BAD BILL looks next best and can complete the super.

Race 3

(3) ROSBERG is unbeaten in Grassroots competition so far and has displayed the best late speed in this field. He can keep the streak going here. (5) TOUGHER THAN EVER powered away late to score in his second start. He is the main threat racing from close range. (6) NOBLECREST is from a dam that has produced several winners. He can take a small share at a minimum here. (1) ZORGWIJK ROCKET was 2nd to the choice last time and can make the ticket.

Race 4

(7) HIGHLAND TARTAN projects to get an easier trip up front here and can take these all the way this time. (6) HEMINGWAY closed well last time in his first start off the claim - albeit aided by a slowing late pace. He should contend here, too, though. (1) SCOTTY MACH N has been hot out of town and can sit a good trip and take a share. (4) PUTNAMS NEW YEAR should improve here returning quicker.

Race 5

(9) RODEO SPORTS - the first foal of millionaire dam Moving Pictures - shaved 4 seconds off her time in her second qualifier and looks ready to roll for an outfit that has been sending everything ready. (4) HURRICANE BEACH - 1/2-brother to the very fast Hurrikane Kingcole - has been finishing off his miles quickly while preparing for this debut and is another that looks ready. (6) TIGERS WAY was close to upsetting at a big price in his debut. He can take a share here. (5) TUXEDO BAY is yet another making his debut that can challenge here.

Race 6

(6) WARAWEE SHIPSHAPE should use his good early speed to get position and is just one of many that could win this wide-open Grassroots dash. (5) MORE THAN MAJESTIC was second to a good colt in his debut and should be used in the Pick 4. (9) WILLIE WONKA raced much better in his debut than in his qualifiers; using. (3) A J RICOCHET could slip onto the tri or super ticket here at a price off a following trip.

Race 7

(6) GIVE EM HECK won when claimed by a once sharp outfit off another. He can double up here and may get taken again. (3) P L DANGEROUS was a decent second to the choice and he should get a good trip here; using. (2) HP BLACK SHADOW can threaten if he stays flat this time. (1) LUMIERE should follow along close to the front and stick around for a slice.

Race 8

(5) THEMANOFMYDREAMS comes in off two strong wins out of town and should be able to turn up his game here and increase his winning streak to three. (4) KITARO looks next best off his powerful Grassroots win at Grand River. (1) MAJESTIC STREAK is facing easier here but missed some time; tough call. (7) MAGIC NIGHT goes for a trainer/driver that excels with young trotters. He will likely figure this one out soon; beware.

Race 9

(2) BLACK JACK PAT has faced a bearcat in both of her starts and should appreciate this much easier company; top call. (6) SOUTHWIND GEO is another that should appreciate the company here in addition to the short field; using. (5) TOUCHING THOUGHT made a big move then tired in the opening leg of this series. She can improve off that effort. (3) OHELLO BLUE CHIP is another that faces weaker than she has been and she should get a good trip near the front here and take home a share.

Race 10

(3) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE should get a much easier trip here vs. a weaker group and she will take beating in the finale. (2) GLORIOUS DELIGHT closed into an accelerating pace vs. better and she should be heard from here. (4) QUEEN OF THE JUNGLE continues to show improvement and she rarely gets bet. Toss her in your exotic wagers here. (1) SPORTS EXPERT is another getting class relief and she should show speed then stick around for a slice. (7) ICTHELIGHT HANOVER has upset potential here and should be considered for wider Pick 4 tickets.

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